- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Coaching Changes
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message

Has An Incumbent President With An Approval Rating >50% Ever Lost The Election?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 10:54 am
Posted on 10/22/20 at 10:54 am
Just wondering, because it wouldn't seem to make sense that a country would ditch a sitting President when slightly more than half the country approves of the job he's doing. And this could be especially true for President Trump because he always seems to over perform polling and approval ratings data because some people are intimidated and don't want to voice their support for him.
I don't have time to research this at the moment, but does anybody know if a sitting President with an AR above 50% has ever lost his bid to be reelected?
I don't have time to research this at the moment, but does anybody know if a sitting President with an AR above 50% has ever lost his bid to be reelected?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:10 pm to KCT
The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 2:12 pm
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:18 pm to da prophet
quote:
The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.
You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Trump-leaning than most polls/surveys.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:21 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:
You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Reality-leaning than most polls/surveys.
FIFY
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:27 pm to KCT
Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:28 pm to AnyonebutSteelers
quote:
You got to bear in mind that Rasmussen is generally much more Trump-leaning than most polls/surveys.
Not really, I saw a graph that analyzed polls and Rasmussen and IDP/Tipp were very near the center and all others were either moderately or significantly left (liberal) of center. Also if it were a really conservative poll how does Obama get 50%?
This post was edited on 10/22/20 at 2:29 pm
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:35 pm to da prophet
quote:
The Rasmussen approval poll has Trump at 52% today, but he’s gonna lose in a landslide. Obama was at 50% four years ago today and he won in a landslide. I need help understanding all this.
The media is setting us up for a disaster post-election. Just read a headline this morning on MSN and NYT saying there's "whisperings of a Biden landslide". Dems lose and they once again wont concede the election
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:38 pm to Skeezer
quote:
Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.
Materially, things have changed in a big way from Obama, when it was en vogue and expected that people fawned all over him, to Trump today, when his supporters are being threatened and assaulted for even appearing to be remotely pro-Trump.
The polls have never gotten Trump's approval right (Hillary 98% chance, right?). The only one that's come close were his own internal polls.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:47 pm to KCT
Well, to me its real simple:
1. Hiltary was a bad candidate, we can all agree Joe is worse in just about every way... or most ways
2. Nobody is excited about Joe
3. Trump isn't losing any voters from 2016
4. Clearly Joe is running on anti-white if not anti-white male
5. Camel Toe is not well liked
Where do the votes come from?
1. Hiltary was a bad candidate, we can all agree Joe is worse in just about every way... or most ways
2. Nobody is excited about Joe
3. Trump isn't losing any voters from 2016
4. Clearly Joe is running on anti-white if not anti-white male
5. Camel Toe is not well liked
Where do the votes come from?
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:52 pm to ibldprplgld
quote:
Obama’s approval was pretty constant with all the pollsters. Trumps definitely is not.
That’s proving my point that Rasmussen is the most accurate for Trump, the other polls are liberally bias. Rasmussen’s not trying to suppress or prop up anybody.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:58 pm to KCT
Oh boy.
Economist (45 Approve / 54 Disapprove)
CNBC (44 Approve / 56 Disapprove)
Reuters (42 Approve / 58 Disapprove)
Quinnipiac (41 Approve / 55 Disapprove)
NY Times (43 Approve / 51 Disapprove)
Has an incumbent with a > 54% average disapproval rating ever won?
Economist (45 Approve / 54 Disapprove)
CNBC (44 Approve / 56 Disapprove)
Reuters (42 Approve / 58 Disapprove)
Quinnipiac (41 Approve / 55 Disapprove)
NY Times (43 Approve / 51 Disapprove)
Has an incumbent with a > 54% average disapproval rating ever won?
Popular
Back to top

4








