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Message
re: Hurricane Irma - Spinning Down
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:17 pm to RazorBroncs
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:17 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:
So to make this sexual yet again (this is the OT), the GFS mean points towards deep penetration of the S. Carolina/Georgia anal crevice, while the operational run goes more sensual with a run straight up the V of NY. Quite the spread there.

Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:34 pm to rds dc
You're way more technical than I could ever understand. I do find it odd that with everything being so complicated in where this storm goes, that the models are so tight with it still so far out
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:58 pm to ihometiger
who's ready for the 00z GFS run 
Posted on 9/1/17 at 10:59 pm to rt3
I am glued to this thread with my Miami flight.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:05 pm to ihometiger
quote:
I'm going to assume a Cat 4 hurricane right up NYC's arse will NOT be the result of this run
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:07 pm to rt3
quote:
who's ready for the 00z GFS run
Slightly SW of 18z, trough isn't as deep, ridge isn't necessarily stronger but maybe more expansive to the SW, I've seen enough

Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:10 pm to rds dc
quote:
Slightly SW of 18z, trough isn't as deep, ridge isn't necessarily stronger but maybe more expansive to the SW, I've seen enough
I see someone doesn't want to be the bearer of impending potential bad news
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:11 pm to rt3
the Bahamas are definitely cheering "go GFS go!!"
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:11 pm to rds dc
Making my brain hurt.. thanks for the tl;dr
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:12 pm
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:23 pm to rt3
Anyone got a good resource that'll explain what I'm looking at with these maps? Preferably a YouTube video?
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:28 pm to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
Thanks for the long post on how the distribution of Sanvu's energy is throwing a wrench in the works. Always knew those transitioning typhoons seem to correlate with big cold front down here, but never really visualized it well.
Conservation of energy. Has to go somewhere, so it follows it would amplify the wave of the jet stream as it rolls north into it and that it would be a bitch to model all of it accurately.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:32 pm to Duke
landfall this run seems to be around Maryland... more south than the Cat. 4 in NYC of 6 hours ago


This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:33 pm
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:34 pm to rt3
The GFS really has a boner for a NE doomcane.
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:36 pm to Duke
quote:
The GFS really has a boner for a NE doomcane.
the tents currently being pitched at TWC
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:41 pm to rt3
it has chilled on the back-to-back-to-back storms coming off Africa but still wants to put something forming in the Caribbean about the time Irma makes landfall
ETA: fortunately it looks like new Caribbean storm floats out into the Atlantic practically harmlessly... good b/c it now wants to blow it up to a good sized storm
ETA: fortunately it looks like new Caribbean storm floats out into the Atlantic practically harmlessly... good b/c it now wants to blow it up to a good sized storm
This post was edited on 9/1/17 at 11:53 pm
Posted on 9/1/17 at 11:54 pm to rt3
Cantore woild have a 72 hour boner if a hurricane made landfall at Battery Park
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