Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Silver up 12% for the week on Black Friday | Page 28 | Money Talk
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re: Silver up 12% for the week on Black Friday

Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:19 pm to
Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1632 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:19 pm to
One of the main reasons a lot of stackers are bullish is because Silver is currently in a five-year structural deficit, which I believe is unprecedented
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

not speculative tobacco stocks.


With all due respect, those “speculative” tobacco stocks have been the greatest wealth creator in the market for more than a century.

“ A $1,000 investment in US tobacco shares in 1900 would be worth over $8 million today (specifically, by 2020)”

“ A $1,000 face value in 1900 silver coins (like Morgan Dollars) would contain a substantial amount of silver, roughly 715 troy ounces, making its value today highly dependent on current silver spot prices (around $90/oz as of Jan 2026), placing it well over $60,000”
This post was edited on 1/16/26 at 5:39 pm
Posted by Kjnstkmn
Vermilion Parish
Member since Aug 2020
20330 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 5:48 pm to
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 6:10 pm to
Aren’t proof coins always priced 2-3X over spot?
Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1632 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

1900


Damn, how old are you baw? We're going back 125 years to prove a point.

Morgan dollars have a face value of $1. I doubt many people were hoarding circulated U.S. coinage that year in anticipation of beating certain stocks anyways.


I guess you're assuming that I'm 100% in PMs and not invested anywhere else?
This post was edited on 1/16/26 at 6:18 pm
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 6:28 pm to
You can pick whatever timeframe you choose. The point is it’s been decades since people utilized savings accounts that makes precious metals charts look intriguing. It’s better to hold any asset other than a dollar for long periods. But almost any asset like a stock or real estate is going to outperform the precious metal over time.

Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
4463 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

American Silver Eagles from the US Mint. I see pricing of $ 169 to $ 173 depending on the coin.


Yeah bought 1x MS-69 1986, 1994, & 1996 for $337 today.

Sadly the coin shop had this amazing coin set I was planning on buying and I went in to put a deposit down as he said he would have it priced by Saturday only to find out he sold it to the dude sitting at the counter :(

Oh well I should have put the deposit down yesterday I just thought I had the time.
Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
4463 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 6:43 pm to
Silver & Gold are not investments they are divestments from the financial sector.

We are headed to a mercantile asset based world and so the financial derivative bubble is going to collapse.

I think 0% of people would advocate you needed to buy silver and gold in 1964 and do nothing else.

Trust is gone nobody wants government debt the ponzi scheme is about to blow up globally..... Do what you think is best
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

But almost any asset like a stock or real estate is going to outperform the precious metal over time.
This is woefully inaccurate.

Since the creation of gold ETFs, gold has beaten the cap weighted S&P and the equal weighted S&P. That accounts for dividend reinvestment.

Real estate isn’t even in the conversation outside of major outliers.
Posted by lsuconnman
Baton rouge
Member since Feb 2007
4579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 7:32 pm to
I agree with you. But, this movement shows a lot of people didn’t get the memo.

You have SLV up like 30% in the last few weeks and the real harbinger of doom…Yieldmax started buying silver for its ETFs.

But, the real irony of the moment is AMC who’s on the brink of bankruptcy managed to sell its silver mine meme play before the run began.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 7:43 pm to
quote:

Trust is gone
This. It started (or resurfaced) during the financial crisis and Covid sealed the deal. This board’s strategy of stacking SPY shares and thinking that’s all you need is the old playbook. People need to adapt and quickly. When fiat really starts to decay, your part time job becomes understanding money.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35579 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 7:45 pm to
quote:

You have SLV up like 30% in the last few weeks and the real harbinger of doom…Yieldmax started buying silver for its ETFs.
Yieldmax is the writing on the wall. Perfect example. The financialization of everything is a byproduct of currency debasement.
Posted by GeauxTigers123
Member since Feb 2007
3179 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 8:56 pm to
That’s different. That’s like a special finish coin.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
45707 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 9:32 pm to
I know for sure that gold is up 224% since 02/04/24.

Gold is up 1804% since 08/1999.

Silver is up 210% in 4 months.

"Experts" keep saying we are going sub 10 on GSR. I want to believe, but some of them are saying $2k-10k silver. I just don't think it will ever make it that far. It's still been a good ride so far.

Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1632 posts
Posted on 1/16/26 at 10:56 pm to
quote:

You can pick whatever timeframe you choose...almost any asset like a stock or real estate is going to outperform the precious metal over time.


That's not the case for my portfolio. Strictly talking Silver here: I accumulated the bulk of my stack from the mid 2010's to 2022. I stopped buying as much when I couldn't get 90% Constitutional for 20x face value or less.

I don't know my exact spot price average, but it's in the teens still. Not a single ETF that I have in my Roth is up more percentage wise than my Silver since I started investing in the markets. Granted that wasn't always the case before this run-up, so I agree with you on the metals being able to suddenly gain massive ground. But, you said any time frame and Silver has been better for me at this point than all of my funds have.

Now, of course there's plenty of individual stocks that have outperformed Silver in that timeframe, but I rarely invest in individual stocks. The data shows that people who invest in funds exclusively average out better than active investors who chase individual companies. Only a small percentage of active investors are picking individual stocks and beating the S&P regularly. Maybe you're one of them so kudos to you if so.

I was also a very savvy stacker when I was going deep on it. I actually bought a ton of world coinage for below spot (Not always). That's something the average Joe can't really do with stocks, buy them for below market price

I got really lucky for a few years snagging Australian Sterling like this for below melt.



My story isn't everyone's story though. We all know of the guy who backed the truck up in 2011 and lump summed at the top only to get gashed for a decade plus afterwards

Also, stacking bullion is fun. A lot of us love getting new and interesting pieces. It goes beyond just the numbers, it can be a hobby. Buying stocks isn't really fun, it's just business.

The cherry on top for me is that by stacking a lot of world coinage I've pulled a bunch of key dates randomly. I have coins that have numismatic value well beyond spot price, that I didn't pay a premium for.

I have very few American Eagles. I never liked the premiums on them.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35579 posts
Posted on 1/17/26 at 12:39 am to
I haven’t figured out why I’m supposed to pay 5% more for a coin because it’s American. Maple leafs are dope anyways.
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