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re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:25 pm to poops_at_parties
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:25 pm to poops_at_parties
quote:
I say ANYONE in southeast Louisiana who owns a home lower than two feet above the ground who STILL doesn't have flood insurance after Katrina, Isaac, March 2016 & August 2016 is a dumbass living either in denial or under a gotdamn rock and deserves the unimaginable cleanup and rebuilding task if they flood this time.
Two feet? Try 10 feet anything under 10 feet about sea level should have flood insurance.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:26 pm to TennesseeFan25
The ground can't take anymore. Baton Rouge just had another good soaking today.
If 20+ inches of rain for BTR area, it might be the final straw for many before they get the hell outta dodge.
If 20+ inches of rain for BTR area, it might be the final straw for many before they get the hell outta dodge.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:27 pm to Mudminnow
quote:
If 20+ inches of rain for BTR area, it might be the final straw for many before they get the hell outta dodge.
No way, statues being removed have opened a myriad of opportunity for the city and it's inhabitants
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:28 pm to AU24
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:28 pm to AU24
Depends on how quick it falls, but if I am reading that map right it covers 5 days. Pumps could easily keep up as long as the power doesn't fail. Minor street flooding and such.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:30 pm to poops_at_parties
quote:
small shift westward would result in a March 2016 type scenario on the Amite.
Don't say that
Please.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:32 pm to TunaTigers
quote:
Depends on how quick it falls
this.
a couple days ago it monsoon'd for less than 30 minutes (probably had an inch of rain?) - but there was water up to midcalf in some areas.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:32 pm to TunaTigers
quote:
Depends on how quick it falls, but if I am reading that map right it covers 5 days. Pumps could easily keep up as long as the power doesn't fail. Minor street flooding and such.
The NOLA system can drain 1 inch the first hour and a half inch per hour after that.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:37 pm to Duke
This is the official WPC rainfall forecast, the models are showing more but this is the official thinking


Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:51 pm to rds dc
18z GFS was even a little further west. It's weird how the storm almost stops for a couple of frames before finally making landfall. Maybe some troughiness causing that?
Anyway, here it is:

Anyway, here it is:

Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:59 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
18z GFS was even a little further west. It's weird how the storm almost stops for a couple of frames before finally making landfall. Maybe some troughiness causing that?
Yea, it appears that the trough to the N doesn't dig enough to quickly capture the system and move it off to the NE. So it kind of gets trapped b/w the ridges on either side of it.

Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:11 pm to rds dc
Do these models predict heavy winds, or just a rain maker?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:29 pm to biohzrd
00z pressure looks like 1004mb. Don't want to be on the east side of eventual TC track.
One tropical study indicated projected rainfall amounts could be approximated by Tropical cyclone motion by speed/100 such as a TC motion of 10 mph would equate to around 10 inches of rainfall on eastern side of cyclone center.
One tropical study indicated projected rainfall amounts could be approximated by Tropical cyclone motion by speed/100 such as a TC motion of 10 mph would equate to around 10 inches of rainfall on eastern side of cyclone center.
This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 7:31 pm
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:30 pm to MottLaneKid
Cat 1 or just a tropical storm?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:37 pm to ihometiger
Probably TS. Man I hope this thing moves east away from Louisiana. If it ends up on a westward track hopefully it hits as close to Mexico as possible. The projections on rain is a lot but it's all on how fast it comes down.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:40 pm to deuce985
So we are down in Gulfport for a training for a few more weeks.
Do we have any idea what day this may be hitting? This week? Next week?
We are literally within a half mile of the coast line, so wondering what's going to be going on with all this
Do we have any idea what day this may be hitting? This week? Next week?
We are literally within a half mile of the coast line, so wondering what's going to be going on with all this
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:40 pm to ihometiger
Did not specify. Last August 2016: warm core low pressure stalls over southern Louisiana and drops 19-31 inches of rainfall over 72 hour period. Efficient circulation was drawing in rich gulf moisture over the eastern and southeastern sides of the low pressure system. Precipitable water amounts exceeded 2.2 inches in the atmosphere. You don't want a system to stall inland obviously. Troical storm Allison 2001 did quite the flooding in southeast Texas and Louisiana.
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