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re: Vegas thinks we go 7-5. Thoughts?

Posted on 6/27/22 at 5:43 pm to
Posted by Gee Grenouille
Bogalusa
Member since Jul 2018
7722 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 5:43 pm to
what were the odds on your bet?
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
51834 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 5:43 pm to
8-4 minimum this year, and that would be slightly disappointing but not devastating.

10+ wins is the minimum starting year two.
This post was edited on 6/27/22 at 6:03 pm
Posted by UnoMe
Here
Member since Dec 2007
6956 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 5:54 pm to
I just signed up for Bets-Rivers and made a 250.00 deposit they matched my 250.00

So now I’m setting on 500.00 at over 6.5
Posted by armchair tiger
Member since Jun 2022
437 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 6:01 pm to
Personally, I bet the OL is a lot better, the wide receiver room and the running back room will both be off the charts, Nussmeier will be far better than most people even realize, and the defense will be one of the best in the SEC. As I can't see LSU losing more than 2 games maybe even less.
Posted by Turf Taint
New Orleans
Member since Jun 2021
6010 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 6:14 pm to
New Head Coach
New culture
2 new Coordinators and playbooks (again)
New QB
More transfers (new chemistry to build) than binders
Loss of All America CBs (albeit "loss" vs. opt out = same)

7-8 wins sounds about right, even with BK at helm
Posted by Ethan Martin
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2006
1754 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 6:31 pm to
It's right on target.
Posted by Hot Carl
Prayers up for 3
Member since Dec 2005
62218 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Vegas thinks we go 7-5.


Do they? Or do they think that’s the perfect place to put it in June that will have a bunch of us thinking it’s easy money and hammer the over, and a bunch of other people see we don’t have a starting QB named, have a huge question at OL, a brand new coaching staff and system, and a really hard schedule and will hammer the under. You throw a grand on the over, Daniels wins the QB job, Myles transfers, then Daniels tears his ACL the week of the Florida State game, and we’re rocking with 2 scholarship QBs who didn’t get a whole lot of reps in the fall. Then that under starts to look pretty tasty. (I’m not saying any of that will happen—Nuss might win the job straight up—just saying there’s a scenario(s) where that “easy money” doesn’t look too easy. If we go into opening week healthy, that 7-5 will definitely be 8-4 before we kick off in the Dome.

And looking at the schedule, most people make the mistake of taking every game individually, but forget the cumulative effect playing in the SEC has. Plus opening against FSU. There’s no breathers. We could beat Bama, get beat up, come out the next game flat, and lose to Arkansas. Or Ole Miss. Or Aggie. Or whoever. It seems y’all pick the best team you think we’ll beat and just assume of we’re good enough to beat them, we should just automatically beat every team not as good as them. Unfortunately, for every team in America not named Bama, it doesn’t work like that. And even they are susceptible to the occasional Ole Miss, Auburn, or—gasp!!—A&M.

Or Florida State may be way better than we think. Or Tennessee. Whoever. I just think every year we seem to just go down the list of games and put a “W” or “L” next to it like they’re played in a vacuum. They’re not.

That said, I’d set it at 8-4 and not bet it. I think we’re gonna be a lot better than most think, and unless shite goes sideways, can definitely go 9-3. I’d actually be a little disappointed with 8-4 on June 27th. But I think we’re gonna be in a lot of close games and have to depend on some dudes to step up and make some game-winning/saving plays. And right now, I think we’ve got ‘em. Who exactly they are, though, is yet to be seen. Tell you one thing, though—can’t fricking wait.
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14631 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:00 pm to
We’re not losing to Florida. I’m going and my road record is filthy.
Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
7788 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

Florida, Ole Miss, Bama, Arkansas, and A&M.


I think Tennessee, not Florida.

Vegas is in the business making money, not telling the future.

That said, 7-5 is a good conservative number given last years record along with the question marks at depth, QB, and new staff.

I think 9-3 would be an excellent year.
Posted by cfish140
BR
Member since Aug 2007
8920 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:02 pm to
They put us at either 6-6 or 7-5 last year and I told everyone before the season that I would bet my house they’ll finish better than that. I think they’ll be better than 7-5 but keep in mind Vegas isn’t wrong often
Posted by cyarrr
Prairieville
Member since Jun 2017
4169 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:24 pm to
I think they’ll be better than 7-5 but keep in mind Vegas isn’t wrong often
———————
They were way off on LSU 2018, 2019 and 2020.

18 and 19 we were several games over and 20 several games under according to a lot of the sport books
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
5159 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:41 pm to
Even money.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
78109 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 7:51 pm to
quote:

We should go 10-2, 11-1 not out of the question


Posted by SportsGuyNOLA
New Orleans, LA
Member since May 2014
20733 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:20 pm to
If we go 7-5, we should bring O back.

Posted by saturncube21
Member since Nov 2015
11145 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:30 pm to
9-3
Posted by PigDog33
Louisiana
Member since Jul 2021
995 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:33 pm to
quote:

what were the odds on your bet?


Over 7 is at +100 on Caesar’s right now.
I’d rather wait and bet on each game than give the book a 6.5 month interest free loan this far out from the season
Posted by tigah paw
Gordo Al
Member since Jun 2015
1403 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:37 pm to
Ya never know.highs and lows.
Lsu beat florida in 97 in an epic upset that was one of the greatest upsets in lsu history then lost to ole miss
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
5839 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:49 pm to
I just don’t think that 7 wins is outside of the realm of possibility. I would love to see over, but we really don’t have many answers on what this team will really look like against quality competition.
We can make some good assumptions but in reality we don’t know what the QB play, the O-line, the LB’s, and The defensive backfield will look like together. All that on top of a new system for the returning players. I think we could stand to curb our expectations a little bit.
Posted by Tigersonfire
Pville
Member since Oct 2018
3027 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:53 pm to
Barstool has it at 6.5 games…..just a heads up.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
59095 posts
Posted on 6/27/22 at 8:54 pm to
quote:

Seems like easy money.


Some famous last words
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