Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us WSJ/NYT - US & Israel Strike Tehran | Page 53 | O-T Lounge
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re: WSJ/NYT - US & Israel Strike Tehran

Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:00 am to
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
86877 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:00 am to
IRGC said it was evacuated beforehand

But IRGC says a lot of things that turn out to be false
Posted by CatfishJohn
Member since Jun 2020
19493 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:03 am to
Do we feel like this will slow down or stop soon? Or will it continue to escalate until boots are on the ground?

Iran seemingly needs to have some voice of reason on their side to begin ceasefire talks and present a plan for leadership of the country (which no doubt will need to be to the region and US's satisfaction). Not sure that will happen.

Really don't want a drawn out war with American lives on the ground. That story rarely ends well for us in these power vacuum situations.
This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 9:04 am
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
87151 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:05 am to
quote:

Or will it continue to escalate
based on Trump's address yesterday morning, I don't think this is gonna be quick.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
52316 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:07 am to
Trump said yesterday the plan was always 4-5 weeks minimum, and could go longer if needed
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
86877 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:09 am to
Trump has signaled several weeks, perhaps longer. It certainly sounds like the ambition is to tee up a moment in time where Trump/Bibi will basically say "we've destroyed the leadership, we've pummeled all the regime strongholds, this is your moment" and hope for the best.

But my main objection to this conflict - and I've been admittedly mixed on it since it became more and more realistic - is that things change, you have sunk cost feelings, you have "we're so close" temptations, etc.

Trump has already said some things that make me think he wouldn't walk away if the Iranians were less than impressive in rising to their moment.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51408 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 9:54 am to
Israel attacked the meeting of the Iranian leadership group that was meeting about choosing a new Supreme Leader/Ayatollah.
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This post was edited on 3/3/26 at 9:56 am
Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
9099 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 10:27 am to
quote:

Watch the entire thing in context.


Fast forward to the 44 second mark of Rubio talking in the twitter above.
Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
9099 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 10:29 am to
quote:

Israel attacked the meeting of the Iranian leadership group that was meeting about choosing a new Supreme Leader/Ayatollah.


If I was a member of the Iranian leadership group, which I'm not, I would've asked if the meeting could just be an email instead.
Posted by dallastigers
Member since Dec 2003
10175 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 10:29 am to
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Link to the Text of Rubio’s full remarks

quote:


This was Rubio's actual argument for imminence, as the full clip shows. He pointed out that Iran's capacity for missile production exceeds our production level for anti-ballistic missile defenses, and the gap widened every month. Iran may have been about a year away from having so many ballistic missiles and drones that they could have pursued weapons-grade enrichment with impunity and openly developed nuclear weapons. The regime had already resorted to large-scale massacres of its own subjected people to maintain power; their "apocalyptic" theology would have encouraged them to use nuclear weapons against Israel and the US. Their refusal to discuss any limits on any of these ambitions became clear last week, and as Rubio argued, we needed to act while we still could.



https://www.axios.com/2026/03/03/rubio-trump-iran-israel-attacks

quote:

"We knew that there was going to be an Israeli action" against Iran, Rubio told reporters on Capitol Hill on Monday. "We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces" by the Iranian regime.

"And we knew that if we didn't preemptively go after them before they launched those attacks, we would suffer higher casualties ... And then we would all be here answering questions about why we knew that and didn't act," Rubio continued.

Rubio added later: "Obviously, we were aware of Israeli intentions and understood what that would mean for us, and we had to be prepared to act as a result of it. But this had to happen no matter what."

The widely repeated translation: The U.S. couldn't stop its ally — a far smaller nation that America arms, funds and protects — from attacking Iran on Saturday. So the U.S. had to strike Iran, too.

Not quite, U.S. officials said later. Regardless of Israel, they said, Trump ordered the strikes because he felt Iran was negotiating a nuclear deal in bad faith, and the U.S. needed to destroy the country's offensive military infrastructure.

"This operation needed to happen," Rubio told reporters, because Iran was developing too many missiles too quickly and was rebuilding its nuclear capabilities.

Reality check:The picture critics are painting — of a U.S. reluctantly pulled into war by a smaller ally — obscures the deep coordination between the two countries in the weeks before the strike.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had been urging Trump to strike Iran since December — but Israeli officials say he wouldn't have moved without Trump's explicit approval.

It's highly unlikely Netanyahu would've struck Iran without Trump's green light, Israeli officials added. If Trump had preferred to keep negotiating, the strike would have been postponed.

Over the past year, Trump has repeatedly reined in Netanyahu from aggressive military operations, including his bombing campaign last year in Syria.

And Trump essentially forced the Israeli prime minister to accept a Gaza peace plan that resulted in Hamas releasing all of its remaining hostages and the remains of others.

Netanyahu pushed back Monday night, telling Fox News' Sean Hannity that Trump "can't be dragged" into anything — and that the president acts on his own judgment.

…Philip Klein, editor of National Review Online, wrote that those who think Rubio "said that Netanyahu forced the U.S. into war ... are conflating the question 'Why?' with the question of 'Why now?' ... Rubio was not trying to argue that Israel dragged the U.S. into this war."

Posted by Violent Hip Swivel
Member since Aug 2023
9099 posts
Posted on 3/3/26 at 10:58 am to
Blah blah blah we knew that there was going to be an Israeli action against Iran, Rubio told reporters on Capitol Hill on Monday. We knew that that would precipitate an attack against American forces by the Iranian regime.
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