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re: Updated PA cookie poll
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:22 pm to Wtodd
Posted on 11/2/20 at 1:22 pm to Wtodd
Archive link of NYT article on Yiwu Index predictor in China
quote:
Forget the Polls: This Chinese Indicator Is Flashing ‘Trump’
The measure is unscientific at best.
But merchants say sales of the president’s campaign merchandise at a major wholesale market are outstripping Biden’s.
quote:
President Trump’s campaign paraphernalia — hats, banners, mugs and practically anything else that can carry a logo — has been selling briskly at shops in the vast wholesale market in the Chinese city of Yiwu. By contrast, shop owners said during recent visits, bulk orders for materials supporting former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. have been almost nonexistent.
“We’ve had four or five shoppers for Trump materials each month,” said Ge Lu, a salesman at one of about 100 shops specializing just in flags, referring to big purchasers who buy banners by the thousands. “We’ve had one Biden shopper this year.”
quote:
Followers of the Yiwu Index believe it is reliable, however, and they have history on their side. In 2016, the index consistently predicted a Trump victory. In the final weeks of the campaign, demand for Hillary Clinton hats and other souvenirs weakened considerably.
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