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Started By
Message
re: OFFICIAL Week 8 CFB bet thread™
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:04 am to memphstigers23
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:04 am to memphstigers23
quote:
Public is really giving Arizona state alot of love
This post was edited on 10/18/12 at 10:05 am
2
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:06 am to rocket31
tonight fits the criteria for RLM.
RLM is 18-12-2 on the year
RLM is 18-12-2 on the year
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:12 am to rocket31
Sorry for being "that guy" but RLM?
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:13 am to memphstigers23
cliffs: when the majority of wagers are coming in on one side, but the line is moving the other way (e.g. since the majority of the wagers are on Oregon, we should expect the line to move higher, not lower)
this happened last week in the WVU - TT game, for example.
this happened last week in the WVU - TT game, for example.
This post was edited on 10/18/12 at 10:15 am
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:16 am to rocket31
So that means betting Oregon is the smart move?
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:18 am to memphstigers23
No, theoretically it means betting Oregon is really square.
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:19 am to memphstigers23
No, it means that even though casinos are taking more bets on Oregon they feel confident they want even more action on Oregon.
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:19 am to memphstigers23
quote:
So that means betting Oregon is the smart move?
Nope, if you follow the idea behind RLM, Ariz St is the play tonight.
Just like TT was the *smart* play last week (smh)
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:20 am to JB Bama
Makes sense now 
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:21 am to rocket31
If I knew that I wouldn't have lost my parlay damn TT 
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:22 am to rocket31
I am thinking hard about pulling the trigger on ASU. Or maybe an ASU 1st half play. Remember how shitty Wazoo even kept it close in the 1st half?
Also liking SF -7 tonight. I feel like the books are begging for action on Seattle opening that line at 7.5, but logic tells me points will be at a premium. Logic has not done me any favors this year though. Best to do the thing that makes the least sense.
eta: locked in both of these
Also liking SF -7 tonight. I feel like the books are begging for action on Seattle opening that line at 7.5, but logic tells me points will be at a premium. Logic has not done me any favors this year though. Best to do the thing that makes the least sense.
eta: locked in both of these
This post was edited on 10/18/12 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:24 am to Zipfer2022
quote:
I am thinking hard about pulling the trigger on ASU. Or maybe an ASU 1st half play.
If ASU does cover this spread, I think we have enough statistical evidence to give RLM high consideration in future wagers. For the last three seasons, its been a winning method.
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:37 am to memphstigers23
I'm looking very seriously at this teaser:
Oregon pk
OVER 61
Seattle +15
UNDER 45
Oregon pk
OVER 61
Seattle +15
UNDER 45
Posted on 10/18/12 at 10:53 am to TexasTiger1185
Locked in Ball State -3.
Posted on 10/18/12 at 11:08 am to TexasTiger1185
quote:
Oregon pk
OVER 61
i like this
Posted on 10/18/12 at 11:50 am to ChemE in the OP
quote:
No, theoretically it means betting Oregon is really square.
Sometimes it's hip to be square
Posted on 10/18/12 at 11:58 am to rocket31
rocket what are your thoughts on the games tonight?
I've been on Arizona St. since the line came out and thought I would be able to grab it for 10 by today but it looks like that isn't the case at all.
I think Arizona St. is definitely being underestimated and if they win the turnover battle they will win this game outright.
I have it 26-24 Sun Devils.
I will also be on the under.
Houston is a no-brainer for me, no matter how square it may be, SMU is really bad and Houston has had a nice stretch of games.
35-14 Houston
I've been on Arizona St. since the line came out and thought I would be able to grab it for 10 by today but it looks like that isn't the case at all.
I think Arizona St. is definitely being underestimated and if they win the turnover battle they will win this game outright.
I have it 26-24 Sun Devils.
I will also be on the under.
Houston is a no-brainer for me, no matter how square it may be, SMU is really bad and Houston has had a nice stretch of games.
35-14 Houston
This post was edited on 10/18/12 at 12:00 pm
Posted on 10/18/12 at 11:58 am to bobbyray21
Got 3 units on Oregon -7.5. Can't see a way this doesn't cover...
Posted on 10/18/12 at 12:02 pm to tigerbaittrick
quote:
Can't see a way this doesn't cover...
Haha well you already lost
Posted on 10/18/12 at 12:09 pm to lighter345
If it's close in the 1st half (IE: Wazzou game), Oregon will easily cover.
blowout in the first half, foot comes off the gas for a possible garbage time TD for the cover (ASU)
blowout in the first half, foot comes off the gas for a possible garbage time TD for the cover (ASU)
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