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Started By
Message
re: BOIL has become predictable
Posted on 11/5/14 at 5:51 pm to southernelite
Posted on 11/5/14 at 5:51 pm to southernelite
quote:This is likely an understatement. A typhoon is tracking toward Alaska and the jet stream is supposed to let an extremely cold air mass drop from Canada to the gulf...I've never seen such excitement or agreement about a November Arctic air mass THIS far out (national and local news...and the forums are going crazy).
Looks like a colder than normal week next week.
And from everything I've read, this is supposed to be the trend all winter...a Greenland block that allows the jet stream to dip south causing the midwest, east, and south to be quite frigid (much like last year).
I might add that polar regions in both Siberia and Canada haven't seen this much snow this EARLY since 1975-76. Early northern snow cover plays a significant role in determining how early winter will come and how cold it can get.
So what does this do for your natural gas plays?
This post was edited on 11/5/14 at 5:53 pm
Posted on 11/5/14 at 6:01 pm to bayoubengals88
Ugaz to the moon then.
Posted on 11/5/14 at 6:41 pm to I Love Bama
My commodities guy e-mailed me about the Siberian thing quite some time back. If natural gas doesn't get to at least $5 this winter, I'd be hugely surprised.
I'm short tomorrow, but have been long for quite some time now.
I'm short tomorrow, but have been long for quite some time now.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:00 am to Iowa Golfer
What do y'all think the entry price point for UGAZ is today?
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:03 am to southernelite
Anyone have a sense as to what effect low oil prices will have on future NG prices as we head into a potentially cold winter?
Seems as though the price of oil was much higher the last few winters when NG prices have spiked. Looks like that won't be the case this winter. Any chance NG prices stay down?
Seems as though the price of oil was much higher the last few winters when NG prices have spiked. Looks like that won't be the case this winter. Any chance NG prices stay down?
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:31 am to Douglas Quaid
91 beats estimate -v- cold weather.
Here we go go to the show show.
Here we go go to the show show.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:34 am to Iowa Golfer
dang it.
closed out my put at .18, broke even less commission
still long UGAZ
looking forward to the excitement next Thursday
closed out my put at .18, broke even less commission
still long UGAZ
looking forward to the excitement next Thursday
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:42 am to Ole War Skule
9:40, 10 minute future's quote delay on the equities exchanges. Here we go, go to the show show you Hostess Ho Ho.
And down .06.
And down .06.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 9:57 am to Iowa Golfer
Bull trap? Bull crap? Wait?
Cash did pop up .14 yesterday. There always seems to be the largest disconnect between cash and December for obvious reasons.
December settling between .03-.05 lower. Next time it dips a nickel I'm out of the short.
Cash did pop up .14 yesterday. There always seems to be the largest disconnect between cash and December for obvious reasons.
December settling between .03-.05 lower. Next time it dips a nickel I'm out of the short.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 10:39 am to Iowa Golfer
Out of DGAZ for a $90 gain. 
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:09 am to Iowa Golfer
quote:
9:40, 10 minute future's quote delay on the equities exchanges. Here we go, go to the show show you Hostess Ho Ho.
gonna have to be honest and say I didn't quite understand some of the technical jargon
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:11 am to Ole War Skule
Posted on 11/6/14 at 11:35 am to I Love Bama
Im glad I didn't make the DGAZ play. Got in near the bottom of UGAZ this morning. Making some money here would take the sting out of a long harsh winter.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 12:48 pm to southernelite
UGAZ is gonna dip one more time...........scoop up all you can..........
Posted on 11/6/14 at 12:55 pm to L S Usetheforce
daily dip or weekly?
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:00 pm to L S Usetheforce
UGAZ sure is flying now.
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:20 pm to Douglas Quaid
quote:
UGAZ sure is flying now.
DAHUMN! let's roll baby
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:22 pm to Douglas Quaid
Bull trap, short lived bear. Not much to be made from the UNG puts. About a 21% gain on .15 puts.
wxrisk.com released weather news this morning.
No more go, go to the show, show, until Big Bad Cold Winter Hostess Ho Ho makes long Jan/Feb gas hugely profitable.
I do need to ask LSU Use The Force Be With You why you think there is one more dip left?
wxrisk.com released weather news this morning.
No more go, go to the show, show, until Big Bad Cold Winter Hostess Ho Ho makes long Jan/Feb gas hugely profitable.
I do need to ask LSU Use The Force Be With You why you think there is one more dip left?
Posted on 11/6/14 at 1:37 pm to Iowa Golfer
It is really remarkable, cash and December gas are in backwardation almost .60 as I type this.
There is going to be a huge swing in either cash or December at some point.
There is going to be a huge swing in either cash or December at some point.
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