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Message
re: 2022 PGA Betting & Fantasy Golf Thread
Posted on 2/13/22 at 12:15 am to tzimme4
Posted on 2/13/22 at 12:15 am to tzimme4
quote:
Trends from winners of the Waste Management:
-Top 7 or better in one of their last five starts.
-Top 50 in Greens in Regulations for the current year.
-Top-5 result in a past Waste Management Open
Names that fit those trends include:
Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, Scottie Scheffler, Bubba Watson, Carlos Ortiz, Rickie Fowler, Brendan Steele and Matt Kuchar.
Scottie or Xander are taking this tomorrow
1
Posted on 2/13/22 at 8:47 am to tzimme4
Final Round 3 Balls
Jon Rahm+110
Justin Thomas+150
Chris Kirk+350
Bubba Watson+140
Billy Horschel+165
Brendon Todd+225
Adam Hadwin+160
Alex Noren+160
Garrick Higgo+200
Hideki Matsuyama+145
Max Homa+190
Tom Hoge+190
Xander Schauffele+160
Patrick Cantlay+175
Talor Gooch+185
Brooks Koepka+175
Sahith Theegala+175
Scottie Scheffler+175
Also parlayed at 272/1
Good luck today guys!
Jon Rahm+110
Justin Thomas+150
Chris Kirk+350
Bubba Watson+140
Billy Horschel+165
Brendon Todd+225
Adam Hadwin+160
Alex Noren+160
Garrick Higgo+200
Hideki Matsuyama+145
Max Homa+190
Tom Hoge+190
Xander Schauffele+160
Patrick Cantlay+175
Talor Gooch+185
Brooks Koepka+175
Sahith Theegala+175
Scottie Scheffler+175
Also parlayed at 272/1
Good luck today guys!
Posted on 2/13/22 at 6:11 pm to tzimme4
quote:
Justin Thomas 12/1
Hideki Matsuyama 16/1
Jordan Speith 21/1
Scottie Scheffler 28/1
Webb Simpson 47/1
Fanduel: W/O Rahm, Thomas, Matsuyama & Hovland:
Russell Henley 40/1
Top-20:
Adam Scott (+150)
Another winner baws!
Posted on 2/13/22 at 6:30 pm to tzimme4
Nice work on that one baw
Posted on 2/13/22 at 9:18 pm to tzimme4
Scottie!!!
Quick initial scan for Riv week. My first click tomorrow might be Deki.
Quick initial scan for Riv week. My first click tomorrow might be Deki.
This post was edited on 2/13/22 at 9:37 pm
Posted on 2/14/22 at 8:11 am to ATLsuTiger
The last ten winners have played in either Pebble or Waste Management
Only two golfers missed the cut in his final start before Riveria. (Watson 2016 and Holmes 2019)
Deki is basically all or nothing when it comes to this course. Cut last year, but a 5th and 9th before that. Also another 4th and 11th in 2016 and 2015.
Only two golfers missed the cut in his final start before Riveria. (Watson 2016 and Holmes 2019)
Deki is basically all or nothing when it comes to this course. Cut last year, but a 5th and 9th before that. Also another 4th and 11th in 2016 and 2015.
This post was edited on 2/14/22 at 8:19 am
Posted on 2/14/22 at 9:23 am to tzimme4
At 18/1 I'm not in love with Deki. I'd rather go Rory at 22/1.
Posted on 2/14/22 at 9:56 am to ATLsuTiger
90-1 Reed if you have any free bets.
Posted on 2/14/22 at 11:29 am to BallChamp00
Reed love two things, Poa and hard course particularly long ones.
There is a Augusta & Quail Hollow correlation.
There is a Augusta & Quail Hollow correlation.
This post was edited on 2/14/22 at 11:30 am
Posted on 2/14/22 at 11:53 am to tzimme4
Reed at 90 is so bad that it feels like a trap. He's near the bottom of my rankings. I'd rather go out of form Finau at 60 over Reed at 90.
The last 3 winners at Riv had a previous year T10 at the event. 5 of the last 6 winners had a T14 or better here the year before.
Got my list narrowed to this group:
The last 3 winners at Riv had a previous year T10 at the event. 5 of the last 6 winners had a T14 or better here the year before.
Got my list narrowed to this group:
This post was edited on 2/14/22 at 11:59 am
Posted on 2/14/22 at 2:00 pm to ATLsuTiger
If you include Zalatoris, Why rule out Xander? He has finishes of 15-23-15-9 the last 4 years?
Posted on 2/14/22 at 3:30 pm to WhoDat9090
My trend stat wasn't correct. It's actually the last 2 of 3 winners at Riv had a previous year T10 at the event. And 4 of the last 6 winners had a T14 or better here the year before. JB Holmes... 
When it comes down to it, I'm just not a fan of Xander on Sundays at this point. Plus, Willy offered a much better price.
quote:
If you include Zalatoris, Why rule out Xander? He has finishes of 15-23-15-9 the last 4 years?
When it comes down to it, I'm just not a fan of Xander on Sundays at this point. Plus, Willy offered a much better price.
Posted on 2/14/22 at 4:14 pm to WhoDat9090
Zalatoris' caddie was on the bag when John Merrick won in 2013.
I already bet Fitzpatrick at 44-1 on FD. If the course plays hard like last year he'll play well. Plus, we have to keep the 1st time winner trend going.
Lefties also eat this course up, so McNeese State's Bobby Mac will be a popular bomb
I already bet Fitzpatrick at 44-1 on FD. If the course plays hard like last year he'll play well. Plus, we have to keep the 1st time winner trend going.
Lefties also eat this course up, so McNeese State's Bobby Mac will be a popular bomb
This post was edited on 2/14/22 at 4:22 pm
Posted on 2/14/22 at 5:58 pm to tzimme4
That tournament was awesome 
Long time coming for Scottie. I love these tournaments with 1st time winners. Xander better get that W stat. How long can he play this elite level golf without winning? I'd imagine if his Sunday struggles continue you could have a Rickie Fowler situation where he just loses it.
Hope Riviera plays like a major course this week. The field is packed again
Long time coming for Scottie. I love these tournaments with 1st time winners. Xander better get that W stat. How long can he play this elite level golf without winning? I'd imagine if his Sunday struggles continue you could have a Rickie Fowler situation where he just loses it.
Hope Riviera plays like a major course this week. The field is packed again
Posted on 2/14/22 at 6:32 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:
How long can he play this elite level golf without winning?
He just won a gold medal less than a year ago, so it's just a PGA drought
Posted on 2/14/22 at 6:48 pm to tzimme4
HA! His last win on Tour was 3 years ago. Since then, 12, count'em TWELVE Top 3 finishes.
Posted on 2/14/22 at 6:57 pm to tzimme4
I won't get to follow the in-play action as closely this week so I'm going heavy and betting 9% of this smaller field pre-flop. What's the o/u on missed cuts from this group?
Genesis
Rory 20
Deki 25
Cam 25
Vik 25
Willy 33
Burns 40
Fitz 40
Finau 60
List 80
Noren 80
Clark 200
375 coins invested this week. 4060 coins left in the bank.
2022 Outright Winners
Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 @ Sony
Luke List 80/1 @ Farmers
Scottie Scheffler 25/1 @ WM
Genesis
Rory 20
Deki 25
Cam 25
Vik 25
Willy 33
Burns 40
Fitz 40
Finau 60
List 80
Noren 80
Clark 200
375 coins invested this week. 4060 coins left in the bank.
2022 Outright Winners
Hideki Matsuyama 18/1 @ Sony
Luke List 80/1 @ Farmers
Scottie Scheffler 25/1 @ WM
Posted on 2/14/22 at 7:10 pm to ATLsuTiger
Including some majors, right?
Posted on 2/15/22 at 7:08 am to wutangfinancial
The last 7 winners have finished the season Top-60 in driving distance. 5 of the last 7 were inside the Top-20
Posted on 2/17/22 at 8:19 am to tzimme4
Matt Fitzpatrick WD
I'm replacing his outright action with Taylor Gooch 55/1
FRL
Burns 40/1
Henley 50/1
KH 80/1
Clark 80/1
I'm replacing his outright action with Taylor Gooch 55/1
FRL
Burns 40/1
Henley 50/1
KH 80/1
Clark 80/1
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