Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Bidenomics and Retirement Funds? | Page 2 | Money Talk
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re: Bidenomics and Retirement Funds?

Posted on 9/18/23 at 1:52 pm to
Posted by LatinTiger30
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2007
4822 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 1:52 pm to
Did you cash out or something?
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13345 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:00 pm to
20% since January 2021 sounds high. But regardless of how much it may be up, keep in mind that our dollars are worth about 75% of what they are worth.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

20% since January 2021 sounds high. But regardless of how much it may be up, keep in mind that our dollars are worth about 75% of what they are worth.


S&P 500 total return is up 20.3% since 1/20/21. CPI is up 16% since then. Both are cumulative.
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
23518 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

politics do effect money decisions when you have idiot democrats running the country




Bingo we have a winner..
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13345 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:26 pm to
Uh, CPI bears little relation to what people have to purchase in their daily lives.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:48 pm to
quote:

Uh, CPI bears little relation to what people have to purchase in their daily lives.


So what made up numbers would you like to use instead?

Gold is only up about 5% since his presidency.

Food at home and food in general are up about 19-20%.

PCE is up 24%.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13345 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 4:52 pm to
Dude, no one is making things up. Do you buy gas? Do you buy groceries? Pay the check at restaurants? And oh, have you had to take out a mortgage loan recently?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Dude, no one is making things up.


You’re missing the point - you don’t get to arbitrarily say the dollar is worth 75% of what it was in January 2021 without benchmarking/indexing it to something.

You didn’t like CPI, which tried to weight all of those various items we buy, so I gave you other options. CPI is flawed, but it’s better than some anecdotal experience for the sake of comparison.

Vs gold, the dollar is only down 5%. Vs food at home, it’s down 20%, but you don’t just buy food, so that’s a poor measurement, right? I’m just asking to find something to back up your claims instead of simply your gut feeling.

Also, it’s incredibly dumb to just drop an inauguration date run these numbers from there when these are global issues and they’re not exactly attributable to any single administration. Obama was a shitty president and stocks did well. Trump was a less shitty president and stocks did well. Biden is a really shitty president and stocks have done well. Maybe there is more to it than the president?
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13345 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 5:06 pm to
Granted it’s a rough estimate. People who live in the real world and have to support families know that the purchasing power of the dollar has been severely diminished.
This post was edited on 9/18/23 at 5:09 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91484 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 5:28 pm to
Yeah I see it too.

I’m by no means belittling the very real inflation we’ve had since Biden took over, but we’ve got to put in some agreeable perspective too. If OP would have put his money in cash in 1/21 instead of the market, he’d be down about 12-20% in real terms, depending on the benchmark. That’s a lot worse than the S&P 500.
Posted by blzr
Saratoga
Member since Mar 2011
30744 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 6:02 pm to
Jesus Christ this is dumb
Posted by Art Blakey
Member since Aug 2023
290 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 6:22 pm to
Imo, equities are doing as well as they are due to two dudes trying to drive the same car. Powell's foot is on the brake and the admin/congress are hitting the gas by running fiscal deficits that are likely to hit 8% of gdp by year end. That level of deficit spending as a percentage of gdp has only been hit in wartime before.

The trillion dollars the govt is paying in interest this year is also stimulative. A big chunk of that of that gets recycled right back into equities.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
13345 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 6:30 pm to
This definitely sounds sustainable for the long term. Brilliant economy strategy.
This post was edited on 9/18/23 at 6:47 pm
Posted by Art Blakey
Member since Aug 2023
290 posts
Posted on 9/18/23 at 7:56 pm to
quote:

This definitely sounds sustainable for the long term. Brilliant economy strategy.


It's more inertia than strategy imo. Interest, entitlements and military (including veteran spending) is about 80% of the budget. The entitlement programs have been doomed by demographics for a couple of decades. They could have been restructured in the 90s when boomers were paying in but not yet receiving.

Now it's too late. Boomers are retiring and they vote. They're going to get theirs (in nominal usd terms) but it's going to be in inflated money without nearly as much purchasing power as they counted on. Gen X and younger might get Amazon gift cards when they retire if they're lucky.
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