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The numbers in Nevada are very encouraging on a national basis
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:30 pm
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:30 pm
Even if Harris pulls it out in Nevada, it looks like it will be .5% or less. That is a 2 point shift to the right at a minimum. If every other state does that, Trump wins them all except Michigan. Ballgame.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:32 pm to armtackledawg
please baby jesus give me NH so we can all relax rest of the night. end this early.
RUN THE SCORE UP!
BLOW THEM OUT!
RUN THE SCORE UP!
BLOW THEM OUT!
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:33 pm to armtackledawg
quote:Only problem is that all states aren't equal. For example, if Nevada is shifting toward Trump because of Hispanic voters moving to Trump more than offsetting older white voters moving to Harris, that trend won't be as pronounced (and in fact may be the opposite) in a rust belt state.
Even if Harris pulls it out in Nevada, it looks like it will be .5% or less. That is a 2 point shift to the right at a minimum. If every other state does that, Trump wins them all except Michigan. Ballgame.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:39 pm to armtackledawg
Except every state is not going to shift the same amount. I saw some dumbass with pronouns on LinkedIn use this same logic with the Iowa poll that had Harris ahead.
Posted on 11/5/24 at 2:41 pm to TheWalrus
quote:
Except every state is not going to shift the same amount. I saw some dumbass with pronouns on LinkedIn use this same logic with the Iowa poll that had Harris ahead.
I understand that, but these are not polls, they are actual numbers.
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