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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Gustav
Posted on 8/26/08 at 1:38 pm to arklatiger
Posted on 8/26/08 at 1:38 pm to arklatiger
We may be looking back on Katrina with nostalgia if this thing blows up like they think it will and keeps its present track.
0
Posted on 8/26/08 at 1:50 pm to mhasen1
quote:
Basically, you are comparing a former NOAA meteorologist and hurricane hunter to a celebrity psychic while pretending to be the only person in the world to have access to the models. And then you attack the other poster. Priceless.
Considering that I used to program many of these models I would say I have a right to call the guy a hack.
BTW when did I say I was the only person that had access to the model? Im saying the guy DOES have access to the GFDL model hell everyone with an internet connection does. What Im saying is that the latest run that would put Sunday afternoon in the picture did not happen at the time and the guy was making a guess as to what the storm would do after it was 200 miles off the coast while using GFDL as a reason which was a blind guess on his part. The guy just wants traffic to his site. No meterologist or oceanographer would ever put much faith in a 120 hour model.
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 1:56 pm
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:03 pm to Catman88
He is on accuweather. It already gets traffic as it it. He's not been an alarmist in the past. You said yesterday you didn't even know about him (a guy on one of the most popular weather sites). If you don't know much about him then you are no authority to say whether he is or not.
he is no hack...I think you may be thinking of Joe Bastardi. He tends to cry the sky is falling on several instances.
he is no hack...I think you may be thinking of Joe Bastardi. He tends to cry the sky is falling on several instances.
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 2:04 pm
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:10 pm to arklatiger
I said I didnt read his blog.. Doesnt mean I dont know who he is.
Just think the guy is bringing attention to something that is highly inaccurate. Doesnt make sense why he would put any faith in a model that is a very good model but known to be inaccurate more than 72 hours out. Gustav could go anywhere right now and Im pretty sure he realizes that.
Not sure how
"Sorry never think to read it.. he has some balls though.. Any guy that has ever been a hurricane hunter has to have a tough stomach.. Knew one guy that flew out into one to see what it was like and he said it didnt take long for him to throw up...."
equates into not knowing who he is
Just think the guy is bringing attention to something that is highly inaccurate. Doesnt make sense why he would put any faith in a model that is a very good model but known to be inaccurate more than 72 hours out. Gustav could go anywhere right now and Im pretty sure he realizes that.
Not sure how
"Sorry never think to read it.. he has some balls though.. Any guy that has ever been a hurricane hunter has to have a tough stomach.. Knew one guy that flew out into one to see what it was like and he said it didnt take long for him to throw up...."
equates into not knowing who he is
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 2:14 pm
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:15 pm to Longdriver98
we should all just tuck our heads between our legs and kiss our asses goodby. holy shite people this storm is still days away, and every model has a different path. it could hit anywhere between mexico and florida.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:18 pm to arklatiger
quote:
think you may be thinking of Joe Bastardi. He tends to cry the sky is falling on several instances.
We were doing shots during katrina everytime he said "epic proportions"
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:19 pm to geauxgrrl
quote:
some pretty powerful energy
Go geauxgirl!!!
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 2:20 pm
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:22 pm to 12inches
If some are trying to scare monger, then shame on them...some people's nervous reactive instinct is to run to the hills. The only reason it should be brought up here that timing is everything with these systems...and anyone would hate to be "stuck" somewhere not being able take care of important matters. If many people knew this going in on Saturday, then that is a good thing.
But in either case, nothing should be motivation to calling another forecaster a hack....he just basically said that all eyes along the coast should monitor the situation.
But in either case, nothing should be motivation to calling another forecaster a hack....he just basically said that all eyes along the coast should monitor the situation.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:24 pm to arklatiger
Actually Bastardi had Katrina initially going up to New Jersey causing "Epic Proportions.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:28 pm to arklatiger
quote:
....he just basically said that all eyes along the coast should monitor the situation.
If that was what he was saying then I agree. I havent read his blog just what was posted here. If he is taking a model beyond its final run and claiming that said model claims it will hit NOLA then that is what I was being critical about. The way it was stated he was making a guess and using a global model to back himself up.. Thats pretty bad.
He may just be doing so to get people to wake up and see what is going on which I cant disagree with.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:41 pm to Catman88
quote:
Damn, I just bought that map from someone who told me that was where Jean Lafitte's treasure was lost!!!
Start on Canal and walk all the way down Bourbon St. near the end you will see some rainbow flags. Go through the door under those flags.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 2:45 pm to Catman88
Yeah...I wouldn't go further than say it is looking solid for a Southcentral GOM position by Saturday. Beyond that anyone would agree that it just bears watching. But by then, a good grip on the situation will be accomplished by then and decisions would have to start being made.
But as with all forecasting: Results are Subject to change.
But as with all forecasting: Results are Subject to change.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 3:05 pm to arklatiger
We have so much testosterone and "experts" one way or another I see people bragging and talk "sheet" for weeks.
Watch your bets......gonna bite a whole bunch of people in the arse.
Loving the drama....
Posted on 8/26/08 at 3:05 pm to arklatiger
(no message)
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 3:06 pm
Posted on 8/26/08 at 3:41 pm to kanibal
could this affect the game on saturday?
Posted on 8/26/08 at 3:42 pm to Beaux
nope
Posted on 8/26/08 at 3:47 pm to Beaux
Absolutely. So, to show my support for my fellow Tiger fans, I will accept all sideline tickets on the West side of Tiger stadium to save on disposal fees. As a local, I thought it was the least I could do to help out. 
Posted on 8/26/08 at 4:27 pm to Icansee4miles
Latest I have seen fyi ....
The latest hurricane forecasting models are split on the eventual track of Hurricane Gustav.
All of the most reliable models send the storm into the Gulf of Mexico, but disagree if Gustav is headed for Louisiana, Florida, Mexico or somewhere else.
The National Hurricane Center forecast track calls for Gustav to cross over Haiti today and flirt with Cuba, raking along the island's coast, before crossing into the Gulf of Mexico Saturday as a major hurricane with winds between 111 and 130 miles per hour.
The five day forecast issued at 4:00pm calls for Gustav to about 330 miles south-southeast of New Orleans Sunday afternoon in the Gulf of Mexico as a category 3 hurricane. The cone of error spreads from the Florida Panhandle through Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana.
It's kind of a guess as to where this goes," says Channel 4 Meteorologist Jonathan Meyers. "Probably into Sunday, that's when we get a best guess on exactly where this is going to head."
Get Hurricane Gustav updates every half hour on WWL AM & FM. You can also get hurricane ready and track the storm anytime at WWL.com.
The latest hurricane forecasting models are split on the eventual track of Hurricane Gustav.
All of the most reliable models send the storm into the Gulf of Mexico, but disagree if Gustav is headed for Louisiana, Florida, Mexico or somewhere else.
The National Hurricane Center forecast track calls for Gustav to cross over Haiti today and flirt with Cuba, raking along the island's coast, before crossing into the Gulf of Mexico Saturday as a major hurricane with winds between 111 and 130 miles per hour.
The five day forecast issued at 4:00pm calls for Gustav to about 330 miles south-southeast of New Orleans Sunday afternoon in the Gulf of Mexico as a category 3 hurricane. The cone of error spreads from the Florida Panhandle through Alabama, Mississippi and Louisiana.
It's kind of a guess as to where this goes," says Channel 4 Meteorologist Jonathan Meyers. "Probably into Sunday, that's when we get a best guess on exactly where this is going to head."
Get Hurricane Gustav updates every half hour on WWL AM & FM. You can also get hurricane ready and track the storm anytime at WWL.com.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 5:01 pm to charlied
friend on a rig in the gulf sent me an emial and the weather service they rely on weatherwatch or something like that has it going into mexico or the lowere part of texas due to a high coming down this way and the fact that thier is a low in the mexico area....now all this depend on what the high pressure does but that is what they r seeing right now
Posted on 8/26/08 at 5:02 pm to trustie
Sorry, but until the NHC says that, I ain't buying it...
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