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re: D1 Baseball rankings are out
Posted on 2/23/26 at 1:47 pm to TigahFan85
Posted on 2/23/26 at 1:47 pm to TigahFan85
How did you add that photo? Did you screenshot and copy and paste into text?
1
Posted on 2/23/26 at 1:48 pm to SouthEndzoneTiger
quote:
UCLA will have that #1 ranking tested this weekend. They play Tennessee, A&M, and Mississippi State.
They swept TCU this weekend. I think then at 1 makes sense. But this weekend will be interesting for sure, and you should find out a lot about them (although that Tennessee game doesn't look quite as big now).
Posted on 2/23/26 at 1:59 pm to Broski
quote:
All that matters is that they secure the autobid in the MAC tournament.
Definitely dont HAVE to do that necessarily, but certainly have to win a ton of freaking games otherwise being a MAC team to get an NCAAT bid without the MAC auto-bid.
Last year they got off on the completely wrong foot starting 1-5 against the likes of Eastern Kentucky, South Alabama, SIU-Edwardsville and 3x against Mercer. So despite going 23-7 in conference play winning the MAC, they had no shot any type of selection because of that poor a start to the season and finishing just 34-18 overall. They definitely need to win 40+ games probably at minimum to ever be considered for a at-large bid playing the MAC.
Winning 2/3 @ Tennessee is a good start to this season for them. They play Wright St and 4x against Rhode Island this week. That needs to probably be a 5-0 week for them to keep those hopes up. 4-1 not end of world but every loss against a meh team certainly not helping their case.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:00 pm to cremefraiche225
On browser:
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Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:05 pm to BigBinBR
quote:
although that Tennessee game doesn't look quite as big now).
Tennessee still has loads of talent. I think a series loss in February is hardly enough insight to write them off
This post was edited on 2/23/26 at 2:05 pm
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:08 pm to PP7 for heisman
I can’t remember how long A&M was ranked last year but it was about 3 to 4 weeks longer than they should have been due to preseason biases which d1 is by far the worst at. They think VERY highly of themselves and their pre season opinions.
This post was edited on 2/23/26 at 2:12 pm
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:08 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
Last year they got off on the completely wrong foot starting 1-5 against the likes of Eastern Kentucky, South Alabama, SIU-Edwardsville and 3x against Mercer. So despite going 23-7 in conference play winning the MAC, they had no shot any type of selection because of that poor a start to the season and finishing just 34-18 overall. They definitely need to win 40+ games probably at minimum to ever be considered for a at-large bid playing the MAC.
The best MAC team hasn't had an RPI higher (lower?) than 82 the last three years.
Per Warren Nolan, Kent St.'s projected end-of-season RPI right now is 104 and that's with the four results against LSU and Tennessee already locked in. Warren Nolan also has them projected to go 48-6, which we know won't happen.
They are going to have to win their conference tournament.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:11 pm to tigers33
quote:
Tennessee still has loads of talent. I think a series loss in February is hardly enough insight to write them off
Yeah it's baseball and anything can happen on any weekend, and they definitely have the talent. But they did not look very good this weekend.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:11 pm to ell_13
quote:
I can remember how long A&M was ranked last year but it was about 3 to 4 weeks longer than they should have been due to preseason biases which d1 is by far the worst at. They think VERY highly of themselves and their pre season opinions.
This is my biggest issue with D1, largely Kendall and Fitt.
They are two dorks who in the 2000's were the only ones really covering college baseball with Rivals/Perfect Game and Baseball America. In that time, they built up this weird sense of "We know the sports better than anyone" complex and it still exists now even though a lot more people are following the sport and can see through their biases.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:14 pm to BayouCowboy
Not a lot movement early on in the season is to be expected. Honestly, rankings in baseball mean absolutely nothing until 2-3 weekends into SEC/conference Play.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:17 pm to IM_4_LSU
They never mean anything. Period.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:31 pm to ell_13
Not this early
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:31 pm to Broski
quote:
The best MAC team hasn't had an RPI higher (lower?) than 82 the last three years.
Kent St had an RPI of 45 in 2023
LINK
And won 40 games that year, so they were right on the bubble then and just barely missed out on an at-large bid. They also had no wins of note in OOC play that year, compared toa weekend series win over Tennessee already this season.
quote:
Per Warren Nolan, Kent St.'s projected end-of-season RPI right now is 104 and that's with the four results against LSU and Tennessee already locked in. Warren Nolan also has them projected to go 48-6, which we know won't happen.
This is totally useless right now
This post was edited on 2/23/26 at 2:35 pm
Posted on 2/23/26 at 2:36 pm to thunderbird1100
quote:
This is totally useless right now
Considering its a full-season projection, it's a lot less useless than Kent St.'s 11 RPI right now.
Look at who they play the rest of the season. Their RPI is only going to go down regardless of results.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:16 pm to Broski
Predicted RPI looks reasonable already.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:16 pm to Broski
quote:
Considering its a full-season projection, it's a lot less useless than Kent St.'s 11 RPI right now.
The entire RPI is useless right now, predictions or current. We're 8 (or less) games into the season. If you ever followed RPI in the past it's completely useless by any metrics until everyone gets into conference play a few series minimum. Until then you have these ridiculous swings every week by dozens (or maybe a hundred) of spots even at the top of the range. If RPI is broken right now, the predictions that come from it also will be too. Predictions are only going to be based on results of very few games so far, which is why predicted RPI will still be broken for a while. There's simply not enough data at all to be any sort of accurate for season ending predictions. Computer models cant be that accurate with such little datapoints, not how they work.
quote:
Look at who they play the rest of the season. Their RPI is only going to go down regardless of results.
Interesting you didnt address my point of Kent St's RPI being 45 back in 2023 with 40 wins. Nothing about what I said was wrong previously, if they win 40+ games they CAN get an at-large bid, they were right on the cusp of doing it in 2023 and they had nothing close to a weekend series win on the road against a top team like they do this time around. Their only Top 100 wins that season were mid-week wins against RPI 78 Ohio St, RPI 81 Pitt and a Sunday win against RPI 72 Evansville. None of those teams made the tournament.
This post was edited on 2/23/26 at 3:22 pm
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:23 pm to ell_13
quote:
Predicted RPI looks reasonable already.
If we really think this is even somewhat useful right now, it has Kent St finishing at #25 RPI, 32-1 in the MAC, 50-4 overall
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:30 pm to thunderbird1100
Fairly reasonable. Even in the middle of the season, it had Texas going 28-2 last year.
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:35 pm to ell_13
quote:
Fairly reasonable. Even in the middle of the season, it had Texas going 28-2 last year.
I think its probably way more than tad bit off right now still
Posted on 2/23/26 at 3:41 pm to thunderbird1100
If you took the predicted RPI and made a top 25, it wouldn’t get a whole lot of push back. For this time of year, yes, that’s fairly reasonable.
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