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Message

I'm a DeSantis supporter, but to date, his campaign has been a let down
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:28 am
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:28 am
It was always going to be an uphill battle for a few simple obvious reasons:
1) Trump is a de facto incumbent. And unseating a popular incumbent is extremely difficult
2) Trump has the name ID factor. There is no one on planet earth that has Trump's name ID. This is a major factor
3) The prosecutions/persecutions against Trump were going to galvanize the base, who we see it as an attack against us
4) Trump has a pretty big and loyal base. Usually primary canidates don't have bases, this is not the case with Trump
5) How does DeSantis court Trump's base without insulting the base. Remember, much of Trump's base see themselves vicariously through Trump (good or bad). To attack Trump, is to attack them.
These factors alone would put DeSantis' odds around 10%. One would have to assume his team knew this coming into this race.
The two paths he had were to either go extreme GOPe and try to run a clean sweep on the Bush/McCain/Haley Neocon base (which is still omly like 10-15% of base)or to go hard right and completely out flank Trump on every issue.
I think by and large, DeSantis is further to the right on most issues, but he has failed to make this known and stick. DeSantis had failed to have a major moment that really drew attention. Everyone remembers Trump coming down the escalator and talking about the Mexican drug cartels. This sort of imagery may not matter to the political geeks on the PoliBoard, but to the masses of primary voters, it does.
Can DeSantis turn it around? Not sure, seems unlikely at this point, but he would have to do some major shaking up in his strategy to make the come back.
1) Trump is a de facto incumbent. And unseating a popular incumbent is extremely difficult
2) Trump has the name ID factor. There is no one on planet earth that has Trump's name ID. This is a major factor
3) The prosecutions/persecutions against Trump were going to galvanize the base, who we see it as an attack against us
4) Trump has a pretty big and loyal base. Usually primary canidates don't have bases, this is not the case with Trump
5) How does DeSantis court Trump's base without insulting the base. Remember, much of Trump's base see themselves vicariously through Trump (good or bad). To attack Trump, is to attack them.
These factors alone would put DeSantis' odds around 10%. One would have to assume his team knew this coming into this race.
The two paths he had were to either go extreme GOPe and try to run a clean sweep on the Bush/McCain/Haley Neocon base (which is still omly like 10-15% of base)or to go hard right and completely out flank Trump on every issue.
I think by and large, DeSantis is further to the right on most issues, but he has failed to make this known and stick. DeSantis had failed to have a major moment that really drew attention. Everyone remembers Trump coming down the escalator and talking about the Mexican drug cartels. This sort of imagery may not matter to the political geeks on the PoliBoard, but to the masses of primary voters, it does.
Can DeSantis turn it around? Not sure, seems unlikely at this point, but he would have to do some major shaking up in his strategy to make the come back.
This post was edited on 7/28/23 at 6:39 am
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:34 am to burger bearcat
Now that’s an honest post.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:37 am to tigersbh
It’s honest, but still a little premature.
I don’t know if Ron can beat Trump. I just hope enough people realize the bloodbath that awaits if Trump is the nominee.
I don’t know if Ron can beat Trump. I just hope enough people realize the bloodbath that awaits if Trump is the nominee.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:39 am to burger bearcat
quote:
I'm a DeSantis supporters,
Watch the DeSantis interview with John Solomon on RAV. I came away impressed. No canned responses. No talking points, he just ripped.
Watch the internview then ask yourself "can Trump do that".
This post was edited on 7/28/23 at 6:42 am
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:40 am to burger bearcat
I like DeSantis. But the fact that he got into the race shows a lack of awareness. Trump is unlike any other political figure in my lifetime (45.). DeSantis was never going to beat him and it has only further divided us.
I wish he would've stayed put, allowed Trump another shot, and then be ready in '28. Trumpers would've jumped on board at that point and I feel he would've had a real shot.
Now I'm even less optimistic about the future...hope I'm wrong.
I wish he would've stayed put, allowed Trump another shot, and then be ready in '28. Trumpers would've jumped on board at that point and I feel he would've had a real shot.
Now I'm even less optimistic about the future...hope I'm wrong.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:40 am to burger bearcat
He spends far too much time on “wokeness”, and far too little time on policy (in his campaign).
RFK is doing a much better job of this. I may not agree with him on as much, but he comes across much better.
RFK is doing a much better job of this. I may not agree with him on as much, but he comes across much better.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:42 am to burger bearcat
quote:
but to date, his campaign has been a let down
This is everyone when Trump is in the race.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:42 am to tigersbh
quote:
Now that’s an honest post.
It's just reality. I could never be a jersey wearer or flag waver for either side of this argument. I have to call balls and strikes as I see them. Which is why I take so many issues with Trump, as he constantly seems to be getting cozy with the left's scoial agenda, all the while making fatal, unforced, unnecessary errors that makes life more difficult for his supporters who have to constantly run cover.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:44 am to low pro drifter
quote:
Trumpers would've jumped on board
Y'all keep saying this, and it just isn't true. Trump will run again in 28 and all other candidates will have to "do the right thing" and wait till 32.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:48 am to Nix to Twillie
quote:
don’t know if Ron can beat Trump. I just hope enough people realize the bloodbath that awaits if Trump is the nominee.
Everyone that repeats this never has an answer for why it would be different for Ron.
Are Democrats going to go easier on Ron? Not cheat if it's Ron?
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:50 am to Nix to Twillie
quote:
I just hope enough people realize the bloodbath that awaits if Trump is the nominee.
If that happens, it might be for the better. I know it sounds weird but it would loosen the grip Trump has on the party.
But what if Trump were to miraculously pull off another victory? We'd get 4 more years of Trump, 8 of DeSantis, and we could maybe begin to restore some sanity to a country that many of us feel has gone off the rails.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:52 am to low pro drifter
quote:
But the fact that he got into the race shows a lack of awareness.
It shows that he's also tired of Biden.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:52 am to low pro drifter
quote:
I like DeSantis. But the fact that he got into the race shows a lack of awareness. Trump is unlike any other political figure in my lifetime (45.). DeSantis was never going to beat him and it has only further divided us.
I wish he would've stayed put, allowed Trump another shot, and then be ready in '28. Trumpers would've jumped on board at that point and I feel he would've had a real shot.
Now I'm even less optimistic about the future...hope I'm wrong.
Thanks for articulating my thoughts - wouldn't change a word - DeSantis is my Governor and I fully support him in that role - and would certainly have supported him in 28 - now he may be damaged goods in 28 - and I'm no political advisor guru but this was an easy prediction.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:52 am to stout
quote:
Everyone that repeats this never has an answer for why it would be different for Ron.
Before Trump, who was the last Republican to lose Arizona and Georgia?
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:54 am to stout
quote:
Everyone that repeats this never has an answer for why it would be different for Ron.
Are Democrats going to go easier on Ron? Not cheat if it's Ron?
They're not going to go easier on him. They'll go harder. I think Ron can withstand the onslaught and reach enough independent voters.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:55 am to roadkill
quote:
and would certainly have supported him in 28 - now he may be damaged goods in 28
Why is he damaged goods? What makes this any different if he loses in 24 and then runs again in 28?
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:56 am to DisplacedBuckeye
quote:
It shows that he's also tired of Biden.
Can't blame him there
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:57 am to stout
quote:
Everyone that repeats this never has an answer for why it would be different for Ron.
It's been answered weekly at a minium.
This is more accurate:
quote:
Everyone that repeats this never has an answer that I like for why it would be different for Ron.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:57 am to low pro drifter
quote:
But what if Trump were to miraculously pull off another victory? We'd get 4 more years of Trump, 8 of DeSantis
I'm good with the first part, but I doubt a republican wins after another Trump presidency.
Posted on 7/28/23 at 6:58 am to low pro drifter
quote:
wish he would've stayed put, allowed Trump another shot, and then be ready in '28. Trumpers would've jumped on board at that point and I feel he would've had a real shot.
You don't sit around and wait while Trump loses again
This isn't sports
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