Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews strikes back | Page 9 | More Sports
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re: OFFICIAL Week 4 CFB Betting Thread - dcrews strikes back

Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:26 am to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:26 am to
Colorado -7
Texas A&M -34.5 (square but I don't care)

Will add more later.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1487 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:27 am to
I predict this thread may pick up a bit after tonight's game. Personally, I'm pretty heavy handed on Auburn tonight so my weekend activity will be heavily predicated on tonight's outcome.

Aside from that though, A&M -30.5 and Pitt -6 are my plays so far.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:31 am to
Actually, adding one more...

Sep 18 CFB
STRAIGHT BET
[304] KANSAS STATE +8½-110

165 / 150

Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:31 am to
Intresting
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:33 am to
Thursday night home dog, RLM, getting 24% of wagers placed... I'll take my chances.
Posted by DFWAggie09
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
1487 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:34 am to
quote:

Thursday night home dog, RLM, getting 24% of wagers placed... I'll take my chances


I agree with all of this and I'm still on Auburn tonight and have been since Monday. I just can't help it.


ETA: KState is coming in to the game tonight with 14 walk-ons in the 2-deep. LINK

I'm really hanging my hat on the talent discrepancy between the two teams tonight.




This post was edited on 9/18/14 at 9:40 am
Posted by PapaPogey
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2008
40469 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:37 am to
I think auburn is gonna wax that arse, but I I'm not gonna make a play until right before kickoff
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:37 am to
quote:

Thursday night home dog, RLM, getting 24% of wagers placed... I'll take my chances.


Been saying this all week. If Auburn rolls, I'm going down with you.
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:38 am to
quote:

If Auburn rolls


They will
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:44 am to
Good luck with that.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36680 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:51 am to
The situation is being adequately accounted in the line. Auburn is a 14+ favorite on a neutral site. Is the Thursday night road favorite situation worth 5-5.5 points in this scenario? I tend to think no given Auburn's NC aspirations & the bye week mitigating the short week traveling component of a typical Thursday night road game. Manhattan is a tough place to play, but 5.5 points for the situation is a lot IMO.

I won't be betting Auburn unless I tease it to 2.5, but there's no way I could bring myself to step in front of the Malzahn train.
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 9:54 am to
quote:

The situation is being adequately accounted in the line.


You sure about that? 75% of the action is on Auburn, yet they won't give Kansas State a 10th point...

Should be a fun game to watch.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36680 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 10:04 am to
That's my opinion, yes. RLM has become a lot harder to read in this day & age because of how many green, "non-sharp" huge $ bettors are in the market, which weren't as prevalent historically. I believe this is especially true on nights with limited action like Thursday & MNF. Just my opinion, but the betting %s aren't enough for me to bet on KSU here. Snyder is an amazing coach but he can only do so much against what I believe is a vastly superior & should be focused team.
Posted by Broham
Member since Feb 2005
19126 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 11:13 am to
Apparently I got drunk last night and teased Auburn to -2.5 and the Over to 56. I'm not worried about the 2.5, just worried about the over of 56.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87147 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 11:15 am to
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 11:19 am to
Been super busy at work all week but I like KSU to cover and possibly win tonight.
Posted by theebuckeyenut
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Aug 2010
881 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 11:22 am to
Bet 550 to win 500 in the Under.
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3757 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 11:29 am to
quote:

Going to make a substantial wager on Clemson first half if I can get 10+


According to Chad Millman's podcast (ESPN guy) the books strongly anticipate a need for Clemson 1h. I'm a little surprised the public would be heavy on FSU 1h. I would think the public would bet the opposite. So Clemson +9.5 or whatever 1h might be a smart play.
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 12:35 pm to
Line dropping in AU game. Down to 8 on Bovada.
Posted by 4LSU2
Member since Dec 2009
37992 posts
Posted on 9/18/14 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Line dropping in AU game. Down to 8 on Bovada.


My current line is Auburn -7. I LOVEEEEEE
Aubie less than a TD tonight.
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