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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 4
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:10 am to ChemE in the OP
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:10 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
2012 Baylor ULM Box Score
Have they diverged 3 TDs?
That's a big Ten Four.
0
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:13 am to Captain Ron
I'm a believer that teams don't always have to play to their averages, teams will have bad/good games under certain environments. I really feel a good game from NC State at home tonight.
A perfect example is the Saints game last Sunday, of course they are 3 points better than Tampa on average. Yet Tampa played well and Saints didn't granted the Saints still won, they didn't cover due to both teams not playing up to their potential.
Tonight I think NC State's D line holds their own against Clemson's run game and NC State's O-line gives Thomas time to make plays.
A perfect example is the Saints game last Sunday, of course they are 3 points better than Tampa on average. Yet Tampa played well and Saints didn't granted the Saints still won, they didn't cover due to both teams not playing up to their potential.
Tonight I think NC State's D line holds their own against Clemson's run game and NC State's O-line gives Thomas time to make plays.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:13 am to blades8088
quote:
2.5* Clemson-13.5
Clemson at -480.
Free Money Thursdays!
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:16 am to Ford Frenzy
quote:
A perfect example is the Saints game last Sunday, of course they are 3 points better than Tampa on average. Yet Tampa played well and Saints didn't granted the Saints still won, they didn't cover due to both teams not playing up to their potential.
That's actually not a good example at all. The reason I don't bet NFL is because each team is equally talented. The only thing that separates them is quarterback play and coaching. So it's not only possible that the worst team in the league can beat the best, but it even happens from time to time.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:24 am to bobbyray21
Anyone else liking Clemson 1Q -3.5?
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:33 am to bobbyray21
quote:ok use Cincy and Illinois then, everyone thought Cincy would roll because they're better
That's actually not a good example at all. The reason I don't bet NFL is because each team is equally talented. The only thing that separates them is quarterback play and coaching. So it's not only possible that the worst team in the league can beat the best, but it even happens from time to time.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:34 am to Ford Frenzy
No, everyone was basing Illinois off of last years shitty team. Illinois isn't that bad of a team this year.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:36 am to HoLeInOnEr05
have they even started conference play yet?
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:37 am to Ford Frenzy
Who?
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:39 am to HoLeInOnEr05
Illinois, the team you just anointed as not bad this year
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:40 am to Ford Frenzy
Wash St beating USC, no Washington State isn't better than USC, but they played above their means, which I expect from NC State tonight
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:42 am to Ford Frenzy
Nope. But they put up a good showing against a very good Washington team. 
State's QB has yet to throw a touchdown pass against Louisiana Tech and Richmond. Just let that soak for a little while.
State's QB has yet to throw a touchdown pass against Louisiana Tech and Richmond. Just let that soak for a little while.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:46 am to HoLeInOnEr05
NC State did hang 48 up at Clemson last year if that matters at all.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:49 am to Ford Frenzy
quote:
ok use Cincy and Illinois then, everyone thought Cincy would roll because they're better
1. I don't believe there to be an appreciable talent difference between Cincy and Illinois
2. I'm not saying that more talented teams never lose to teams with lesser talent. But when it happens, it usually involves a talented team that simply sucks at football, likely because of bad coaching (see Brown, Mack).
3. I don't see those variables this year with Clemson. I think they're competent defensively and well-lubricated offensively.
4. And you're gonna want that lubrication on offense.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:51 am to bobbyray21
we are all trying to predict the future here, I'm not saying I'm right or wrong, but it's awfully square of everyone to just log in to their little 5 dimes account and bet the max on Clemson because on paper it looks like they should cover easily, Vegas didn't set that line up for everyone to win free money.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:51 am to Ford Frenzy
Mike Glennon is no longer at State though. I just think this State team is not capable of putting up the points that will be needed to keep up. Dabo loves the spotlight and attention. With last week off, he will have this team fired up and ready to go.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:51 am to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
No, everyone was basing Illinois off of last years shitty team. Illinois isn't that bad of a team this year.
Let the record reflect that somewhere on the MSB is a thread that includes a post by BobbyRay21 stating that Illinois would be better this year and Purdue worse.
Nobody listens to BR21.
But, to be fair, I'm wrong a lot too.
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:54 am to Ford Frenzy
quote:
Vegas didn't set that line up for everyone to win free money
I can assure you that they set the moneyline for the very purpose of somebody winning some Free Money. And who is that somebody you ask?
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:55 am to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Mike Glennon is no longer at State though. I just think this State team is not capable of putting up the points that will be needed to keep up. Dabo loves the spotlight and attention. With last week off, he will have this team fired up and ready to go.
I'm just here trying to get people to not go crazy tonight on Clemson
Posted on 9/19/13 at 11:57 am to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Just let that soak for a little while.
haha I love it. I agree it looks like a trap but NCST isnt up to par like they normally are. I think the backup qb is gonna be the differenceThis post was edited on 9/19/13 at 11:57 am
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