Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Severe Weather Thread (Thursday, April 25th) | O-T Lounge
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Severe Weather Thread (Thursday, April 25th)

Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:14 am
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15405 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:14 am


quote:

SPC AC 251243 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0743 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019 Valid 251300Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE GULF COAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms associated with a wind damage and tornado risk are expected across the central Gulf Coast region through this evening. ...Synopsis... A southern-stream upper low centered over southeast Oklahoma and the ArkLaTex early today will reach the southern Appalachians vicinity tonight. Preceding this upper low/trough, a belt of relatively strong southwesterly winds aloft (50+ kt at 500mb) will overspread the middle Gulf Coast States today and reach the coastal Southeast tonight. A strong-to-severe northeast/southwest-oriented wavy MCS with embedded bows is ongoing early this morning from central Mississippi to coastal south-central Louisiana. The northern extent of this convective line and its related outflow/cloud debris will effectively delineate the northern extent of the severe risk. This will be as moderate moistening otherwise occurs, with diurnal destabilization focused across southern/eastern Louisiana and southern Mississippi into southern Alabama/Florida Panhandle, although considerable cloud debris and squall-line preceding convection spreading inland across coastal Louisiana may hinder the overall degree of destabilization and overall magnitude of today's severe risk. Even if overall instability remains modest, strongly sheared profiles will support organized storms. While a few line-preceding semi-discrete supercellular storms may occur, a broken convective line should be prevalent with a common Line-Echo Wave Pattern configuration. Damaging winds can be expected. Some strengthening of shear/SRH within the lowest few km will also support the possibility of a few tornadoes. A severe risk may develop as far east as the Florida Panhandle by late afternoon/early evening.










quote:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 102 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 810 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern and Eastern Louisiana Southern Mississippi Coastal Waters * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 810 AM until 300 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Bands of mostly linearly organized storms are expected to gradually intensify across the region through the late morning and afternoon hours. Strong shear and moderate moisture will support a risk of severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and some tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest of Pine Belt MS to 40 miles west southwest of Houma LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.


LIX:
quote:

.SHORT TERM... A cold front will move into the area today bringing a line of strong thundestorms with it. A few cells ahead of the line will be possible as well. The main issues with any severity will be damaging winds and tornadic activity. The line will slow as it reaches the area which sets up a prolonged period of heavy rainfall mainly over the northern half of the area. Total rainfall amounts should be in the 1 to 3 inch range with isolated higher amounts. There is the potential for these amounts to fall within a short time frame. If this occurs, then flooding of low lying and poor drainage areas could occur. Once the front moves through, which should be by early evening, clouds and some light rain areas will remain but conditions will gradually improve through tonight. Models are keeping all mention of clouds and light rain to the east associated with an 850mb thermal trough for Friday morning. This may be the case, but it will be just off to the east and still may affect a few of the Miss coastal counties. Regardless, all the area will begin to dry out Friday through the extended portion of this fcast.


This post was edited on 4/25/19 at 8:24 am
Posted by GEAUXT
Member since Nov 2007
30442 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:15 am to
City showed up to clean out my ditches this morning.

Bring it on mother nature
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2456 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:15 am to
First page
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:15 am to
:notthisshitagain:
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
19082 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:15 am to
Are we shutting down the city this week?
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
60550 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to
TWO PERCENT APOCALYPSE!!!
Posted by TrimTab
North County Coastal San Diego
Member since Mar 2019
8078 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to
Oh, Lawd. Weather. Not scared. But might go on a beer run. Just in case.
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
23005 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to


Why does God hate SE Louisiana?



Maybe I'll get another day off of work....
Posted by VermilionTiger
Member since Dec 2012
39064 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to
First Paige
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76683 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to
Shut it all down again for a thunderstorm!
Posted by TrimTab
North County Coastal San Diego
Member since Mar 2019
8078 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:16 am to
Posted by deaconjones35
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2009
9892 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:17 am to
I hope the ladies in our office don't see this. They cried last Thursday about leaving early since they thought they were going to die if they stayed at work. Owners let them leave. Embarrassing.
Posted by SLafourche07
Member since Feb 2008
10051 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:17 am to
So we're starting pre-"slight risk of severe thunderstorm" threads now?
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:17 am to
Seriously. For fricks sake
Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
76683 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:17 am to
quote:

Are we shutting down the city this week?
We have to!

Rain is scary and lightning is double scary!
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:18 am to
quote:


Rain is scary and lightning is double scary!


Thunder makes me poop my pants
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:18 am to
Driving from Bawcomville to Punta Cana Thursday, when should I leave?
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15405 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:18 am to
Remember, even though it's a slight risk, the storm system that put down the EF3 wedge in Michoud was started out as a slight risk

eta: it was later upgraded to enhanced after they saw the development
This post was edited on 4/23/19 at 10:22 am
Posted by tigerbutt
Deep South
Member since Jun 2006
26210 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:19 am to
Please stop this stupid shite.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
177028 posts
Posted on 4/23/19 at 10:19 am to
Schools will cancel for real.
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