Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Nate Silver still says 62% chance that Trump wins | Political Talk
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Nate Silver still says 62% chance that Trump wins

Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:33 pm
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
119977 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:33 pm


Although Frank Luntz says he thinks Kamala’s favored to win at this point.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142280 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:35 pm to
but Kamabla said people leave Trump rallies early and nobody is eating pets.


Posted by jbdawgs03
Athens
Member since Oct 2017
12635 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:35 pm to
But but the OT bros and leftists that flooded the board last night told me he had no shot now
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:36 pm to
Most americans know deep down the woman has a below average IQ. I'm in one of the most liberal towns in Massachusetts
at the moment and I have seen just as many trump signs as I have Harris signs.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
26139 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:38 pm to
Love this but I think we need to wait a few more days to get post Debate numbers
Posted by SirWinston
PNW
Member since Jul 2014
103468 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:40 pm to
Hold the line, fellow Patriots

Eta: nate is a very smug contrarian like our own SFP and you get the feeling he'd like nothing more than to catch a ton of shite from his leftist followers as he correctly calls a Trump EC victory
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 5:42 pm
Posted by TackySweater
Member since Dec 2020
24650 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:41 pm to
quote:

I'm in one of the most liberal towns in Massachusetts at the moment and I have seen just as many trump signs as I have Harris signs.

This doesn’t really mean anything. Liberals that are voting for trump aren’t broadcasting it and putting up signs.
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
119977 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:43 pm to
quote:

Most americans know deep down the woman has a below average IQ. I'm in one of the most liberal towns in Massachusetts at the moment and I have seen just as many trump signs as I have Harris signs.


I’m on a plane on the way back from Seattle and I saw five Trump bumper stickers and one Kamala bumper sticker, and that’s the first Kamala bumper sticker I’ve ever seen.
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142280 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

Although Frank Luntz says he thinks Kamala’s favored to win at this point.


you have a link to toupee Frank making this claim?
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
13979 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:50 pm to
Frank Luntz had TDS
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
119977 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

you have a link to toupee Frank making this claim?


He was on Piers Morgan’s show today (49 minute mark):

Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
119977 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

Frank Luntz had TDS


Yeah, but to be fair that on the facts Frank Luntz says Trump is actually right and has the facts on his side. From the clip above, he more seems to be 51% Kamala/49% Trump on chances to win.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
95585 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:56 pm to
But AU86 said we fricked up not voting in High Heels!
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142280 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:57 pm to
quote:

Hold the line, fellow Patriots


quote:

SirWinston


you were melting like Veruca Salt trying to get into a chocolate factory last night claiming how awful Trump was doing.

you need to be stronger.
Posted by Froman
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2007
38818 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:58 pm to
62% of the time, Trump wins every time.
Posted by davyjones
NELA
Member since Feb 2019
35463 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:59 pm to
Unless the game’s triggering fairies, then he wins 100% of the time - every time.
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 6:01 pm
Posted by hogcard1964
Alabama
Member since Jan 2017
18480 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 5:59 pm to
I think he was winning a few days ago but the debate put him way over the top.

I don't think it's very close either.
Posted by Ssubba
Member since Oct 2014
7390 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 6:03 pm to
Gotta let Nate's DNC adjustment factor out. His model will likely have it at 50-50 by October.
Posted by Rip Torner
Member since Jul 2023
1488 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 6:06 pm to
Frank Luntz is about as anti Trump as you can get and he isn’t a pollster
Posted by Rebel
Graceland
Member since Jan 2005
142280 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 6:06 pm to
Luntz is horrible and has missed on just about every election since W.
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