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Started By
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Boom/Bust with Watson
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:53 am
Posted on 9/15/20 at 7:53 am
Am I the only one who has trouble understanding how to read these analytics?
I get that it’s probably just bullshite, but I want to know what I’m looking at and why it’s bullshite.
So, am I reading this correctly... according to this comparison below, Sterling Shepard has a 26% to score >20.5 pts, correct?
And Preston Williams only has an 8% chance to score >20.1 pts?
And if that’s the case, how can the %’s be so different when the curves seems to be so similar?
And then I have no idea how to read this below data... any help would be appreciated.
I get that it’s probably just bullshite, but I want to know what I’m looking at and why it’s bullshite.
So, am I reading this correctly... according to this comparison below, Sterling Shepard has a 26% to score >20.5 pts, correct?
And Preston Williams only has an 8% chance to score >20.1 pts?
And if that’s the case, how can the %’s be so different when the curves seems to be so similar?
And then I have no idea how to read this below data... any help would be appreciated.
This post was edited on 9/15/20 at 7:55 am
4
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:03 am to yankeeundercover
quote:
And then I have no idea how to read this below data... any help would be appreciated.
Base/projection at 27.
Bust if he scores less than 16.2
Boom if he scores greater than 32.
The 16.2 to 32 range doesn't fit the boom or bust category.
Week one he fell into the range that didn't fit either category so he is 0 of 1 for both of those.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:06 am to yankeeundercover
First step is understanding not to use Watson
It’s like Mathew Berry created a computer based off of his brain knowledge regarding fantasy football
It’s like Mathew Berry created a computer based off of his brain knowledge regarding fantasy football
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:32 am to VermilionTiger
quote:
First step is understanding not to use Watson
Watson was basically killed off in the AI commercial marketplace due to being horrible.
It only lives on as a brand in places like this where non-tech folks don’t think of it as a running joke because they’ve seen all the IBM propaganda ads during football games.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 8:37 am to yankeeundercover
Uses an algorithm based on Monte Carlo, like everything else in statistical modeling.
It probably doesn’t give you any more advantage over sit/start pages. But people like firm numbers over theory.
It probably doesn’t give you any more advantage over sit/start pages. But people like firm numbers over theory.
Posted on 9/15/20 at 12:08 pm to dj30
quote:And the %’s are associated with how likely either will happen.
Bust if he scores less than 16.2
Boom if he scores greater than 32.
And how did they get to the “base projection” of 27? I don’t recall seeing “27” as his Projected Pts
Posted on 9/15/20 at 2:28 pm to yankeeundercover
It's completely full of shite.
Although I am only saying that because it said I was going to finish 11/12 in my league after the draft.
Although I am only saying that because it said I was going to finish 11/12 in my league after the draft.
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