Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Has An Incumbent President With An Approval Rating >50% Ever Lost The Election? | Political Talk
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Has An Incumbent President With An Approval Rating >50% Ever Lost The Election?

Posted on 10/22/20 at 10:54 am
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
47227 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 10:54 am
Just wondering, because it wouldn't seem to make sense that a country would ditch a sitting President when slightly more than half the country approves of the job he's doing. And this could be especially true for President Trump because he always seems to over perform polling and approval ratings data because some people are intimidated and don't want to voice their support for him.

I don't have time to research this at the moment, but does anybody know if a sitting President with an AR above 50% has ever lost his bid to be reelected?
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2970 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:10 pm to
The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 2:12 pm
Posted by AnyonebutSteelers
Austin, Texas
Member since Aug 2020
715 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:18 pm to
quote:

The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.


You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Trump-leaning than most polls/surveys.
Posted by Here4Qthread
Member since Aug 2020
130 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Reality-leaning than most polls/surveys.


FIFY
Posted by Skeezer
Member since Apr 2017
2296 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:27 pm to
Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2970 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Trump-leaning than most polls/surveys.


Not really, I saw a graph that analyzed polls and Rasmussen and IDP/Tipp were very near the center and all others were either moderately or significantly left (liberal) of center. Also if it were a really conservative poll how does Obama get 50%?
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 2:29 pm
Posted by Who_Dat_Tiger
Member since Nov 2015
24988 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.



The media is setting us up for a disaster post-election. Just read a headline this morning on MSN and NYT saying there's "whisperings of a Biden landslide". Dems lose and they once again wont concede the election
Posted by ibldprplgld
Member since Feb 2008
27614 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:38 pm to
quote:

Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.


Materially, things have changed in a big way from Obama, when it was en vogue and expected that people fawned all over him, to Trump today, when his supporters are being threatened and assaulted for even appearing to be remotely pro-Trump.

The polls have never gotten Trump's approval right (Hillary 98% chance, right?). The only one that's come close were his own internal polls.
Posted by GeauxFightingTigers1
Member since Oct 2016
12574 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:47 pm to
Well, to me its real simple:

1. Hiltary was a bad candidate, we can all agree Joe is worse in just about every way... or most ways
2. Nobody is excited about Joe
3. Trump isn't losing any voters from 2016
4. Clearly Joe is running on anti-white if not anti-white male
5. Camel Toe is not well liked

Where do the votes come from?
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2970 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.


That’s proving my point that Rasmussen is the most accurate for Trump, the other polls are liberally bias. Rasmussen’s not trying to suppress or prop up anybody.
Posted by ROPO
Member since Jul 2016
3406 posts
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:58 pm to
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