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Message
re: Hurricane Gustav
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:09 am to genuineLSUtiger
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:09 am to genuineLSUtiger
Hopefully that high pressure system will come down and force it west. Thank God Jindal is in office.
0
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:10 am to POOPhead
I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say the Galveston area.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:10 am to CU-onda-BIU
oh shite --
quote:
GFDL: The NWS/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory model. This model has been the best overall performing model the past three years. An upgrade to the model this spring has produced a 10-12% improvement in track forecasts and a 30% improvement in intensity forecasts when re-run on hurricanes from the 2005 season. The GFDL and HWRF models are the only models that provide specific intensity forecasts of hurricanes. Wunderground.com makes these graphics available on our computer models page. More deatiled GFDL graphics are available at NOAA/NCEP. See the "GHM" model under the heading, Hurricane Graphics.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:11 am to CU-onda-BIU
Get ready for oil prices to go to 150 plus a barrel.
If the storm really tears up those rigs it could get ugly for a long time.
If the storm really tears up those rigs it could get ugly for a long time.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:11 am to genuineLSUtiger
At "weatherunderground.com", the historical map shows that of all recorded hurricanes in this loacation, on this date, none have ever hit Louisiana.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:13 am to DaddyGriff
I guess that's some consolation although previous returns are not an indicator of future performance. 
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:14 am to DaddyGriff
quote:
the historical map shows that of all recorded hurricanes in this loacation, on this date, none have ever hit Louisiana.
hope that isnt saying we're due
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:16 am to rhodester
quote:
Good question, I'm curious about this myself. I stayed in BR for both Katrina and Rita and Rita was far worse here as we were on the WET side of that one. Still it was only heavy rain and gusty wind. Nothing too major where I was.
Anyone ever have to leave BR for a storm? I live in the LSU area off of Brightside Dr.
the only major scare BR has as far as strong winds and property damage is if the storm comes up the river, i.e andrew, and betsy. Other than that, lots of rain, and power outages, but as far as intense winds, it is usually too weak if it doesn't come up on water.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:21 am to CU-onda-BIU
GFDL in ONLY accurate up to 3 days out! The rest is an educated guess by the computer. 
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:24 am to Catman88
quote:
I want the hurricane track to be right on us a week out...they are never anywhere close a week away.
They are 100% accurate at landfall
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:27 am to Catman88
If this thing hits N.O. on Sunday as predicted by the GFDL model, then there will be no game this Saturday in Baton Rouge. Can't have 100,000 people in Baton Rouge for a game when people are trying to evacuate N.O.
This is from Jeff Master's blog on Wunderground:
"The GFDL is the fastest, bringing Gustav to New Orleans on Sunday afternoon. This is a plausible forecast, but at this point, virtually any point along the Gulf Coast has a roughly equal chance of a direct hit by Gustav."
This is from Jeff Master's blog on Wunderground:
"The GFDL is the fastest, bringing Gustav to New Orleans on Sunday afternoon. This is a plausible forecast, but at this point, virtually any point along the Gulf Coast has a roughly equal chance of a direct hit by Gustav."
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:36 am to RedHawk
We need to wait another 48 - 72 hours to get to within the 72 hour forcast. 4 - 5 day forcasts have a high of margin of error.
But yea, if the storm is 24 - 36 hours from making landfall on the LA coast, there will be no game Sat. It takes 2-3 days to evacuate the NO area. I wouldn't be surprised that once the storm enters the gulf, that they start evacuating the lower parishes.
But yea, if the storm is 24 - 36 hours from making landfall on the LA coast, there will be no game Sat. It takes 2-3 days to evacuate the NO area. I wouldn't be surprised that once the storm enters the gulf, that they start evacuating the lower parishes.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:41 am to Lester Earl
quote:
the game is on Saturday, who cares!!!
AMEN!
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:45 am to rutiger
quote:
But yea, if the storm is 24 - 36 hours from making landfall on the LA coast, there will be no game Sat. It takes 2-3 days to evacuate the NO area. I wouldn't be surprised that once the storm enters the gulf, that they start evacuating the lower parishes.
+1
Too early to call right now, but if it even looks like its remotely headed for NOLA this w/e, forget about it - the game will be cancelled.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:50 am to givemeabeer
The latest models still have it just north of Cuba by Sunday morning, no? If so the I would think the game will be on.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:52 am to rutiger
quote:
the game is on Saturday, who cares!!!
AMEN!
Still a decent chance this game doesn't happen. I hope that isn't the case, but still a possibility.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 11:58 am to RedHawk
i guess that the game being at 4 might be a good thing instead of night now....
about evacuating baton rouge, if this thing is a monster 5 and hits and goes straight to baton rouge, i'm getting the hell out of here. it would be a 4 or 3 by the time it got here and would be spinning off tornados left and right. the power would be out for days, there'd be some flooding, and the limbs from the oak trees would block a lot of roads.
no thanks, I'll drive back home to tennessee for a few days.
about evacuating baton rouge, if this thing is a monster 5 and hits and goes straight to baton rouge, i'm getting the hell out of here. it would be a 4 or 3 by the time it got here and would be spinning off tornados left and right. the power would be out for days, there'd be some flooding, and the limbs from the oak trees would block a lot of roads.
no thanks, I'll drive back home to tennessee for a few days.
This post was edited on 8/26/08 at 11:59 am
Posted on 8/26/08 at 12:05 pm to am4titansandlsu
I evacuated to Baton Rouge from Houston for Rita. It took 20 hours! Worst trip of my life. I won't be evacuating again.
Posted on 8/26/08 at 12:07 pm to RedHawk
quote:
If this thing hits N.O. on Sunday as predicted by the GFDL model
I will say it again.. GFDL is one of the most unreliable models past 3 days. Even then I dont see anywhere that indicated it would hit NOLA on Sunday
The last run of GFDL puts it about 200 miles off the mouth of the MS on Sunday.Posted on 8/26/08 at 12:09 pm to RedHawk
quote:
Still a decent chance this game doesn't happen. I hope that isn't the case, but still a possibility.
Zero possibility due to Gustav. Slight possibility due to asteroid strike or anthrax outbreak.
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