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re: BOIL has become predictable
Posted on 1/7/15 at 12:51 pm to L S Usetheforce
Posted on 1/7/15 at 12:51 pm to L S Usetheforce
UGAZ's prospectus says it tracks just the NG portion of the index, which is comprised entirely of NG futures? ETN's are fricken crazy 
1
Posted on 1/7/15 at 12:55 pm to sneakytiger
sure it does track that..........but the entire GSCI has a reflection on it...........thats how natural gas traded up a cent earlier in week and UGAZ was down.
Track UGAZ and spot price and see what I'm talking about.
Track UGAZ and spot price and see what I'm talking about.
Posted on 1/7/15 at 12:56 pm to L S Usetheforce
It didn't really click to Russian questioned it.
Posted on 1/7/15 at 12:58 pm to L S Usetheforce
All I know is I'm gonna have some stagnant money in UGAZ for a while it seems.
Posted on 1/7/15 at 1:14 pm to L S Usetheforce
quote:
BOIL has become predictable
No it hasn't
Posted on 1/7/15 at 1:27 pm to L S Usetheforce
UNG, UGAZ and the GSCI NG index seem to line up. UNG and GSCI are literally on top of each other in this chart. I can only go back this week on the index yahoo though.
Posted on 1/7/15 at 2:00 pm to sneakytiger
All I know is that when ng was 3.90-4.20 any Nov.... I was weekly trading ugaz in the 12-17 range
Posted on 1/8/15 at 9:31 am to L S Usetheforce
About what I expected. I had though -125. Came in at -131. I think, and I haven't check, yty was about -200.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 9:33 am to Iowa Golfer
Any commentary from anyone with knowledge here- do we have any catalysts coming up to help us get back over the hump or is this it for a couple of months?
Posted on 1/8/15 at 12:34 pm to Crbello4Hiceman
Next week should be nearly double the draw from this week's report. After that I don't think there is much.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 12:54 pm to Crbello4Hiceman
Short-term, probably not, longer term there are exports via LNG and pipelines to Mexico, as well as some fuel switching from power producers that should help soak up supply or at least put a floor on prices. I'm not afraid of being long NG right now, but the prospect of being long in something like UGAZ for much longer does frighten me.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 3:40 pm to sneakytiger
In the green. Now, let's see if we can string about 5 of these together.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 3:40 pm to sneakytiger
In the green. Now, let's see if we can string about 5 of these together.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 4:28 pm to sneakytiger
From my favorite weather blogger
quote:
The chart above shows 500mb geopotential height anomalies during February, in a Phase 2 MJO wave. Notice the pattern encompassing the Central and Eastern US; strong negative height anomalies are present from south-central Canada into the Northeast. The strength of this anomaly tells me it's more than a simple trough. The longwave pattern here says this may be a piece of the tropospheric polar vortex being shunted south into North America due to blocking high pressure east of Greenland. Luckily, the MJO doesn't drive the whole pattern, so it doesn't automatically mean the vortex will be down to visit again. However, it does give an idea of what late January could be like. As the MJO wave moves further east in February, the pattern will once again turn warm. But for now, late January and early February are looking wintry across the US.
To summarize:
- A warm pattern is likely in the middle of January.
- It is possible a final burst of wintry weather strikes the Central and Eastern US in the final days of January into early February.
Posted on 1/8/15 at 9:58 pm to sneakytiger
We got the CNBC 1% promised return on NG today.
Posted on 1/12/15 at 10:51 am to Iowa Golfer
If anyone needs me, I'll be in my bed in the fetal position crying.
Posted on 1/12/15 at 11:08 am to southernelite
quote:
If anyone needs me, I'll be in my bed in the fetal position crying.
+1
Posted on 1/12/15 at 11:20 am to jlu03
Read something the other day saying we could see cash prices below $2 in the spring. It's like 2012 all over again.
Posted on 1/12/15 at 11:36 am to sneakytiger
Well shite
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