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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL CFB bet thread week 8
Posted on 10/15/13 at 3:15 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 10/15/13 at 3:15 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
1* ULL +3.5
1
Posted on 10/15/13 at 4:14 pm to TheOcean
Picks:
LSU -8 (This is the end of a tough stretch by Ole Miss I expect the past few weeks and injuries to really show in this one. Ole Miss won't be able to stop LSU's WRs, this game will end up looking a lot like LSU vs. Florida)
Bama -28 Arkansas is one dimensional, Kirby Smart loves a one dimensional offense.Another game where Saban names the score (45-10, 49-3, etc.)
South Carolina -8 I expect a similar start as the UGA game but once USC gets up 14 they'll get another score and put UT away, Carolina will have enough defense to keep UT out of the endzone pretty much the whole game.
Clemson +3 (I'll probably take the ML) Winston's first experience in a hostile enviornment against a very potent pass rush, Death Valley will be loud and if Clemson can score points (they did last year and FSU's D lost 7 starters) FSU won't win a shootout against that new pass rush. FSU will have a shot if they can disrupt Boyd who's been known to have bad games, but I give the edge to the home team, Clemson by double digits.
Florida -3 Mizzou is much better than anybody expected them to be and if James Franklin was playing they'd be expected to win this game, but unfortunately he's not and their playing a very tough defense with an inexperienced backup QB they won't score and Florida will take advantage of mistakes and good field position.
LSU -8 (This is the end of a tough stretch by Ole Miss I expect the past few weeks and injuries to really show in this one. Ole Miss won't be able to stop LSU's WRs, this game will end up looking a lot like LSU vs. Florida)
Bama -28 Arkansas is one dimensional, Kirby Smart loves a one dimensional offense.Another game where Saban names the score (45-10, 49-3, etc.)
South Carolina -8 I expect a similar start as the UGA game but once USC gets up 14 they'll get another score and put UT away, Carolina will have enough defense to keep UT out of the endzone pretty much the whole game.
Clemson +3 (I'll probably take the ML) Winston's first experience in a hostile enviornment against a very potent pass rush, Death Valley will be loud and if Clemson can score points (they did last year and FSU's D lost 7 starters) FSU won't win a shootout against that new pass rush. FSU will have a shot if they can disrupt Boyd who's been known to have bad games, but I give the edge to the home team, Clemson by double digits.
Florida -3 Mizzou is much better than anybody expected them to be and if James Franklin was playing they'd be expected to win this game, but unfortunately he's not and their playing a very tough defense with an inexperienced backup QB they won't score and Florida will take advantage of mistakes and good field position.
This post was edited on 10/15/13 at 4:17 pm
Posted on 10/15/13 at 4:27 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
dropped as low as 7.5
That 7.5 would have been nice. I would have bought the .5 and went heavy on the -7.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 4:29 pm to JB Bama
quote:
Winston's first experience in a hostile enviornment against a very potent pass rush
Third road game and went to every away game last year. He hasn't had ANY issue with the pressure.
quote:
they did last year and FSU's D lost 7 starters
We have a completely different defensive system. No chance Clemson puts up 30+ on a non-prevent FSU defense.
quote:
Clemson by double digits
Lost me here
Posted on 10/15/13 at 4:38 pm to TheOcean
quote:
Third road game and went to every away game last year. He hasn't had ANY issue with the pressure.
@ Pitt, @ BC, + traveling as a freshman... Isn't the same thing as playing in what will be one of the most hostile enivornments this year. (Dabo gets those kids fired up)
FSU gave up 34 points to BC including 200 yards rushing, yet Clemson can't score 30?
This is a betting thread don't bring your delusion in here. I'm not a clemson fan, I'm trying to find an advantage based off what I've watched this season.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 4:43 pm to JB Bama
quote:
@ Pitt, @ BC, + traveling as a freshman... Isn't the same thing as playing in what will be one of the most hostile enivornments this year. (Dabo gets those kids fired up)
Really won't be a factor. He has played in hostile environments and has had zero issues. Zero. I think you are forgetting that some players thrive in these games.
quote:
FSU gave up 34 points to BC including 200 yards rushing, yet Clemson can't score 30?
Completely new system with better linebackers and a secondary. Our D line is our only weakness. I also think we turned the corner versus a pretty respectable Maryland offense. Plus we've had two weeks to prepare for this game.
quote:
This is a betting thread don't bring your delusion in here. I'm not a clemson fan, I'm trying to find an advantage based off what I've watched this season.
You seem upset I don't agree with you. I went against FSU versus Maryland. Those are some very poor reasons for betting against FSU.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 5:10 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Uf and Mizzou 44 1/2 points O/U. Should I take the under?
Posted on 10/15/13 at 5:55 pm to CarolinaSoCocky
Louisiana +4
Posted on 10/15/13 at 5:56 pm to dgtiger3
Why the lol? Not a fan of ULL tonight?
Posted on 10/15/13 at 6:00 pm to TheOcean
quote:
Why the lol? Not a fan of ULL tonight?
Because I called them Louisiana.
Kind of a touchy subject around these parts. I like the spot, they are my favorite weekday play this week. I will call the Cajuns whatever they want to be called tonight, as long as they make me money.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 6:10 pm to dgtiger3
My 3 prediction models can't agree on tonight's game.
Model 1: ULL 34, WKU 33 (Total: 67.0)
Model 2: ULL 28, WKU 37 (Total: 65.0)
Model 3: ULL 25, WKU 39 (Total: 63.0)
Average of the 3: ULL 29, WKU 36.3 (Total: 65.5)
With a posted total of 62 and a side of WKU -3 I don't see value of any play tonight.
Model 1: ULL 34, WKU 33 (Total: 67.0)
Model 2: ULL 28, WKU 37 (Total: 65.0)
Model 3: ULL 25, WKU 39 (Total: 63.0)
Average of the 3: ULL 29, WKU 36.3 (Total: 65.5)
With a posted total of 62 and a side of WKU -3 I don't see value of any play tonight.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 6:28 pm to dgtiger3
Im on the same as well. ULL+3 and they were at +105. Lets start the week off right
Posted on 10/15/13 at 7:26 pm to blades8088
What in the hell is Lafayette doing?
Posted on 10/15/13 at 7:37 pm to TJG210
Took them live at +7.5
Posted on 10/15/13 at 7:53 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
After my Air Force meltdown in the fourth quarter last week I don't put too much stock in the first quarter. One of the main reasons I played ULL is because they have been a much better team than WKU in the second half this year. Probably will be looking to play them 2H as well.
Posted on 10/15/13 at 8:10 pm to dgtiger3
What a play 
Posted on 10/15/13 at 9:30 pm to blades8088
Posted on 10/15/13 at 9:54 pm to TJG210
Winner winner chicken dinner
Posted on 10/15/13 at 10:01 pm to blades8088
Put a whopping 5 spot on a parlay with ULL +3/O 62/STL +1 1/2 just for fun.
Need some late touchdowns!
Need some late touchdowns!
Posted on 10/15/13 at 10:04 pm to DCBJR6
ULL bout to pound the rock and eat clock
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