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Started By
Message
Posted on 10/30/20 at 10:38 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
He has Trump winning New York.
And that “prediction” has been out for a while now, not taking anything recent into effect.
But if he gets the winner right people will use it as the gold standard in 2024
Such is life for pollsters
Posted on 10/31/20 at 2:39 pm to NawlinsTiger9
He updated the Twitter site of the @Primary Model handle on October 21 with this update to ask if covid or the recession accounted for any changes.
For all of you who have been wondering whether I have updated or will be updating my forecast, the answer is an unequivocal NO. And I stand by it, no matter what the polls and poll aggregators say. The Primary Model gives Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning re-election.
6:54 AM · Oct 21,
For all of you who have been wondering whether I have updated or will be updating my forecast, the answer is an unequivocal NO. And I stand by it, no matter what the polls and poll aggregators say. The Primary Model gives Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning re-election.
6:54 AM · Oct 21,
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