Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us GETY may move like HKD | Page 2 | Money Talk
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re: GETY may move like HKD

Posted on 8/2/22 at 10:25 am to
Posted by djangochained
Gardere
Member since Jul 2013
19128 posts
Posted on 8/2/22 at 10:25 am to
too late
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 8/2/22 at 10:42 am to
Not too late
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 8/2/22 at 10:43 am to
Cup and handle forming on the day
Posted by Asharad
Tiamat
Member since Dec 2010
6322 posts
Posted on 8/2/22 at 11:38 am to
I bought a small number of shares (70) today at $32.79 I would've bought more, but most of my money was lost on the previous FOMO event.
This post was edited on 8/2/22 at 11:39 am
Posted by CajunTiger78
Member since Aug 2017
2879 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 9:11 am to
It's running now
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
12279 posts
Posted on 8/3/22 at 12:03 pm to
So do your own dd, not investing advice etc... but there seems to be an arbitrage situation here.

The warrants are floating in the low 1's. They are exercisable at $11.50 into one share.

Now they are trading at a massive discount to intrinsic because they are not exercisable yet. They become exercisable, I believe, 30 days after the merger (around Aug 22).

Looking at Sept puts, the $40 puts are selling at $22.50 and the $45 puts are selling around $26.50... so the spreads between cost and put value are $17-18.

Buying a warrant at $1.30ish plus $11.50 when you exercise gives a cost basis of $12.80.

The combination of these seems to lock in a worse case return of $4.20 (put spread less warrant cost). Upside beyond this is price plummets (puts) or skyrockets (warrants upon exercise).

A little clunky given the exercise process and you have to tie up some capital but appears to be a minimum 10-12%ish return for a month play.

If anyone sees a hole in this please ruin my day lol

Posted by Salamander_Wilson
Member since Jul 2015
8292 posts
Posted on 8/4/22 at 12:13 pm to
Holding strong through this dip
Posted by Asharad
Tiamat
Member since Dec 2010
6322 posts
Posted on 8/4/22 at 5:26 pm to
Thinking about selling at a loss
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