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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 11 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 11/8/12 at 5:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 11/8/12 at 5:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
Colton Browing, ULM's starting QB, is out
gotcha, yeah my regression doesnt take that into consideration
1
Posted on 11/8/12 at 5:57 pm to Htown Tiger
quote:
I cant imagine any statistical system being able to cap this game accurately with the backup QB now it. ULM's offenive numbers this season are somewhat irrelevant now.
indeed, my numbers had ULM winning before the injury (which doesnt mean shiiet)
Posted on 11/8/12 at 5:57 pm to rocket31
ULM also has their top two RB's out tonight.
With all this talk about the Louisvile line movement, that's just Vegas playing with your head. Yes, the Carrier Dome is somewhat of a home field advantage, but the key word there is DOME. Bridgewater has put up excellent numbers in some absolutely attrocious weather conditions. TB in a dome - $. This game will also come down to coaching and Charlie Strong will coach circles around Paul Marrone.
With all this talk about the Louisvile line movement, that's just Vegas playing with your head. Yes, the Carrier Dome is somewhat of a home field advantage, but the key word there is DOME. Bridgewater has put up excellent numbers in some absolutely attrocious weather conditions. TB in a dome - $. This game will also come down to coaching and Charlie Strong will coach circles around Paul Marrone.
Posted on 11/8/12 at 5:59 pm to rocket31
quote:
indeed, my numbers had ULM winning before the injury (which doesnt mean shiiet)
Yep, mine too. Not too far off from yours, mine had ULM 33-28.
FWIW, it also like Va Tech + the pts, which I see you are playing. Good luck. I dont have the confidence to take them, so I just took FSU moneyline in a parlay.
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:04 pm to rocket31
rocket!
what you think of PSU +9?
what you think of PSU +9?
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:07 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
1½* FSU -12½
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:14 pm to Ghazi
my hard numbers say 24-30 Neb, but i havent looked at any of the *soft* factors.
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:16 pm to BeYou
I ended up taking ULM when it jumped up to 7.5 right before kickoff. Arky State has burned me this year, but ULM is more than just a star QB...they have done a lot of things well and my "upset" predictor has them ranked 8th of 124.
Also bought Va Tech up to 14.5, Feel like the Hokies will play inspired at home tonight.
Also bought Va Tech up to 14.5, Feel like the Hokies will play inspired at home tonight.
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:21 pm to dgtiger3
I have an itch to bet VT +13 ...
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:22 pm to dgtiger3
I got ya ...
Tonight's Card:
Arky St -6.5 for 5*
Arky St/La Monroe O59 for 1*
Leaning Va Tech +13 for 1* but just can't pull the trigger
Tonight's Card:
Arky St -6.5 for 5*
Arky St/La Monroe O59 for 1*
Leaning Va Tech +13 for 1* but just can't pull the trigger
This post was edited on 11/8/12 at 6:24 pm
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:22 pm to Ghazi
quote:
I have an itch to bet VT +13 ...
me too. They are undefeated at home
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:24 pm to Zipfer2022
quote:
doubt Monroe has a serviceable backup QB
He's actually pretty solid.
I forgot he was before I laid the points on ASU.
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:26 pm to Billy Mays
Just pulled the trigger on Va Tech +13
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:27 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Yikes... prayers sent
At least our Red Wolves are stabilizing here after being down 7-0
At least our Red Wolves are stabilizing here after being down 7-0
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:27 pm to Billy Mays
Hes solid but browning is awesome. Its a big dropoff for the ulm offense
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:29 pm to sgallo3
quote:
Hes solid but browning is awesome. Its a big dropoff for the ulm offense
For sure.
I was just hoping he'd be completely worthless. I forgot ULM puts him in to run the zone read and such.
Still like ASU - not sure ULM can stop them enough.
This post was edited on 11/8/12 at 6:32 pm
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:31 pm to Billy Mays
On FSU. I think they are a much better team
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:33 pm to Flatt2Flowers04
Aplin beast mode!
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:34 pm to Zipfer2022
ASU = Poor Man's Oregon 
Posted on 11/8/12 at 6:36 pm to wish i was tebow
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