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1
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:44 pm to rt3
192 is real interesting... may be setting up to kick it back out to sea after destroying the Bahamas
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:51 pm to rt3
2nd best Euro run ever since we started following Irma
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:54 pm to rt3
quote:
2nd best Euro run ever since we started following Irma
Lines up nicely with the 00z EPS and Climo.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 1:57 pm to rds dc
would be a close call for Maine & Nova Scotia again
Posted on 9/2/17 at 2:59 pm to rt3
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:03 pm to rds dc
Not good for the Carolinas
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:07 pm to rds dc
Big spread indeed with two main clusters at Carolinas and OTS solution.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:09 pm to Duke
quote:
Big spread indeed with two main clusters at Carolinas and OTS solution.
Yea, SE or OTS. The OP is to the right of the mean but the mean is probably skewed to the right from stronger members that curve OTS and don't weaken as fast do to lack of interaction with land.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:14 pm to rds dc
rds... if you had to make a model right now... where do you think landfall would be or would it be a sea storm?
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:22 pm to rt3
quote:
where do you think landfall would be or would it be a sea storm?
Still way too much uncertainty, in the short range (how far SW does it get) and in the long range (how does the trough develop). I touched on some of the drivers of uncertainty in some earlier post but this is a pretty good graphic on the long term from Dan Lindsey?.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:28 pm to rds dc
this thing is going to be a nothing burger.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:30 pm to rds dc
way to dodge the question 
seriously though... your info... while sometimes over my head... is greatly appreciated
seriously though... your info... while sometimes over my head... is greatly appreciated
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:32 pm to rt3
That's honestly the most responsible answer out there. We'll have more clarity in four to five days.
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:35 pm to Duke
quote:
That's honestly the most responsible answer out there. We'll have more clarity in four to five days.
I know... just being a pain in the butt
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:47 pm to rt3
quote:
5:00 PM AST Sat Sep 2
Location: 18.5°N 44.6°W
Moving: W at 15 mph
Min pressure: 973 mb
Max sustained: 110 mph
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:55 pm to rds dc
All the 12z guidance, this narrows it down a bit
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:57 pm to rds dc
quote:
All the 12z guidance, this narrows it down a bit
so you're saying it's gonna recurve somewhere in our hemisphere
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 9/2/17 at 3:58 pm to rt3
think the new official NHC track slowly dips it a little more south
Posted on 9/2/17 at 4:26 pm to rt3
18z GFS is running
ETA: hours 12 to 18 the storm's pressure drops 12mb
ETA: hours 12 to 18 the storm's pressure drops 12mb
This post was edited on 9/2/17 at 4:32 pm
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