Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us QB Regression = Facing #1 Defense | Page 3 | Tiger Rant
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re: QB Regression = Facing #1 Defense

Posted on 10/21/09 at 10:48 am to
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 10:48 am to
quote:

You know better, or you should know better.

we have one of the worst offenses in D1A

you can't bring out the powerhouse Ds that we've faced, because we've faced 2 well-ranked Ds

quote:

Let's try Texas.

13th in total offense

quote:

Let's try USC.

16th in total offense

nobody is saying LSU should be ranked in the top 16 on offense

we are currently ranked 112
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89915 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 10:50 am to
quote:

he also takes a bunch of sacks


hey you know what? you know what usually happens after a sack? you punt and put your excellent defense back on the field

you know what happens when you force throws that the pick off, they take them back and score or set up their offense in a position that makes your excellent defense weaker than it really is

sacks are bad, INTs get you beat
Posted by lsuchamps11
Member since Oct 2009
257 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 10:50 am to
this offensive ranking BS - is this about winning games (5-1) or about being entertained while you watch the game
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
37010 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Total Defense Rankings:


don't get me wrong, we have problems. but taking that 109th ranking without any thought is silly. do you really think some of those teams ahead of us in that stat have better offenses than us?
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:09 am to


This was the point a poster was trying to make:
quote:

We played the easiest part of our schedule and we are ranked as one of the worst offenses in the nation.
He is saying that LSU is #112 and played shitty teams; therefore, LSU's rank will fall when it gets to the meat of its schedule.

bullshite.

The truth is that 95% of the teams played shitty teams to start the season.

Moreover, LSU has played better defenses than 95% of the teams.

Thus:

1. All other football teams started with easier teams and are now facing the meat of their schedule.

2. LSU's offensive stats are at least partially skewed because LSU has faced better defenses than most other teams.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:09 am to
well ypp is the best way to judge, but i can't find those rankings sortable anymore. yahoo used to do it
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89915 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:12 am to
also just for your benefit

Big Ben is known for avoiding sacks because of his size and strength and pocket presence. Last year the Super Bowl Champions went 12-4 and gave up 46 sacks (2.875/g) in the regular season. His sack % was 8.9% (times sacked/attempts + sacks) He also threw 15 INTs in 469 attpts (3.2% INT rate over 29 attmp/game)

So far in six games JJ has attempted 145 passes and been sacked 5 times (0.83 sacks/g) So his sack % is 3.3%. He has thrown 3 INTs in 148 attmpts (2.02% over 25 attmpt/game)
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
37010 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:15 am to
i am just saying i would prefer our offense than having Duke's offense. yet they are #44 in total offense.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:20 am to
i don't think the low INT rates are shocking. JJ holds onto the ball and is scared to throw picks, and when he does throw, it generally is a safe pass. that's why his ypa have been so low in some games. also, holding the ball leads to sacks

LINK

LSU is 107 in sacks allowed, giving up 18 total and 3 per game.
Posted by TruLsu
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
8934 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:22 am to
quote:

So far in six games JJ has attempted 145 passes and been sacked 5 times

I thought he was sacked 5 times against Florida
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89915 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:26 am to
the LSUsports.net stats are fricked up and blew my whole point out if the water, they had the UF game sack stats (5-34yrds) as the cumulative season stat totals

my bad
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:28 am to
i thought you got it from ESPN actually. ESPN is really bad when it comes to sack stats for QBs in college for come reason
Posted by just me
Front of the Class: Schooling You
Member since Mar 2006
34489 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:28 am to
quote:

the LSUsports.net stats are fricked up and blew my whole point out if the water, they had the UF game sack stats (5-34yrds) as the cumulative season stat totals

my bad
Steelers sacks per game = 2.875

LSU sacks per game = 3.000



Steelers = Champions

LSU = ????
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:31 am to
steelers had a truly great defense and a slanted way to determine a champion. LSU doesn't have either luxury
This post was edited on 10/21/09 at 11:32 am
Posted by Cold Cous Cous
Bucktown, La.
Member since Oct 2003
15347 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:35 am to
quote:

Big Ben is known for avoiding sacks because of his size and strength and pocket presence.
Is he really? I don't think this is true. Phil Steele would say that an 8.9% sack ratio is atrocious.
Posted by DoubleDeuce
Lafayette
Member since Sep 2006
832 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:36 am to
quote:

Moreover, LSU has played better defenses than 95% of the teams.


Lets compare apples to apples.

The only cupcake we've played this year has been ULL. Am I correct?

We scored 31 point on them. The very next week Nebraska hung 55 on them. Nebraska is probably a middle of the pack offense. They only mustered 10 points against TexasTech. North Texas scored 34 and Western Kentucky scored 22. This was Western Kentucky's best offensive performance of the year and they are terrible.

What I think most people feel is that with JLee, our offense showed production. The INTs are something to be concerned with, but could be corrected. By all indications if he runs the same type of offense that JJ is running he probably doesn't have near the INT numbers of a year ago.

To be fair, JJ can correct a lot of his mistakes. His mistakes, to the naked eye, seem to stem from not being a pocket passer. He isn't a pocket passer and I would venture to guess that Crowton's playbook isn't centered around a moving pocket. I don't think anyone here understands what it would take to just change almost the entire playbook to get JJ in a moving pocket. Because you can't have him run naked bootlegs every pass play.

The negatives always outweigh the positives for a QB. People seem to see what they want. I'm a little harsh on JJ, but that is because I was never sold on him as an SEC QB from day one (I got to see a lot of him in high school).
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
89915 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:37 am to
all we hear about during a steelers game is Big Ben's magical ability to side step, move up or move back in the pocket to avoid the rush and how big and strong he is and so tough to bring down
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:38 am to
quote:

The only cupcake we've played this year has been ULL. Am I correct?

Vandy: 2-5
MSU: 3-4
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
471354 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:39 am to
quote:

all we hear about during a steelers game is Big Ben's magical ability to side step, move up or move back in the pocket to avoid the rush and how big and strong he is and so tough to bring down

while i think all of these are true, he still takes a lot of sacks

that's more due to the steelers' OL being bad at pass protection. they're built to run the ball

if we could run the ball, i wouldn't be too worried, but we can't
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
16767 posts
Posted on 10/21/09 at 11:41 am to
JJ's completion % is the most deceiving stat ever.

they way JJ plays, its very hard to have a productive offense.

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