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Message
re: CFB bets week 8
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:09 pm to okietiger
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:09 pm to okietiger
basically the only reason i still see the Ok State line so low is that the game is an early one and Mizzou is riding high after crushing Iowa State. No way I think the Cowboys dont come out firing and still see this as an easy cover.
1
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:11 pm to CE Tiger
Well Missouri historically has played tough at home. They upset OU there last year.
And they've been close in every single loss they've had thus far. Keeping it within 10 @ Norman back in September was surprising.
And they've been close in every single loss they've had thus far. Keeping it within 10 @ Norman back in September was surprising.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:12 pm to okietiger
Yeah, I have a serious problem with bringing emotion into account when betting. I hate OU and they screwed me last week so I'm going against them. Revenge bet per se'.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:13 pm to okietiger
I jumped back on the hogs again at -15.5. That puts me on them at -17 and -15.5 for 2 units each, Wake -3 for 2 units, Ok State -6 for 4 units, Wisconsin -7 for 2 units, Nebraska -24.5 for 2 units, and West Virginia -14 for 2 units. Up 70 units on the year and look to pound the books again this weekend. GL to all 
Probably will look at Boise 1st half on Friday as well.
Probably will look at Boise 1st half on Friday as well.
This post was edited on 10/19/11 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:17 pm to DovaVol
I would load up on Aubun if you can still get it at +22. The possibility of LSU suspending players could make this a very good line.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:22 pm to LSU1018
quote:
I would load up on Aubun if you can still get it at +22. The possibility of LSU suspending players could make this a very good line.
Not a game I want to touch. LSU is very good(as we all know) and has won me alot this year. Something about Auburn seems like a team that I'm not sure who's going to show up each week. This one is alot like the Standford/Washington game for me. I'll just sit back and watch them both.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:25 pm to DovaVol
Yeah I have 2 unit on Auburn +23 but it has become by far my least confident bet. Illinois is getting up there though as well. Very worried about that game now too.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:31 pm to okietiger
Without Mathieu and Ware, I think LSU will have a tough time covering
Posted on 10/19/11 at 1:35 pm to okietiger
I didn't even see the suspension thing, but that makes me not want to bet it even more. I don't think I'm breaking any news to anyone here; but while TM7 is a player for sure, he is by no means LSU's best in coverage. It would seem another Nickel should be able to easily step in for the blitz package and be even somewhat effective. Now stripping the ball and carrying for a TD is a different story, but it seems like someone should be able to step in on the coverage portion of what he brings.
Ware is a beast, that one's gonna hurt alot more.
Ware is a beast, that one's gonna hurt alot more.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 3:30 pm to DovaVol
I bought Arky down 2 points to 13.5 for -150 just to make me feel better. 750 to win 500. Petrino will come out and want to embarrass Nutt before he gets the boot.
I'll be callin the hogs all day in the Grove
I'll be callin the hogs all day in the Grove
Posted on 10/19/11 at 3:47 pm to okietiger
we got any consensus big bets this week?
I don't see many games I want to touch, if that OK state line was a little lower I would probably bite, but I don't like -7.
I don't see many games I want to touch, if that OK state line was a little lower I would probably bite, but I don't like -7.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 3:49 pm to lighter345
If LSU drops down to -16 or -17, unload on LSU.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 3:56 pm to lighter345
I like arky has a big bet this week
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:00 pm to lighter345
quote:
we got any consensus big bets this week?
I don't see many games I want to touch, if that OK state line was a little lower I would probably bite, but I don't like -7.
Ok. State, Wisconsin, Ark, and Wake were the bigger consensus plays earlier this week. I think alot got Ok State in the 6.5 range(I got at 6), Wisconsin at 7(it's now 8), Ark at 17(now at 15.5), Bama(TN on backup qb and1 WR, I think it's still around 28), and Wake around 2.5 or 3(should still be 3).
Other than that some have looked at WVU(can Syracuse stop the air raid), Illinois(line has dropped to around 4), and Nebraska(MN is just plain bad) pretty hard.
The big toss ups have been Aub/LSU, and Stan/Wash as it seems split on people taking the +20 vs. those that have ridden the LSU/Stanford wagon all year and cashed.
I think that's pretty much what everyone has been looking at for the most part.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:02 pm to BayouBengals03
quote:
If LSU drops down to -16 or -17
an overrated cover CB and RB with quality depth behind him is not going to drop the line that much. what in the world...
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:06 pm to DovaVol
appreciate that, I wish I knew a bit more about Duke, Wake has some players.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:07 pm to lighter345
duke isnt terrible
think wake covers but game will stay close for longer than ppl think IMO
think wake covers but game will stay close for longer than ppl think IMO
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:08 pm to wish i was tebow
quote:
I like arky has a big bet this week
what's up tebow. who's your weekly studying been focused on this week. With TTT being gone for most of the the week, it's been fairly quiet in here. I'm on Ark(-17, -15.5), Wisc(-7), Ok. State(-6), and Wake(-3).
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:11 pm to DovaVol
quote:
what's up tebow
not much, just getting ready for my first start on Sunday. I know Miami fans will be cheering for me.
Posted on 10/19/11 at 4:12 pm to lighter345
quote:
appreciate that, I wish I knew a bit more about Duke, Wake has some players.
I hope it's as simple as I'm reading it out to be.
-Wake beats FSU straight up(ruined my parlay
) -FSU destroys Duke while Wake played Va Tech close for a half, then made a few bone headed plays to turn the ball over
-Wake should handle Duke by 13
This post was edited on 10/19/11 at 4:14 pm
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