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Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:02 am to GFunk
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:02 am to GFunk
quote:
Not to overuse it here but again, in that meeting-on Hurricane Preparedness-in a Coastal Parish in La, government AND broadcasters were speaking to the group telling them the exact opposite.
I'm being polite by saying you didn't know what you were talking about. Your clarification doesn't impact that. You still don't.
This storm doesn't have a center of circulation and was being tracked and had warnings and forecasts from Governmental and Broadcast sources prior to both its arrival in GOM earlier than ever before. May just wanna move on here Chief.
Well thank you for being "polite", but I'm not talking about whatever internal shite you're involved with. I'm talking about what is released to the public, which at this point has been nothing aside from their usual TWOs.
No discussion on potential flood risks, no flood watches, even though this event could start within 24 hours. Regardless of whatever you heard in your meeting, whoever this does impact won't have much time to prepare. As I said, it isn't a knock on them. I understand there is a lot of uncertainty, but that's irrelevant to my point that you have two ends of the spectrum of hype / being cautious
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:05 am
0
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:03 am to GFunk
quote:
Not to overuse it here but again, in that meeting-on Hurricane Preparedness-in a Coastal Parish in La, government AND broadcasters were speaking to the group telling them the exact opposite.
Damn brah. you must be some high level shite.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:05 am to TigerStripes06
quote:
You literally have to scare people shitless
Really hope it doesn't come to that.
The thing is, it wont take much to get the BR area freaked out and acting after August. There was too much complacentcy in August. I was the first out of my neighborhood, and the only one who got all my cars out. My neighbors didn't even start to worry until they noticed how quick we were to leave.
I don't think that will be an issue this time. Those memories are fresh.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:35 am to Duke
Regardless of future track, the wheels are in motion for a heavy rain event. The system will not be able to close off and consolidate in time to prevent the slug of moisture across the eastern Gulf from moving onshore.
The Euro's and the GFS's are in pretty good agreement that there will be heavy rain in roughly the same area. Actually, a bit of an eastward shift with the heavy rain axis overnight. Where the models differ, the Euro keeps the system in the Gulf longer and eventually brings some rain to Texas.
The Euro's and the GFS's are in pretty good agreement that there will be heavy rain in roughly the same area. Actually, a bit of an eastward shift with the heavy rain axis overnight. Where the models differ, the Euro keeps the system in the Gulf longer and eventually brings some rain to Texas.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:37 am to rds dc
when is this actually gonna hit land?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:37 am to rds dc
12z model set:
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:37 am to rds dc
am i flying to VA early thursday morning or should i be looking to change my flight?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:37 am to GFunk
quote:
GFunk
Can you just tell me how bad is Punta Cana going to get hit?
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:38 am to CE Tiger
quote:
when is this actually gonna hit land?
That's what I want to know
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:38 am to bigrob385series
quote:
The diversion canal
quote:
unfortunately
Sorry baw. I know that it is a need, not a want. Any chances of prioritizing it higher?
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:40 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:39 am to CE Tiger
quote:
when is this actually gonna hit land?
Well, that depends largely on where exactly it goes. If we assume that the GFS' Louisiana solution is correct, it would be sometime early Thursday.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:42 am to Roll Tide Ravens
12z GFS is currently running, at hour 30, it has a 997 mb storm south of New Orleans, still off the coast. This would be around 1pm CDT Tuesday:
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:42 am to CE Tiger
quote:
when is this actually gonna hit land?
Since it is a rainfall event, rain from the system may begin to hit land Tuesday night or Wednesday AM. How long it persists should be the main concern.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:43 am to Roll Tide Ravens
After flooding in August this thing has my butt hole puckered up for sure... plus we're supposed to leave Thursday for orange beach
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:43 am to rds dc
That high pressure system in your first map is gonna push the storm on a more easterly track... I still say Mobile.....
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:43 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Is it still projected to turn westward toward Texas just south of Louisiana? I'm worried about the slow drifting motion south of Louisiana.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:44 am to dukke v
quote:
That high pressure system in your first map is gonna push the storm on a more easterly track... I still say Mobile.....
whelp we're fricked
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:45 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:44 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Important to note, depending on what wind profiles look like, there could be a tornado threat with the outer bands for inland areas.
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:44 am to Motorboat
quote:
Tuesday night or Wednesday AM
I assume we are talking about next week. We can't start seeing rain tomorrow, hunh? I literally have no clue what I am looking at when I see these pics.
ETA: Nevermind. After looking at a satellite image I see how big it is.
This post was edited on 6/19/17 at 10:46 am
Posted on 6/19/17 at 10:44 am to dukke v
quote:
That high pressure system in your first map is gonna push the storm on a more easterly track... I still say Mobile.....
TD wouldn't be the same without you. 
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