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Message
re: AUPH - Aurinia Pharmaceuticals
Posted on 1/24/21 at 1:57 pm to bayoubengals88
Posted on 1/24/21 at 1:57 pm to bayoubengals88
Even if we don’t get a buyout, if you look forward at 1 billion in earnings per year for the next 16 years with no other indication your market cap should be in the $10-$16 B range eventually. I’ll gladly wait for that.
2
Posted on 1/24/21 at 1:58 pm to HangingWithMrCooper
So is the current price a worthwhile buy-in point or no?
Posted on 1/24/21 at 2:32 pm to S1C EM
I've done some leg work on this over at wsb. they seem to be big fans. fwiw...
Posted on 1/24/21 at 2:42 pm to rocket31
quote:It was arguably one of the most popular "meme stocks" of 2016 on r/robinhood. This feels like part two. Honestly, it could be a factor in driving the price up. I'm starting to expect $30+ tomorrow, but I don't think I'll sell.
I've done some leg work on this over at wsb. they seem to be big fans. fwiw...
Posted on 1/24/21 at 2:44 pm to HangingWithMrCooper
quote:This is the argument for a hefty buyout. $45 to 65
Even if we don’t get a buyout, if you look forward at 1 billion in earnings per year for the next 16 years with no other indication your market cap should be in the $10-$16 B range eventually. I’ll gladly wait for that.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 3:02 pm to bayoubengals88
I am toying with the idea of selling 500 shares and buying TSNP. Might do it if we get over $25
Posted on 1/24/21 at 3:24 pm to MSTiger33
Why all the TSNP love? Ive got a few thousand on AT’s advice but are there any details?
Posted on 1/24/21 at 3:25 pm to MSTiger33
I’ve had a sell Order @ $28.45 for a third of my position that’s been in place for over a month waiting for this bump. I just cancelled it. Now I’m just getting greedy and want more. Tomorrow will be interesting.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 3:41 pm to LChama
quote:
Why all the TSNP love? Ive got a few thousand on AT’s advice but are there any details?
The app is launching in February and the investor call on Friday was really positive. I don't want to hijack this thread. I sat on my Auph for a year and missed out on a number of big runners. I don't mind carving off 500 shares now and putting it in something else unless the Monday morning conference call mentions a buyout. I have a pretty decent position in Auph so 500 shares won't kill me.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 4:40 pm to MSTiger33
I love this company and have been with them for a couple of years now. Having said that I intend to take profits. If buyout talk heats up I’ll jump back in. For a guy like me who won’t be able to monitor it all day how would you recommend getting the most return? I’m afraid if I set a limit it’ll fall just short and I’ll miss out on a good profit. I’m afraid of a trailing stop loss in the event they do a few more tree shakes. Any ideas?
Posted on 1/24/21 at 4:58 pm to GAFF
quote:
I’m afraid if I set a limit it’ll fall just short and I’ll miss out on a good profit. I’m afraid of a trailing stop loss in the event they do a few more tree shakes. Any ideas?
Never feel shame in taking profits. Keeping the money in the casino I'd how the casinos continue to make money.
Of course you'll never own a 10 bagger if you sell a couple bags in Everytime.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 5:21 pm to GAFF
Yea, I am trying to figure out my strategy for tomorrow as well. I have a combination of shares and Jan/2022 call options. Assuming there is a decent pop, I want to take some profits.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 5:27 pm to bod312
Chances of seeing $20 tomorrow: 90%
$30 - 55%
$40 - 20%
I’m not letting go for under $40
Let me clarify: there’s NO reason to see $40 outside of really juicy buyout rumors, but with the way the market is now days people are looking to jump on anything with a chance. Look at BB and GME. It’s insane. Never underestimate the impact of places like r/wallstreetbets. Again, not likely, and not rational, but I give it a 20% chance.
$30 - 55%
$40 - 20%
I’m not letting go for under $40
Let me clarify: there’s NO reason to see $40 outside of really juicy buyout rumors, but with the way the market is now days people are looking to jump on anything with a chance. Look at BB and GME. It’s insane. Never underestimate the impact of places like r/wallstreetbets. Again, not likely, and not rational, but I give it a 20% chance.
This post was edited on 1/24/21 at 5:34 pm
Posted on 1/24/21 at 7:04 pm to bayoubengals88
I agree, but I get nauseous thinking about the opportunities I missed this past year while having a lot of money tied up in AUPH. I don't want to do that again. Just thinking I could have doubled or tripled my Plug holding makes me want to throw up.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 7:18 pm to MSTiger33
Ah, the curse of having money to burn 
I think selling at a high price will actually add stress to my life. How many home improvements will we make? What to invest in next? Who can we help out in need? etc.
I think selling at a high price will actually add stress to my life. How many home improvements will we make? What to invest in next? Who can we help out in need? etc.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 7:25 pm to bayoubengals88
The bulk of my personal holding is in my Roth so no choice but to look at it.
I also have a bunch in my kid's UTMAs and two inherited IRA trusts that I manage. I might start charging a fee.
I also have a bunch in my kid's UTMAs and two inherited IRA trusts that I manage. I might start charging a fee.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 7:32 pm to MSTiger33
quote:Nice. I’m at 44.4% in my Roth so that takes away some decisions.
The bulk of my personal holding is in my Roth so no choice but to look at it.
quote:Wow. What a relief Friday must have been
and two inherited IRA trusts that I manage.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 7:38 pm to bayoubengals88
You have no idea. I have AUPH, BB up 61%, PLTR is up over 20%, and PLUG up 1,314%. AUPH has been sitting there doing nothing until tomorrow.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 8:13 pm to LChama
quote:
Why all the TSNP love? Ive got a few thousand on AT’s advice but are there any details?
I have been watching it for a week. It seems like it is up 8 plus percent every day.
Posted on 1/24/21 at 10:01 pm to MSTiger33
According to the market guys on msnbc we should see the feeding frenzy continue until the end of this quarter after that though tried lightly.
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