Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down | Page 31 | O-T Lounge
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re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down

Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:17 pm to
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21260 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:17 pm to
quote:

So to make this sexual yet again (this is the OT), the GFS mean points towards deep penetration of the S. Carolina/Georgia anal crevice, while the operational run goes more sensual with a run straight up the V of NY. Quite the spread there.



Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:33 pm to
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:34 pm to
You're way more technical than I could ever understand. I do find it odd that with everything being so complicated in where this storm goes, that the models are so tight with it still so far out
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:52 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:58 pm to
who's ready for the 00z GFS run
Posted by DoUrden
UnderDark
Member since Oct 2011
26034 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:59 pm to
I am glued to this thread with my Miami flight.
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:02 pm to
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:05 pm to
quote:



I'm going to assume a Cat 4 hurricane right up NYC's arse will NOT be the result of this run
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21260 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:07 pm to
quote:

who's ready for the 00z GFS run


Slightly SW of 18z, trough isn't as deep, ridge isn't necessarily stronger but maybe more expansive to the SW, I've seen enough

Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

Slightly SW of 18z, trough isn't as deep, ridge isn't necessarily stronger but maybe more expansive to the SW, I've seen enough

I see someone doesn't want to be the bearer of impending potential bad news
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:11 pm to
the Bahamas are definitely cheering "go GFS go!!"
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:11 pm to
Making my brain hurt.. thanks for the tl;dr

This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:12 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:19 pm to
NINE... HUNDRED

Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
22608 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:23 pm to
Anyone got a good resource that'll explain what I'm looking at with these maps? Preferably a YouTube video?
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:28 pm to
quote:

rds dc




Thanks for the long post on how the distribution of Sanvu's energy is throwing a wrench in the works. Always knew those transitioning typhoons seem to correlate with big cold front down here, but never really visualized it well.

Conservation of energy. Has to go somewhere, so it follows it would amplify the wave of the jet stream as it rolls north into it and that it would be a bitch to model all of it accurately.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:32 pm to
landfall this run seems to be around Maryland... more south than the Cat. 4 in NYC of 6 hours ago

This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:33 pm
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36491 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:34 pm to
The GFS really has a boner for a NE doomcane.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

The GFS really has a boner for a NE doomcane.

the tents currently being pitched at TWC
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146914 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:41 pm to
it has chilled on the back-to-back-to-back storms coming off Africa but still wants to put something forming in the Caribbean about the time Irma makes landfall

ETA: fortunately it looks like new Caribbean storm floats out into the Atlantic practically harmlessly... good b/c it now wants to blow it up to a good sized storm
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:53 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
130351 posts
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:54 pm to
Cantore woild have a 72 hour boner if a hurricane made landfall at Battery Park
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