Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us BOIL has become predictable | Page 112 | Money Talk
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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 2/20/15 at 7:41 am to
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7598 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 7:41 am to
Damn, UGAZ on fire in premarket this morning
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
33660 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 7:45 am to
How are you monitoring premarket trades?
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7598 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 7:49 am to
Investing.com app and the Nasdaq website
Posted by PetroAg
Member since Jun 2013
1881 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:17 am to
Finally selling the rest of my UGAZ this morning. I bought into energy on the way down back in November and December, after the first dip stabilized for a week or two. First time in the market, learned a valuable lesson of don't try and catch a falling knife. Luckily it was only a small position. I'm taking what's left of my UGAZ and dumping into DGAZ and hopefully turning a quick profit. Guess i didn't learn
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:25 am to
Picked up 2100 shares of UGAZ right before close yesterday.

May sell on the open.
Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7598 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:29 am to
I might buy some UGAZ this morning, ride it up a few %, then sell it and buy some DGAZ
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:34 am to
NG prices keep creeping after every update.

Is it possible we break $3 today??

Currently 2.982
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 8:38 am
Posted by Crbello4Hiceman
Lurking
Member since May 2011
502 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:38 am to
I still have my UGAZ shares dollar cost averaged at $8.05/sh from back in December. Anybody have any ideas of what natty gas prices would need to be to get UGAZ back to $8 or am I just forever screwed here?
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:44 am to
quote:

Crbello4Hiceman


Just above $4 but it depends on other factors.
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 8:45 am
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
17009 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:45 am to
quote:

 I'm taking what's left of my UGAZ and dumping into DGAZ and hopefully turning a quick profit. Guess i didn't learn ?


I'm not so sure I'd do that quite yet, unless in "quick profit" you mean a day or 2. NG is on a bullish track right now. When it breaks that trend I'll sell, but it looks pretty strong right now.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91483 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 8:59 am to
quote:

Anybody have any ideas of what natty gas prices would need to be to get UGAZ back to $8 or am I just forever screwed here


Natural gas prices could get back to $4 and your UGAZ could actually be worth less than it is today. Crazy huh?

Most guys in this thread have no clue how UGAZ/DGAZ work and should probably stay out of them. 3x leveraged ETFs are meant for daily positions only. If you hold them for any prolonged period of time, you may find yourself in a world of hurt.

Look at the charts for both of them YTD - DGAZ is down ~30% AND UGAZ is down 9%. That is the nature of extreme volatility and these ETFs...

Posted by white perch
the bright, happy side of hell
Member since Apr 2012
7598 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:20 am to
DGAZ

Bought at 5.65

Sold at 5.80

2.74% profit made in about 15 minutes while driving home from my real job. Time to hit the gym. Today is chest day.
Posted by TheIndulger
Member since Sep 2011
19357 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:23 am to
jlu03, you holding out or selling?
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:24 am to
quote:

Time to hit the gym. Today is chest day.



Bro, everyday is chest day.

Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:32 am to
quote:

Most guys in this thread have no clue how UGAZ/DGAZ work and should probably stay out of them. 3x leveraged ETFs are meant for daily positions only. If you hold them for any prolonged period of time, you may find yourself in a world of hurt.



while you're putting it a little harshly, you're correct...natural gas prices and these instruments are not even closely correlated over time.

based on quite a bit of reading I've done, I'm not certain anyone really fully understands them
Posted by Numberwang
Bike City, USA
Member since Feb 2012
13163 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:48 am to
I'm liking UGAZ this a.m.
Posted by dkreller
Laffy
Member since Jan 2009
33660 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 9:56 am to
So if I buy UGAZ at $3 and it goes to $20 in a year am I not making over 5x profit when I sell?

Eta why can't it be a long term investment?
This post was edited on 2/20/15 at 9:57 am
Posted by PetroAg
Member since Jun 2013
1881 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:01 am to
Deterioration risk and being leveraged 3x
Posted by Numberwang
Bike City, USA
Member since Feb 2012
13163 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:04 am to
Smaller gambles are ok long term. I don't have any idea how much you u guiz are putting into UGAZ to flip in and out of it daily to make it worthwhile.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
17009 posts
Posted on 2/20/15 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Most guys in this thread have no clue how UGAZ/DGAZ work and should probably stay out of them. 3x leveraged ETFs are meant for daily positions only. If you hold them for any prolonged period of time, you may find yourself in a world of hurt. 


This topic has come up numerous times in the history of this thread, so most posters that have been here awhile are fully aware the rsiks that are involved with these leveraged etf's. Many have been bitten hard by it too. But yes I agree, some of the newcomers need to study what these etf's actually are and how they work before jumping in. You should be prepared to lose large amounts of money messing with a 3x leveraged etf.
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