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Message
re: BOIL has become predictable
Posted on 2/19/15 at 7:54 am to white perch
Posted on 2/19/15 at 7:54 am to white perch
That's a pretty terrible draw for this time of year I believe. If I had to guess Ugaz will drop upon the report, but with the latest bullish action who knows? Last week saw a bad number but Ugaz ended the day in the green.
I'll be watching closely though.
ETA: and as jlu has pointed out, next week should be a huge number, so there could be anticipation for that.
I'll be watching closely though.
ETA: and as jlu has pointed out, next week should be a huge number, so there could be anticipation for that.
This post was edited on 2/19/15 at 7:57 am
1
Posted on 2/19/15 at 8:03 am to rintintin
today may be a good day to buy some ugaz and uwti
Posted on 2/19/15 at 8:58 am to white perch
Just sold UGAZ @ 3.18 for a 9% profit. Buying DGAZ into the 9:30 report.
In DGAZ @ $6.59. Let's see what happens. Set a stop limit @ 6.30 just in case.
In DGAZ @ $6.59. Let's see what happens. Set a stop limit @ 6.30 just in case.
This post was edited on 2/19/15 at 9:15 am
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:10 am to jlu03
when does the report come out?
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:11 am to white perch
9:30
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:15 am to jlu03
DGAZ in at 6.63
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:17 am to white perch
UWTI actually may not be a bad risk/reward trade right now if you can get it closer to $3. Put a tight stop loss at 2.90'ish and look for a rebound to mid 3's. Wish I would've seen that earlier.
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:30 am to rintintin
-111
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:31 am to jlu03
quote:
-111
so what does this mean for the DGAZ I just bought?
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:36 am to white perch
Well the -111 beat the estimate of -105 and should have moved NG higher but I'm not seeing much movement.
May take my 3% gain in 30 minutes and get out. Buy back into UGAZ as more cold weather pushes southward.
May take my 3% gain in 30 minutes and get out. Buy back into UGAZ as more cold weather pushes southward.
This post was edited on 2/19/15 at 9:49 am
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:48 am to jlu03
DGAZ - bought at 6.63, sold at 6.77
2.11% gain today
all within an hour, time to get back to my real job
2.11% gain today
all within an hour, time to get back to my real job
Posted on 2/19/15 at 9:51 am to jlu03
It beat estimates, but it's still a relatively low number, at least compared to last year. The movement looks about as expected IMO. If Ugaz closes in the green, or even a little red, I think it still looks bullish for next week. I sold some at 3.16 before the report, then picked up more at 3 after. If it dips to 2.8's, I'm buying more.
Posted on 2/19/15 at 10:02 am to rintintin
This. Look at the 5-year average and last year's draws for the same week.
Posted on 2/19/15 at 10:16 am to sneakytiger
Also keep in mind that most of the funds, if not all, are already 100% in April futures. March contracts might bounce around before it settles on 2-25, but April may lag. March and April are called the "widowmaker" for a reason.
Posted on 2/19/15 at 10:21 am to jlu03
quote:
May take my 3% gain in 30 minutes and get out. Buy back into UGAZ as more cold weather pushes southward.
You selling the shares you bought at 2.93?
Posted on 2/19/15 at 10:42 am to TheIndulger
How are you guys playing UGAZ? Short term, taking gains?
Posted on 2/19/15 at 11:02 am to TheIndulger
quote:
You selling the shares you bought at 2.93?
Sold those shares this morning at 3.18.
Bought DGAZ immediately after @ 6.59 and just sold @ 6.78.
Probably jump back into UGAZ this afternoon depending on price.
Posted on 2/19/15 at 11:05 am to Numberwang
quote:
How are you guys playing UGAZ? Short term, taking gains?
yes, I'm in and out the same day. Often within the same hour
Posted on 2/19/15 at 2:29 pm to rintintin
Can you put on a stop loss or limit with robinhood?
Posted on 2/19/15 at 2:54 pm to secondandshort
quote:
Can you put on a stop loss or limit with robinhood?
no
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