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Started By
Message
re: Interesting FL election link, can see votes cast today in Pinellas County
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:36 am to SirWinston
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:36 am to SirWinston
Looks like GOP is only up 4K votes, but there are almost 90k "other" votes. If there is heavy Latina turnout in that group, this isn't good news.
4
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:36 am to GeneralLee
That does appear to be generally good news for Trump, but it doesn't account for cross over Republicans which is impossible to confirm so far. I think there are enough republican's voting for HRC to make this apparent advantage more of a wash. Still no doubt will be close in this as it will be in most of the I-4 corridor counties.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:37 am to otowntiger
concern trolls are obvious.
In 2012 the UFA's broke with the general trend of Obama +5% in the county overall.
Using common sense and educated guessing, Trump is outpacing Romney by between 7% to 15% in Pinellas right now factoring in UFA's
AND keep in mind that Obama won Pinellas by more than he won Florida overall, so if Trump wins Pinellas that certainly bodes well for him statewide.
In 2012 the UFA's broke with the general trend of Obama +5% in the county overall.
Using common sense and educated guessing, Trump is outpacing Romney by between 7% to 15% in Pinellas right now factoring in UFA's
AND keep in mind that Obama won Pinellas by more than he won Florida overall, so if Trump wins Pinellas that certainly bodes well for him statewide.
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 8:38 am
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:39 am to SirWinston
BTW,
Hillsborough mirrors Pinellas VERY closely....
Hillsborough
100.0% Reporting
B. Obama (i) Dem 52.8% 286,158
M. Romney GOP 46.2% 249,904
Pinellas
100.0% Reporting
B. Obama (i) Dem 52.2% 238,966
M. Romney GOP 46.6% 213,192
Hillsborough mirrors Pinellas VERY closely....
Hillsborough
100.0% Reporting
B. Obama (i) Dem 52.8% 286,158
M. Romney GOP 46.2% 249,904
Pinellas
100.0% Reporting
B. Obama (i) Dem 52.2% 238,966
M. Romney GOP 46.6% 213,192
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:40 am to BobBoucher
quote:
If there is heavy Latina turnout in that group, this isn't good news.
This is Pinellas, not Broward County. See link below. Hispanics were ~8% of the census here in 2010.
Pinellas County Census
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:41 am to SirWinston
Republicans outnumber Dems overall by 4,506 balltos as of 9:40 am.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:43 am to BobBoucher
quote:
If there is heavy Latina turnout in that group, this isn't good news.
Others are NPA. If I'm not mistaken Trump leads that group 44-37 but could be wrong.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:43 am to IAmReality
That's the first downtick - hope that's an abbé ration.
But Pinellas leaned further left than the rest of FL in 2012 by 4% (obv the demos have changed somewhat) but if Trump finished even down a point here I think we'd likely still take it as somewhat good news
But Pinellas leaned further left than the rest of FL in 2012 by 4% (obv the demos have changed somewhat) but if Trump finished even down a point here I think we'd likely still take it as somewhat good news
This post was edited on 11/8/16 at 8:45 am
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:44 am to BobBoucher
quote:
Looks like GOP is only up 4K votes, but there are almost 90k "other" votes. If there is heavy Latina turnout in that group, this isn't good news.
Most hispanics are registered dems, not independent. Also, Pinellas is predominately white.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:45 am to GeneralLee
I live in Pinellas county and 80% of the local residents I know are MAGA ! But I refused to vote Jolly because the pu$$y would not support trump. He is part of the swamp
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:46 am to gatorsimz
Considering this is a county Obama won pretty easily in 12, if it ends with R > D, I'd say that's huge for Trump.
Remember, Romney lost Florida by like .7% last time.
Trump only needs to improve slightly from last time to win.
Remember, Romney lost Florida by like .7% last time.
Trump only needs to improve slightly from last time to win.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:46 am to SirWinston
9:30
REP - 144,782
DEM - 140,453
NPA - 87,737
9:40
REP - 145,890 +1108
DEM - 140,453 +931
NPA - 87,737 +753
REP - 144,782
DEM - 140,453
NPA - 87,737
9:40
REP - 145,890 +1108
DEM - 140,453 +931
NPA - 87,737 +753
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:46 am to BobBoucher
quote:
Looks like GOP is only up 4K votes, but there are almost 90k "other" votes. If there is heavy Latina turnout in that group, this isn't good news.
Lead has been opened up to about 4,500 (up from about 4,000) on the latest update.
Regarding demographics of Pinellas:
quote:
White alone, percent, July 1, 2015, (V2015) (a) 82.9%
quote:
Black or African American alone, percent, July 1, 2015, (V2015) (a) 11.0%
quote:
Hispanic or Latino, percent, July 1, 2015, (V2015) (b) 9.1%
There's some two-races stuff mixed in there, so doesn't add up to 100%.
Regardless, 9% Hispanic/Latino is MUCH lower than the statewide % of Hispanics (about 25%)
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:46 am to StPeteLSU
Trump wins both Pinellas and Hillsborough in your opinion?
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:47 am to gatorsimz
quote:
Pinellas is predominately white.
Well... parts of it. Part of St. Pete is heavy Section 8.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:48 am to gatorrocks
Oh I'm just tracking today the rest is already banked
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:49 am to gatorrocks
Votes may also not be evenly distributed.
It's possible a huge % of early voters on election day were old people.
So we just gotta sit tight and watch.
It's possible a huge % of early voters on election day were old people.
So we just gotta sit tight and watch.
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:49 am to gatorsimz
quote:
Here's info for another big county, Hillsborough: LINK /
They don't have today's info yet though.
Looks like they have started updating this for today. Currently, counting early/mail=in votes it stands at D41.2, R35.7, I23.1
Just counting today's vote it is currenyl D34.3, R39.3, I26.5
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:52 am to IAmReality
Up to 4,765 at 9:50 am (EST)
UPWARDS
UPWARDS
Posted on 11/8/16 at 8:53 am to SirWinston
9:50 Update (last update for a bit. Have to get some work done)
REP 147,020 +1130 (since 9:40)
DEM 142,255 +871 (since 9:40)
OTH 89,209 +719 (since 9:40)
REP 147,020 +1130 (since 9:40)
DEM 142,255 +871 (since 9:40)
OTH 89,209 +719 (since 9:40)
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