Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us BOIL has become predictable | Page 55 | Money Talk
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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 11/5/14 at 5:51 pm to
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23690 posts
Posted on 11/5/14 at 5:51 pm to
quote:

Looks like a colder than normal week next week.

This is likely an understatement. A typhoon is tracking toward Alaska and the jet stream is supposed to let an extremely cold air mass drop from Canada to the gulf...I've never seen such excitement or agreement about a November Arctic air mass THIS far out (national and local news...and the forums are going crazy).

And from everything I've read, this is supposed to be the trend all winter...a Greenland block that allows the jet stream to dip south causing the midwest, east, and south to be quite frigid (much like last year).

I might add that polar regions in both Siberia and Canada haven't seen this much snow this EARLY since 1975-76. Early northern snow cover plays a significant role in determining how early winter will come and how cold it can get.

So what does this do for your natural gas plays?
This post was edited on 11/5/14 at 5:53 pm
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 11/5/14 at 6:01 pm to
Ugaz to the moon then.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/5/14 at 6:41 pm to
My commodities guy e-mailed me about the Siberian thing quite some time back. If natural gas doesn't get to at least $5 this winter, I'd be hugely surprised.

I'm short tomorrow, but have been long for quite some time now.
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:00 am to
What do y'all think the entry price point for UGAZ is today?
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4120 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:03 am to
Anyone have a sense as to what effect low oil prices will have on future NG prices as we head into a potentially cold winter?

Seems as though the price of oil was much higher the last few winters when NG prices have spiked. Looks like that won't be the case this winter. Any chance NG prices stay down?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:31 am to
91 beats estimate -v- cold weather.

Here we go go to the show show.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:34 am to
dang it.

closed out my put at .18, broke even less commission

still long UGAZ

looking forward to the excitement next Thursday
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:42 am to
9:40, 10 minute future's quote delay on the equities exchanges. Here we go, go to the show show you Hostess Ho Ho.

And down .06.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:57 am to
Bull trap? Bull crap? Wait?

Cash did pop up .14 yesterday. There always seems to be the largest disconnect between cash and December for obvious reasons.

December settling between .03-.05 lower. Next time it dips a nickel I'm out of the short.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 10:39 am to
Out of DGAZ for a $90 gain.
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:09 am to
quote:

9:40, 10 minute future's quote delay on the equities exchanges. Here we go, go to the show show you Hostess Ho Ho.





gonna have to be honest and say I didn't quite understand some of the technical jargon
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:11 am to
I'm glad you said it.
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:35 am to
Im glad I didn't make the DGAZ play. Got in near the bottom of UGAZ this morning. Making some money here would take the sting out of a long harsh winter.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
23262 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 12:48 pm to
UGAZ is gonna dip one more time...........scoop up all you can..........
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 12:55 pm to
daily dip or weekly?
Posted by Douglas Quaid
Mars
Member since Mar 2010
4120 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:00 pm to
UGAZ sure is flying now.
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:18 pm to
Posted by Ole War Skule
North Shore
Member since Sep 2003
3409 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

UGAZ sure is flying now.



DAHUMN! let's roll baby
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:22 pm to
Bull trap, short lived bear. Not much to be made from the UNG puts. About a 21% gain on .15 puts.

wxrisk.com released weather news this morning.

No more go, go to the show, show, until Big Bad Cold Winter Hostess Ho Ho makes long Jan/Feb gas hugely profitable.

I do need to ask LSU Use The Force Be With You why you think there is one more dip left?

Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:37 pm to
It is really remarkable, cash and December gas are in backwardation almost .60 as I type this.

There is going to be a huge swing in either cash or December at some point.
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