Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Clemson vs LSU (Vegas Discussion Only) | Page 5 | Tiger Rant
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re: Clemson vs LSU (Vegas Discussion Only)

Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:02 pm to
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:02 pm to
If anyone is interested

St Marys -2.5 or -3 1st half tonight over BYU Looks like Yoelli Childs is out with a finger issue and he is averaging 20 per game Really good player going on the road vs a tough St Marys Teams

Not a lock, but a really good play imho

Thanks for the input today!

And for the clown that thinks we are trying to move a line, pace yourself KID, the game is still 4 days away!

Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:05 pm to
CDawson-

you could be correct here and I would be shocked! But i do not know that answer

But i am talking about Red Zone TD % (not overall %)If you go by scores, LSU is gonna lead every category lol

I just remember Miss State and Auburn especially....and look, NO one can criticize LSU's offense so that is a stretch. I simply meant, (as I bet the UNDER) that I think LSU could settle for a few FGs like in the SECG etc.

I am NOT being critical on anything LSU has put together this year!
Posted by GRTiger
On a roof eating alligator pie
Member since Dec 2008
70246 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:09 pm to
LSU is first in redzone scoring %. They are 5th in redzone TD %.

LSU RZ offense vs Clemson RZ defense will be a huge part of the game.
Posted by TOPAL
Member since Mar 2010
5014 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:10 pm to
Remember Ohio st shite the bed, they left a lot of points out there and the refs cost them 7. They should have won by 10. I believe LSU secondary is as good or better than Ohio st. Clemson does have a way of playing up for big games, I hope the tigers can pull it off, put $150 on them winning it all before the season. The key is to hit TL early. Clemson may force LSU to punt more this game but can they keep drives alive against LSU. I feel Aranda has held a lot back due to the score this year, we will blitz more than any other game. In closing I bet the overs often when I don’t care who wins, just want scoring.
This post was edited on 1/9/20 at 9:19 pm
Posted by tiger81
Brentwood, TN.
Member since Jan 2008
21120 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:17 pm to
Clemson kicking field goals, LSU scoring touchdowns. The score will mount quickly, then their ball control goes out da window.
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:19 pm to
GR Tiger-

Thats freaking amazing! Maybe those 3 games i mentioned are the only ones we didn't score TDs in lol

Just don't see how you can play Clemson in this game! Just too risky.
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 9:28 pm to
BTW We were talking last night about the difference in rebounding stats and how CBB games can show up some crazy numbers.

Tennessee State is 4-19 tonight!!!! FROM THE FREE THROW LINE!!!!!!!!

Impossible!!! Shaq could teach this team how to shoot FTs!!!
Posted by Tigrdynasty
19th hole
Member since Jun 2018
3221 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:13 pm to
OU wasnt a TOP 15

They're #4 and we didn't beat them by 40-50 dumb bitch. We beat them by 35. Same as the lead we had at HALFTIME frickface
This post was edited on 1/9/20 at 10:13 pm
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:55 pm to
TigerDynasty-

You sure about your facts Dude? LOL I didn't watch the game, but I am quite sure you aren't correct. Idiot!

And How about that shot for St Marys to cover the -2.5 halftime line!!! Cha-Ching!!!

Posted by Poison
Melbourne, Australia
Member since Sep 2019
219 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 11:15 pm to
quote:

I hope the tigers can pull it off, put $150 on them winning it all before the season


Out of interest, at what odds?
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 11:22 pm to
Poison Not directed at me, but I have some LSU to win it all at 9-1, and 7-1 back in September Pre season you could have gotten 18-1 and 15-1

Things really changed after the Texas game Burrow Heisman odds dropped to nothing and LSU dropped quite a bit too

But Bama was still Bama (lol) in September
Posted by Tuco Pacifico
Member since May 2013
398 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 11:49 pm to
quote:

My only criticism of LSU has been RED ZONE offense


You lost me here.
Posted by Rolling Stoned
London
Member since Jan 2006
609 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 12:08 am to
Tuco-

I explained that earlier, but basically I should have said Red Zone TDs

Especially in the Miss State, Auburn and Ga game I just remember those games where LSU tries to Overpower teams and I just dont think they are built for that anymore

Thats all I have NO legit complaints about LSU offense who could?

And all of this was in regards to the UNDER I bet!!
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54047 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 6:36 am to
quote:

Which team has a better defense Clemson or Alabama?

Clemson has a much stronger defense. Bama might have, had they not had that rash of injuries, but they played too many freshmen.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54047 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 6:44 am to
quote:

I have never understood how people like OVERS and tell me the score is going to be 42-28 which is 70 and the total is 69.5

Why would you bet an OVER when you think the game is going to be maxed out at 70 I mean that is NO room for error!

I’ve been reading your posts, and you suffer from a lack of logic. If you think that a bettor who predicts 42-28 thinks the game is maxed out at 70, doesn’t it go to follow that the same bettor thinks it’s “min’ed out” at 70? If so, he can’t lose on a 69.5 bet.

I’m not making that case, only showing the fallacy in your logic. Of course, the bettor in question doesn’t think the game is min’ed or maxed at 70. A smart bettor would realize his odds, no matter what he thinks the score would be, are 50-50. An even smarter one wouldn’t bet at all.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
54047 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 6:46 am to
quote:

the same could be said for LSU. For LSU to win Clyde/Rb's have to play a key roll in both rushing and passing.

No, this is just wrong. If CEH gets held to 50 yards rushing (before garbage time) it would not surprise me if LSU wins by 20.
Posted by TOPAL
Member since Mar 2010
5014 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 9:37 am to
Poison
25/1
Posted by MetArl15
Washington, DC
Member since Apr 2007
13204 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 9:41 am to
LSU’s D is not as good as OSU’s.
Posted by CDawson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2017
19760 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 9:50 am to
I look at it historically:

This is the best LSU team in school history and has a claim as one of the all time greats when it beats Clemson. LSU is without question the greatest offense in P5 history and that includes all of the Hawaii's and Houstons beating up the cupcakes.

I cannot fathom that the third best team that Clemson has fields in the last 6 years is somehow on the level of LSU's greatest and one of the greatest ever.

GA is exceptional on defense and "held" LSU to 37 including LSU basically not trying to score in the late third or fourth quarter.

We are talking about an historic offense going against a young Clemson defense up front that simply cannot pressure with its front four. If this was 2019 it may be a different story. I can't see this one being less than a two score win for LSU.

LSU covers and depending on by how much by how soon will determine the over/under.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
68047 posts
Posted on 1/10/20 at 10:03 am to
The reason it’s at 74% is because it’s a layup and a can’t miss bet. When Mike Tyson was putting people to sleep public money wasn’t on Carl “the truth” Williams was it? The reasons you keep giving for Clemson and the under are wish casting, they’re not logic. You’ve used reasoning like “I think Dabo might” or “throw out every game except LSUs worst 2”, one in weather BTW. These aren’t reasons they’re far fetched theories and hopes. If you didn’t see the difference in the level of play between the 4 teams last Saturday or understand the mismatches across the field you’re doomed to lose money on this thing.
This post was edited on 1/10/20 at 10:05 am
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