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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/9/25 at 9:57 am to TigerLunatik
quote:
J. McCarthy had the highest EPA per attempt on throws of 10+ air yards in Week 1 McCarthy was 4/5 for 82 yards and 2 TDs & a perfect passer rating on 10+ yard throws
And they said all he could do was throw short at Michigan!
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:01 am to Houmatiger0626
quote:
my receivers are chase, BTJ, Tet, Ridley and Waddle
Start 3? You're probably fine dropping Waddle.
Any way you can make a trade to give you a more droppable piece? Maybe trade a RB and Ridley or Waddle for a slight upgrade at RB? Especially effective if you have any Bama fans in your league.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:13 am to BhamTigah
I guess we have some clarity on the Cleveland backfield at least if Judkins is still out.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:15 am to TackySweater
Forgot which "experts" said it, but a couple are saying that Sampson still holds flex value when Judkins comes back. I have Sampson in a 12 team league that I may need him to fill in on. I'd be keeping Sampson even when Judkins does sign and play.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 10:51 am to TackySweater
quote:
at least if Judkins is still out.
Did I miss something? Did his meeting with the league not go well?
Posted on 9/9/25 at 11:12 am to BhamTigah
I read something quick this morning that said he may return this week but didn’t sound definite.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 11:57 am to TackySweater
quote:
Sources tell me Shipley does have a fractured rib and the move for Bigsby is not only to add depth at the RB position but bigsby can also help out on special teams including returning kicks...
- Derrick Gunn
Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:03 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
Dan Quinn addressing the media. “Zero concerns” about Jayden Daniels. He was listed on the injury report with a wrist issue
- Zach Selby
Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:40 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
Forgot which "experts" said it, but a couple are saying that Sampson still holds flex value when Judkins comes back
I think that's evident. I believe 4-5 targets a game is going to be Sampson's floor. Judkins return will hurt Ford's value. The browns are going to be chasing the game a lot, so I think Sampson is pretty safe value and he's got the speed to hit some homeruns along the way.
From a fantasy perspective I'm thinking James White kind of player. Probably not going to win you many weeks, but just fine as a spot starter
Posted on 9/9/25 at 12:43 pm to Riseupfromtherubble
quote:
I think that's evident. I believe 4-5 targets a game is going to be Sampson's floor. Judkins return will hurt Ford's value.
As someone who started him in a couple spots because of the matchup, Ford has zero value.
That was a smash matchup and he was AWFUL.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:01 pm to RB10
Someone kept trying to trade me Ford in dynasty when Judkins was in limbo and I had zero interest thankfully.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 1:02 pm to Riseupfromtherubble
Maybe a poor man’s Gibbs/Montgomery dynamic
Posted on 9/9/25 at 2:31 pm to TheWalrus
RB Preview
Numbers to know
53.6% -- Kenneth Gainwell played over half of the offensive snaps for the Steelers in Week 1. This is bad news for Jaylen Warren and even worse news for Kaleb Johnson.
1.8 -- Kenneth Walker averaged 1.8 yards per touch in Week 1. That ranked dead last amongst the 44 players who had at least 10 touches in Week 1.
91.3% -- Chase Brown had 91% of the Cincinnati Bengals rush attempts. It does not look like his role is shrinking at all.
-0.32 -- Ashton Jeanty averaged negative yards before contact per attempt.
28.6% -- De'Von Achane had a 28.6% explosive rush rate. He was the lone bright spot in this offense.
60% -- 60% of Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushes went for five or more yards. We'll see if he can keep that up against the Green Bay Packers.
2.1 -- The Packers held the Detroit Lions offense to 2.1 yards per rush in Week 1.
19% -- Dylan Sampson saw a 19% target share in his debut. We're adding him where he is available, even with Quinshon Judkins coming back.
4.3% -- Alvin Kamara had a 4.3% target share in his first game under Kellen Moore. If this sticks, Kamara is going to have a very hard time justifying his ADP.
77% -- Javonte Williams played 77% of the snaps for the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1. He's a borderline starter against the New York Giants, who gave up 6.9 yards per carry to Washington.
Numbers to know
53.6% -- Kenneth Gainwell played over half of the offensive snaps for the Steelers in Week 1. This is bad news for Jaylen Warren and even worse news for Kaleb Johnson.
1.8 -- Kenneth Walker averaged 1.8 yards per touch in Week 1. That ranked dead last amongst the 44 players who had at least 10 touches in Week 1.
91.3% -- Chase Brown had 91% of the Cincinnati Bengals rush attempts. It does not look like his role is shrinking at all.
-0.32 -- Ashton Jeanty averaged negative yards before contact per attempt.
28.6% -- De'Von Achane had a 28.6% explosive rush rate. He was the lone bright spot in this offense.
60% -- 60% of Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushes went for five or more yards. We'll see if he can keep that up against the Green Bay Packers.
2.1 -- The Packers held the Detroit Lions offense to 2.1 yards per rush in Week 1.
19% -- Dylan Sampson saw a 19% target share in his debut. We're adding him where he is available, even with Quinshon Judkins coming back.
4.3% -- Alvin Kamara had a 4.3% target share in his first game under Kellen Moore. If this sticks, Kamara is going to have a very hard time justifying his ADP.
77% -- Javonte Williams played 77% of the snaps for the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1. He's a borderline starter against the New York Giants, who gave up 6.9 yards per carry to Washington.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 2:42 pm to TigerLunatik
quote:
53.6% -- Kenneth Gainwell played over half of the offensive snaps for the Steelers in Week 1. This is bad news for Jaylen Warren and even worse news for Kaleb Johnson.
He was so inefficient with his touches too. fricking Arthur Smith man
Posted on 9/9/25 at 3:19 pm to RB10
QB Numbers to Know
47 -- The Green Bay Packers only ran 47 offensive plays in Week 1, which explains Jordan Love 22 pass attempts. Expect both numbers to go up significantly in Week 2.
0.54 -- Justin Fields led all QBs with 0.54 EPA/DB. This was one of his best games as a passer. If he repeats in Week 2, we may have a top-five Fantasy QB.
74.3% -- Only 74% of Caleb Williams passes were catchable, the second-worst mark in the league. The rushing production was great, but we did not see the Year 2 leap we are hoping for in Week 1.
6 -- Patrick Mahomes had six scrambles in Week 1, second only to Jalen Hurts. He'll need to run more to be a Fantasy starter with Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy out.
12.5% -- Trevor Lawrence was only pressured on 12.5% of his drop backs, which makes his Week 1 inaccuracy all the more disturbing.
6 -- Cam Ward was sacked six times in his debut. It is going to be miserable for any QB facing the Denver Broncos this year.
10.6 -- Geno Smith 10.6 yards per attempt was second only to Lamar Jackson in Week 1. The Las Vegas Raiders passed more and more successfully than many expected.
2.8 -- Drake May averaged 2.8 yards per carry in Week 1. Last year, he averaged 7.8, which we knew was not sustainable. Expect an average close to five moving forward.
59.7% -- The Los Angeles Chargers' near 60% pass rate was only 14th in Week 1, but that is a huge improvement from last year. Herbert could be the best value QB this year if that continues.
5 -- Josh Allen had five rush attempts inside the five-yard line in Week 1. No other player had more than one.
47 -- The Green Bay Packers only ran 47 offensive plays in Week 1, which explains Jordan Love 22 pass attempts. Expect both numbers to go up significantly in Week 2.
0.54 -- Justin Fields led all QBs with 0.54 EPA/DB. This was one of his best games as a passer. If he repeats in Week 2, we may have a top-five Fantasy QB.
74.3% -- Only 74% of Caleb Williams passes were catchable, the second-worst mark in the league. The rushing production was great, but we did not see the Year 2 leap we are hoping for in Week 1.
6 -- Patrick Mahomes had six scrambles in Week 1, second only to Jalen Hurts. He'll need to run more to be a Fantasy starter with Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy out.
12.5% -- Trevor Lawrence was only pressured on 12.5% of his drop backs, which makes his Week 1 inaccuracy all the more disturbing.
6 -- Cam Ward was sacked six times in his debut. It is going to be miserable for any QB facing the Denver Broncos this year.
10.6 -- Geno Smith 10.6 yards per attempt was second only to Lamar Jackson in Week 1. The Las Vegas Raiders passed more and more successfully than many expected.
2.8 -- Drake May averaged 2.8 yards per carry in Week 1. Last year, he averaged 7.8, which we knew was not sustainable. Expect an average close to five moving forward.
59.7% -- The Los Angeles Chargers' near 60% pass rate was only 14th in Week 1, but that is a huge improvement from last year. Herbert could be the best value QB this year if that continues.
5 -- Josh Allen had five rush attempts inside the five-yard line in Week 1. No other player had more than one.
Posted on 9/9/25 at 3:54 pm to TigerLunatik
And a bunch of them got stuffed
Posted on 9/9/25 at 5:21 pm to TheWalrus
quote:
Additional scans today on Jauan Jennings’ shoulder came back clean, and the 49ers wide receiver avoided any significant injury, per source. Jennings now will be considered day to day, and has a chance to play Sunday at New Orleans.
- Adam Schefter
Posted on 9/9/25 at 6:35 pm to TigerLunatik
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
35% -- Dallas Goedert led all tight ends with a 35% target share last week.
21.7% -- Noah Fant tied Ja'Marr Chase for the team lead in target share at 21.7%. He ran more routes and played more snaps than Mike Gesicki. It probably only matters in deep leagues, but it is not nothing.
4.12 -- Brock Bowers averaged more than four yards per route run. If he hadn't gotten dinged up in the third quarter, we would be celebrating a 20-point week.
82.6% -- Travis Kelce still ran more than 80% of his team's routes, despite his low target total. I am starting him with confidence this week.
5.3% -- Lamar Jackson only threw one pass to a tight end in Week 1. A trend to watch for Week 2.
100% -- Juwan Johnson was the only tight end in Week 1 to run a route on 100% of his team's drop-backs.
19% -- Kyle Pitts' 19% target share and 83% route share was impressive. Watch the injury reports closely on Drake London and Darnell Mooney.
37.5% -- Tyler Warren was targeted on 37.5% of his routes. It's wheels up for this rookie
Numbers to Know
35% -- Dallas Goedert led all tight ends with a 35% target share last week.
21.7% -- Noah Fant tied Ja'Marr Chase for the team lead in target share at 21.7%. He ran more routes and played more snaps than Mike Gesicki. It probably only matters in deep leagues, but it is not nothing.
4.12 -- Brock Bowers averaged more than four yards per route run. If he hadn't gotten dinged up in the third quarter, we would be celebrating a 20-point week.
82.6% -- Travis Kelce still ran more than 80% of his team's routes, despite his low target total. I am starting him with confidence this week.
5.3% -- Lamar Jackson only threw one pass to a tight end in Week 1. A trend to watch for Week 2.
100% -- Juwan Johnson was the only tight end in Week 1 to run a route on 100% of his team's drop-backs.
19% -- Kyle Pitts' 19% target share and 83% route share was impressive. Watch the injury reports closely on Drake London and Darnell Mooney.
37.5% -- Tyler Warren was targeted on 37.5% of his routes. It's wheels up for this rookie
Posted on 9/9/25 at 7:22 pm to TackySweater
quote:
Where do y’all find the advanced stats like snap share, where they lined up, etc?
Check out the data dump podcast on Yahoo from today. There may be a version on Yahoo"s website. A lot of great stats in there.
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