Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us BOIL has become predictable | Page 83 | Money Talk
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re: BOIL has become predictable

Posted on 12/16/14 at 6:41 pm to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 6:41 pm to
It depends how you look at it. Painful, or opportunity?
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 6:42 pm to
What's Thursday

Trying to decide if I want to average down UGAZ or jump into LNGLF in the upcoming weeks
This post was edited on 12/16/14 at 6:52 pm
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2499 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 7:26 pm to
Weekly storage report release. Last weeks withdrawal is going to pale in comparison to the YOY comparison. I think this time last year we had a 200+ bcf withdrawal? The weather models are lining up for a cold January, but I don't know how much that is going to help UGAZ holders at this point.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10609 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 7:34 pm to
You bought it less than two months ago? You sell it in another two months at a 25% gain. You go short for the summer. You're pretty much getting an annualized return of over 50%.

That being the case why worry about the long side getting delayed until January? It's been a tough month, no doubt, but natty gas at $3.60 ins't fundamentally sustainable all winter. We likely won't have a repeat of last winter, but winter will get here sure as shite.
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2499 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 7:58 pm to
My fear is that by the time the worst of the winter hits, UGAZ will have already rolled in March contracts. It's already 100% Feb contracts.
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
23262 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 8:00 pm to
quote:

My fear is that by the time the worst of the winter hits, UGAZ will have already rolled in March contracts. It's already 100% Feb contracts.


I said that too, sold my boil last year at 48 from 32.......the next week it went up 10 bucks
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2499 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 8:12 pm to
Maybe, but last winter was insane
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
23262 posts
Posted on 12/16/14 at 8:14 pm to
Last winter really didn't start until Jan.
Posted by jlu03
San Diego
Member since Jul 2012
3355 posts
Posted on 12/18/14 at 7:53 am to
Nice bump up in the premarket. Let's see how long this lasts before the 9:30 numbers.
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 12/18/14 at 9:30 am to
-64
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 7:36 am to
Getting painful. Will winter ever get here?
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36673 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 7:54 am to
Under $8 in the premarket. Keep falling
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12842 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 8:36 am to
My Roth is about to by a chunk of UGAZ
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 8:44 am to
I'm beginning to wonder. Damn. I thought I was going to have a good Christmas a month ago.
Posted by The Big Bro
Somewhere between NOLA and Texas
Member since Nov 2008
79 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 8:56 am to
Will it ever go back up? Where's my polar vortex when I need one.
Posted by rintintin
Life is Life
Member since Nov 2008
17009 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 9:00 am to
I only have a little ammo left to average down, wondering if now is the time
Posted by southernelite
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2009
53562 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 9:00 am to
I'm not sure we get another polar vortex. Looks like a pretty tepid winter.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 9:02 am to
quote:

Looks like a pretty tepid winter.


Winter hasn't started. There is no way for anyone to know this right now.
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36673 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 9:05 am to
I told myself I would get in at $7.50, but I may just wait this out. Not showing any sign of slowing down
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
38433 posts
Posted on 12/19/14 at 9:07 am to
Blood in the streets...
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