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Message
re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:36 am to lsumailman61
Posted on 5/22/18 at 11:36 am to lsumailman61
rds - what are the chances that this front pushes it further East?
1
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:23 pm to Fusaichi Pegasus
quote:
what are the chances that this front pushes it further East?
There is always a chance but the current setup doesn't seem to favor it. There is a pretty stout high pressure to the east that should keep this on a more northerly track. Based on current model data, the consensus spread is from the Panhandle back towards Louisiana. Westward corrections might be more likely than eastward. Regardless, there is a huge batch of moisture coming northward out of the deep tropics. That will continue for several days after any system moves on shore.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:25 pm to rds dc
The GF is flying out to PBI I believe in a bit. Pretty sure they will fly around this pain in the arse.
Hopefully, the rain totals don't soar to high back home in SELA.
Hopefully, the rain totals don't soar to high back home in SELA.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:41 pm to 50_Tiger
I'm shooting fireworks for the Gulf Coast Symphony Concert in Gulfport Saturday and Pascagoula Sunday. This looks like a giant PITA.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 12:59 pm to LSU Tigershark
It is going to rain a little sat around midnight. Thats about it.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:20 pm to rds dc
RDS - heading to Navarre Saturday to Saturday. How many days am I going to be drunk looking at rain fall on the beach.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:23 pm to rds dc
quote:
Westward corrections might be more likely than eastward.
So what you're saying is that fishing out of Delacroix this weekend wouldn't be a bright idea?
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:24 pm to Black
quote:
So what you're saying is that fishing out of Delacroix this weekend wouldn't be a bright idea?
well being in a boat in S. LA might be a good idea though...
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:33 pm to rds dc
12z Euro is slower with a westward shift. Slow moving system approaching New Orleans.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:34 pm to rds dc
quote:
12z Euro is slower with a westward shift. Slow moving system approaching New Orleans.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:38 pm to rds dc
Moving west slowly.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:47 pm to lsuman25
so this fricker sits over us for 5 to 6 days dumping rain?
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:48 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Moving west slowly.
Still over Louisiana a week from now.
Luckily, despite the slow movement rainfall totals are reasonably low.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 1:49 pm to rds dc
At what point should I cancel my trip to New Orleans for the weekend?
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:20 pm to rds dc
Well that'll change the rainfall estimates
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:21 pm to rds dc
quote:
Luckily, despite the slow movement rainfall totals are reasonably low.
Totals do start to add up on the 12z Euro by the time things move out. The concern with a slow moving systems like this is that historically some have caused major issues.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:30 pm to rds dc
Welp. Better get ready for another major Amite River flood.
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:41 pm to The Boat
Has anything changed as far as the reasons it flooded last time? Like the stupid barricades on the interstate?
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:56 pm to OldSouth
Whenever they forecast a flood no worries. It's the ones they don't forecast that cause floods
Posted on 5/22/18 at 2:58 pm to iron banks
quote:
Whenever they forecast a flood no worries. It's the ones they don't forecast that cause floods
Well that's just flat out wrong. Both August 2016 and Harvey floods were modeled for ridiculous rainfall totals 3 days in advance.
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