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Started By
Message
re: Tropical Storm Cindy
Posted on 6/18/17 at 12:46 pm to Sir Drinksalot
Posted on 6/18/17 at 12:46 pm to Sir Drinksalot
quote:
Like two days from now Tuesday?
That's... The Day After Tomorrow!
Sure hope it isn't an ice hurricane.
1
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:02 pm to lsuman25
Recon cancelled for today.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:05 pm to Bestbank Tiger
12z GFS:
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:14 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
HWRF and GFDL also trending that way
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:40 pm to whodatdude
12z Euro moves in over S. Texas but drops 15"+ of rain just to the east of New Orleans. The 12z UK moves in around Houston with kind of a split b/w the GFS and Euro :
12z Euro
12z UK
12z Euro
12z UK
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:45 pm to rds dc
Am I right in assuming CMC is overly paranoid and shouldn't put too much stock in it?
Posted on 6/18/17 at 1:49 pm to whodatdude
quote:
Am I right in assuming CMC is overly paranoid and shouldn't put too much stock in it?
CMC is always ridiculous, but every dog has it's day.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:03 pm to whodatdude
quote:
HWRF and GFDL also trending that way
HWRF has a very elongated system, while the GFS focuses more on the northern portion of the system and the Euro more on the southern. It will be interesting to see if the HWRF trends to one of those or sticks with this very sloppy look. Lots of moving parts.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:09 pm to rds dc
quote:
drops 15"+ of rain
I tell you this. Locals Around central, Denham, Watson and walker's butt holes are about this O big right now.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:17 pm to gsvar2004
18z tracks. However, currently think of the system as stretching from the southern Yucatan to the tip of Cuba, vs a point. A lot depends on where the system consolidates along that axis, if it can at all.
ETA: 18z 850vort analysis indicates this, with maybe some consolidation to the NE of the "center"
ETA: 18z 850vort analysis indicates this, with maybe some consolidation to the NE of the "center"
This post was edited on 6/18/17 at 2:22 pm
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:31 pm to gsvar2004
Watson reporting in. Confirmed
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:39 pm to whodatdude
quote:
HWRF
Northshore gets raw-dogged in that scenario. Talk about some backed up rivers.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:43 pm to whodatdude
No weather alerts for the NOLA area yet.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 2:47 pm to ihometiger
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:02 pm to AU24
well, the max projected rainfall from that is good news....but that seems on the very conservative side.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:06 pm to ihometiger
If it does become a tropical system and headed north. Any time estimates on when it could make land fall on the northern gulf coast.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:30 pm to rds dc
Looks like the wave near the Windward Islands will be declared a tropical depression at 4pm. THIS IS NOT THE WAVE IN THE CARIBBEAN!
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:30 pm to lsuman25
Yup
We get to see how they issue watches and warnings before we have a storm now.
quote:
NHC will be initiating advisories at 5 PM AST on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, located east-southeast of the Windward Islands.
We get to see how they issue watches and warnings before we have a storm now.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:32 pm to Oyster
quote:
NHC will be initiating advisories at 5 PM AST on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, located east-southeast of the Windward Islands.
Posted on 6/18/17 at 3:50 pm to AU24
quote:
@TropicalTidbits
1h
#92L needs hour-by-hour watching now. At such a small size, a structured central convective burst like this can result in rapid development
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