Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Danny - no longer a threat | Page 29 | O-T Lounge
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re: Danny - no longer a threat

Posted on 8/23/15 at 3:44 pm to
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39895 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 3:44 pm to
Poor Danny
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

Poor Danny


He could still maybe make it to the Gulf and blow up or curve out to sea towards Bermuda or even Punta Cana!
Posted by Halftrack
The Wild Blue Yonder
Member since Apr 2015
2763 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 3:47 pm to
So we're all in the clear here in Mobile, right?
Posted by Dale Doubak
Somewhere
Member since Jan 2012
6000 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 4:04 pm to
Haven't been following this weekend been busy. How bout and update on possible landfalls all you OT meteorologist
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
19251 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 4:23 pm to
Or you could just go to the NOAA website and get all that info yourself.
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39895 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Punta Cana

Posted by Dale Doubak
Somewhere
Member since Jan 2012
6000 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 4:32 pm to
Why go to the website when yall are the real experts
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 9:06 pm to
00z 98L tracks

Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 9:28 pm to
98L is appears to be consolidating way south

Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 9:45 pm to
you wanna start the thread for it? Looks like it could become at least a TD tonight. Hell GFS and ECMWF are both damn near initializing it as a TS already
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

you wanna start the thread for it?


It could probably use a thread given how far south it is and the fact that it looks to be a large system. A few of the Euro ensembles track it towards the Gulf but most likely it will fish.
Posted by tke857
Member since Jan 2012
12195 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:01 pm to
No worries El Nino grande is going to make it highly unlikely that we will see a major storm hit us
This post was edited on 8/23/15 at 10:02 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21232 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

No worries El Nino grande is going to make it highly unlikely that we will see a major storm hit us


No US majors since Oct '05... that didn't take El Nino
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:04 pm to
I just want the average temperature to be around 65 for a few days.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:04 pm to
yeah I'm thinking atlantic curve on this one too if it survives. probably more a threat to me in the northeast than 90% of this board
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:04 pm to
quote:


I just want the average temperature to be around 65 for a few days.
we had a high of 70 today
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:07 pm to
How do ya'll know this stuff? Checking the wind shears? Do these storms take the path of least resistance? I'm just so intrigued watching ya'lls posts and predictions.
Posted by SEClint
New Orleans, LA/Portland, OR
Member since Nov 2006
49487 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:09 pm to
If it's boston I was considering traveling there next year. I want get into some alcohol & lobster and complain about Goodell.
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:11 pm to
rds dc and I both have degrees in meteorology. I forecast every day... not sure what rds does.

this far out it's mostly looking at model forecasts, some development metrics like kelvin waves, and a bit of climatology.

the storms aren't smart enough to take the path of least resistance... they need a force steering them. if they took the path of least resistance every hurricane would be a monster.
Posted by Rox
Member since Oct 2010
33333 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 10:14 pm to
I commend you guys. You get major props from me. I do enjoy following these threads and ya'lls work in them.
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