Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Tropical Storm Cindy | Page 7 | O-T Lounge
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re: Tropical Storm Cindy

Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:37 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:37 am to
Well it looks like the NHC is honing in on a particular area. Here are the changes of the TWO over the past 24 hours.

This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 2:39 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:38 am to
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:17 am to
Last 24 hours of GFS ensembles:

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51359 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:45 am to
06z spaghetti model plots. More members are picking up on it.

This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 3:47 am
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 4:11 am to
Going off of those spaghetti plots, and the NHC radius for error for this season, this is what the cone would look like if it came out now.

Posted by Zephyrius
Wharton, La.
Member since Dec 2004
9482 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 5:24 am to
Shade in some pink and it will be a real OT thread...
Posted by 3rdgentgr
Member since Jan 2011
908 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 5:50 am to
Leaving for destin on Monday. What do you recommend?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:23 am to
quote:

Leaving for destin on Monday. What do you recommend?



Depends how long you're staying. Just keep watching the weather and be prepared to not be on the beach if it turns your way.
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42051 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:26 am to
06Z Models:

GFS:


GFS Para:
Posted by 3rdgentgr
Member since Jan 2011
908 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 6:41 am to
Thanks
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43320 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:10 am to
Well the last few frames are a bit unsettling with it gaining strength in a short amount of time.
Posted by TennesseeFan25
Honolulu
Member since May 2016
8391 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:56 am to
Any way to roughly predict what day this beaut may be making her way up?
Posted by antibarner
Member since Oct 2009
26356 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 7:56 am to
More than likely a rainmaker, this time of year shear rules.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21212 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:26 am to
Pretty significant NE shift on the 00z Euro in the last 24hrs

00z Yesterday for Tuesday night



00z last night

Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36190 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:32 am to
Just tuning in--is this thing supposed to hit Louisiana?
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:47 am to
That second model could have 30-A stickers ripping off SUVs for miles.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 8:50 am to
quote:

shear rules


Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21212 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 9:11 am to
quote:

The GFS Para is resolving the upper levels differently than the Euro. This is resulting in a new "center" forming well off to the NE of where the models are currently looking.


This process appears to happening with a robust MCV (cluster of storms) off to the NE.





This could result in a an enhanced area of spin on the NE side of the larger tropical rotation and the overnight models are in pretty good agreement that that will happen over next day or so.





The threat of a big rain maker for someone along the upper Gulf Coast certainly appears to be increasing.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 9:15 am to
So, what is your best guess on land fall?
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78079 posts
Posted on 6/18/17 at 9:43 am to
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