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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:37 am to tigersownall
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:37 am to tigersownall
Well it looks like the NHC is honing in on a particular area. Here are the changes of the TWO over the past 24 hours.


This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 2:39 am
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:17 am to GEAUXmedic
Last 24 hours of GFS ensembles:


Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:45 am to GEAUXmedic
06z spaghetti model plots. More members are picking up on it.


This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 3:47 am
Posted on 6/18/17 at 4:11 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Going off of those spaghetti plots, and the NHC radius for error for this season, this is what the cone would look like if it came out now.


Posted on 6/18/17 at 5:24 am to GEAUXmedic
Shade in some pink and it will be a real OT thread...
Posted on 6/18/17 at 5:50 am to GEAUXmedic
Leaving for destin on Monday. What do you recommend?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:23 am to 3rdgentgr
quote:
Leaving for destin on Monday. What do you recommend?
Depends how long you're staying. Just keep watching the weather and be prepared to not be on the beach if it turns your way.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:26 am to GEAUXmedic
06Z Models:
GFS:
GFS Para:

GFS:
GFS Para:

Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:10 am to GEAUXmedic
Well the last few frames are a bit unsettling with it gaining strength in a short amount of time.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:56 am to 50_Tiger
Any way to roughly predict what day this beaut may be making her way up?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:56 am to 50_Tiger
More than likely a rainmaker, this time of year shear rules.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:26 am to antibarner
Pretty significant NE shift on the 00z Euro in the last 24hrs
00z Yesterday for Tuesday night
00z last night

00z Yesterday for Tuesday night
00z last night

Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:32 am to rds dc
Just tuning in--is this thing supposed to hit Louisiana?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:47 am to GEAUXmedic
That second model could have 30-A stickers ripping off SUVs for miles.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 9:11 am to rds dc
quote:
The GFS Para is resolving the upper levels differently than the Euro. This is resulting in a new "center" forming well off to the NE of where the models are currently looking.
This process appears to happening with a robust MCV (cluster of storms) off to the NE.
This could result in a an enhanced area of spin on the NE side of the larger tropical rotation and the overnight models are in pretty good agreement that that will happen over next day or so.
The threat of a big rain maker for someone along the upper Gulf Coast certainly appears to be increasing.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 9:15 am to rds dc
So, what is your best guess on land fall?
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