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Message
re: Official CryptoTalk Thread
Posted on 12/1/25 at 7:33 am to I Love Bama
Posted on 12/1/25 at 7:33 am to I Love Bama
I think the bank of Japan rattling about rate hikes is causing this drop.
Seems overblown to me, personally.
People borrowing cheap yen for speculation will just move to something else…. who was trumps pick for fed chair, again?
Seems overblown to me, personally.
People borrowing cheap yen for speculation will just move to something else…. who was trumps pick for fed chair, again?
1
Posted on 12/1/25 at 12:27 pm to Hateradedrink
I’m selling some IBIT shares to buy June 2028 $45 strikes.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 10:11 am to beaverfever
Merry Christmas, printers on.
Posted on 12/2/25 at 11:54 am to Hateradedrink
We can all give a big thanks to Vanguard and Bank of America for lifting their respective but different restrictions on Bitcoin Spot ETFs. News like this from two very large highly respected financial firms should give a boost to Bitcoin higher long term compounded growth. The Vanguard news is by far the most significant in my opinion, but the BOA news is still significant.
On December 1st, Vanguard removed its internal ban on crypto ETFs. A whopping 50M clients can now get exposure to spot Bitcoin and Ethereum funds directly in their brokerage and retirement accounts.
Bank of America has just established formal guidelines recommending that wealth management clients allocate between 1% and 4% of their portfolios to digital assets, ending restrictions that prevented over 15,000 advisers from proactively discussing Bitcoin products with clients through it's Merrill, Private Bank, and Merrill Edge platforms.
These two announcements should be somewhat significant in adding more legitamatcy and growth to Bitcoin, Ethereum and other crypto.
Vanguard Crypto ETF Shift Puts Spotlight on Bitcoin Hyper
Bank of America Backs Bitcoin ETFs, Lifts Adviser Restrictions
On December 1st, Vanguard removed its internal ban on crypto ETFs. A whopping 50M clients can now get exposure to spot Bitcoin and Ethereum funds directly in their brokerage and retirement accounts.
Bank of America has just established formal guidelines recommending that wealth management clients allocate between 1% and 4% of their portfolios to digital assets, ending restrictions that prevented over 15,000 advisers from proactively discussing Bitcoin products with clients through it's Merrill, Private Bank, and Merrill Edge platforms.
These two announcements should be somewhat significant in adding more legitamatcy and growth to Bitcoin, Ethereum and other crypto.
Vanguard Crypto ETF Shift Puts Spotlight on Bitcoin Hyper
Bank of America Backs Bitcoin ETFs, Lifts Adviser Restrictions
This post was edited on 12/3/25 at 8:04 am
Posted on 12/3/25 at 8:56 am to 98eagle
Damn I missed coinbase finally caved and listed bnb 
Posted on 12/3/25 at 9:28 am to 98eagle
I had completely forgotten that Vanguard’s brokerage service restricted people from buying btc ETFs. That’s wild. IBIT is one of the biggest ETFs in the world. Even if I had zero interest in the product, I would tell them to take a hike if they said what I could and couldn’t trade.
Posted on 12/3/25 at 4:09 pm to beaverfever
Ethereum's Fusaka upgrade just went through without a hitch. Pretty big upgrade to the system.
Posted on 12/9/25 at 12:41 pm to beaverfever
Recent Bitcoin volatility between the mid to upper $80K range and the lower to mid $90K range has been nice for volatility trading. I've racked up several more wins recently.
Hopefully Bitcoin shoots up a good bit higher this month and then resumes decent price swings at a higher price point while still climbing higher.
I hope Bitcoin's normal 4 year cycle is broken. I think it probably is. If not I will eventually likely get burned on any open BITX trades I might have if Bitcoin takes a quick drop of 50% or more.
Since my volatility trades are each typically 5% of my available trading cash, if, for example, I had three open BITX trades prior to a sudden 50% Bitcoin crash, I would only lose 15% of my trading cash. That scenario would not hurt me very much as my total trading cash grows each time I close out a BITX trade. So losing 15% (or even 25% if I lost 5 trades) of a much larger trading cash stockpile from when I started doing volatility trades in early 2024 is a risk I am willing to take going into any potential significant down cycle.
However, I don't believe Bitcoin will experience any future drops more than 30%. Any trapped BITX positions that I have on that down swing could probably survive and eventually become profitable again assuming Bitcoin continues to climb past all time highs over each 4 year cycle if it is still occurring.
Regardless of which direction Bitcoin decides to take between now and into next year, I am volatility trading straight into whatever it decides to do. Any dips or pullbacks and I am buying more BITX. It's worked for me for almost two years now and I won't stop unless/until I get burned with big losses for consequitive attempts at following my strategy. I haven't lost any trades so far even if they took months to become profitable.
Hopefully Bitcoin shoots up a good bit higher this month and then resumes decent price swings at a higher price point while still climbing higher.
I hope Bitcoin's normal 4 year cycle is broken. I think it probably is. If not I will eventually likely get burned on any open BITX trades I might have if Bitcoin takes a quick drop of 50% or more.
Since my volatility trades are each typically 5% of my available trading cash, if, for example, I had three open BITX trades prior to a sudden 50% Bitcoin crash, I would only lose 15% of my trading cash. That scenario would not hurt me very much as my total trading cash grows each time I close out a BITX trade. So losing 15% (or even 25% if I lost 5 trades) of a much larger trading cash stockpile from when I started doing volatility trades in early 2024 is a risk I am willing to take going into any potential significant down cycle.
However, I don't believe Bitcoin will experience any future drops more than 30%. Any trapped BITX positions that I have on that down swing could probably survive and eventually become profitable again assuming Bitcoin continues to climb past all time highs over each 4 year cycle if it is still occurring.
Regardless of which direction Bitcoin decides to take between now and into next year, I am volatility trading straight into whatever it decides to do. Any dips or pullbacks and I am buying more BITX. It's worked for me for almost two years now and I won't stop unless/until I get burned with big losses for consequitive attempts at following my strategy. I haven't lost any trades so far even if they took months to become profitable.
This post was edited on 12/9/25 at 12:42 pm
Posted on 12/9/25 at 1:27 pm to 98eagle
We’ll be rewarded for our patience this holiday season with lambos by Memorial Day.
Posted on 12/11/25 at 7:26 pm to beaverfever
Sitting at 92k on the dot. Let’s rally hard overnight and into tomorrow and then make a move for 100k next week.
Posted on 12/12/25 at 7:42 am to beaverfever
SEC Clears DTCC for Tokenization Services: 3 Altcoins Stand to Benefit
Tokenization of tradfi and RWA is inevitable. Anti-crypto people will be eating a lot of crow as their investments are traded on a public, decentralized blockchain.
quote:
In a recent announcement, DTCC stated that its subsidiary, The Depository Trust Company (DTC), has obtained a No-Action Letter from the SEC. This allows it to tokenize real-world assets held in DTC custody under existing federal securities laws. The service is expected to begin rolling out in the second half of 2026.
The No-Action Letter permits DTC to offer the tokenization service for an initial period of three years. During this time, DTC will be able to issue blockchain-based representations of certain traditional securities, with the digital tokens carrying the same ownership rights, investor protections, and legal entitlements as their conventional counterparts.
quote:
However, the initiative has sparked speculation across the digital asset sector about which ecosystems could ultimately stand to gain from DTCC’s move into tokenization. Below are three altcoins that may benefit:
quote:
Ethereum is widely viewed as one of the leading candidates. According to Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research at VanEck, there is a “99% chance” that DTCC could select Ethereum for its tokenization service.
quote:
The next leading contender is Chainlink. Chainlink is often cited as the connective layer between on-chain and off-chain systems, a role that closely aligns with DTCC’s emphasis on regulated tokenization, data integrity, and interoperability. Its oracle infrastructure, cross-chain capabilities, and proof-of-reserve solutions are particularly relevant for institutional use cases.
The two entities also have a track record of collaboration. In 2023, DTCC and Chainlink collaborated on SWIFT’s blockchain interoperability project.
quote:
The last one is Ondo Finance. As the leader in tokenized stocks by total value, Ondo commands $361.2 million, representing 51.64% of the $699.51 million market for tokenized public equities.
Tokenization of tradfi and RWA is inevitable. Anti-crypto people will be eating a lot of crow as their investments are traded on a public, decentralized blockchain.
Loading Twitter/X Embed...
If tweet fails to load, click here.This post was edited on 12/12/25 at 8:03 am
Posted on 12/15/25 at 7:27 am to BottomlandBrew
Posted on 12/17/25 at 7:08 am to BottomlandBrew
So what’s everyone thinking?
We’re pretty solidly in bear territory and all history, other than the fact we basically never had the traditional 30x alt season, points to crypto winter.
I think “history” is pointless now. My feeling is we do see a rebound into bull territory Q1/Q2 but we could very easily get rejected and go down lower to the 70k range.
I don’t think we see the 40-50k zone that some analysts are calling for, they’re pretty much assuming the regular 60%~ drop from ATH and I am not sure we get that this cycle, or even if there is a traditional cycle.
Liquidity is just now getting injected by the FED and will continue for the foreseeable future.
We’re pretty solidly in bear territory and all history, other than the fact we basically never had the traditional 30x alt season, points to crypto winter.
I think “history” is pointless now. My feeling is we do see a rebound into bull territory Q1/Q2 but we could very easily get rejected and go down lower to the 70k range.
I don’t think we see the 40-50k zone that some analysts are calling for, they’re pretty much assuming the regular 60%~ drop from ATH and I am not sure we get that this cycle, or even if there is a traditional cycle.
Liquidity is just now getting injected by the FED and will continue for the foreseeable future.
Posted on 12/17/25 at 8:21 am to Hateradedrink
quote:
So what’s everyone thinking?
I'm not thinking anything until the new year. This time of year is always wonky. Volume is typically low, and the volume that is there is usually related to tax loss harvesting and bots.
Posted on 12/17/25 at 6:55 pm to BottomlandBrew
Fair tbh. Today was classic low volume market manipulation. Everything is fake right now.
Posted on 12/17/25 at 8:16 pm to Hateradedrink
DCA until September 2029. SELL
Posted on 12/31/25 at 8:23 pm to 21JumpStreet
Start buying Coinbase this week as it’s going to sky rocket throughout January.
Posted on 1/5/26 at 9:12 am to Hateradedrink
Walmart began accepting BTC and crypto in-store payments via it's OnePay app yesterday per CNBC.
Here's an except from an article on CoinMarketCap.....
"CNBC reported on January 4 that Walmart starts accepting BTC and crypto in-store payments via its banking app OnePay. This marks a strong signal that retail adoption is progressing.
Walmart rolls out support for crypto payments via its OnePay app, which combines mobile banking, debit rewards, and a digital wallet in a single app.
With OnePay, users can buy, sell, hold, and convert BTC and crypto, and use the proceeds at checkout by converting them into fiat at the point of payment.
This integration allows customers to manage crypto within the OnePay wallet and use fiat funds when shopping online and in-store. In other words, the move ties crypto balances to real-world retail usage."
Also I was curious if Walmart's OnePay app creates and provides tax documents for crypto transactions on it's platform at the end of the year.
Per a summarized AI search response......
"Yes, the Walmart-backed OnePay app does issue year-end tax documents for eligible cryptocurrency trading activity. These documents are available within the app for you to use when filing your taxes.
About Tax Documents in the OnePay App
Document Availability: OnePay provides year-end tax forms, such as Form 1099-MISC or the new Form 1099-DA (for transactions starting on or after Jan. 1, 2025), to report your crypto sales and related activity."
Here's an except from an article on CoinMarketCap.....
"CNBC reported on January 4 that Walmart starts accepting BTC and crypto in-store payments via its banking app OnePay. This marks a strong signal that retail adoption is progressing.
Walmart rolls out support for crypto payments via its OnePay app, which combines mobile banking, debit rewards, and a digital wallet in a single app.
With OnePay, users can buy, sell, hold, and convert BTC and crypto, and use the proceeds at checkout by converting them into fiat at the point of payment.
This integration allows customers to manage crypto within the OnePay wallet and use fiat funds when shopping online and in-store. In other words, the move ties crypto balances to real-world retail usage."
Also I was curious if Walmart's OnePay app creates and provides tax documents for crypto transactions on it's platform at the end of the year.
Per a summarized AI search response......
"Yes, the Walmart-backed OnePay app does issue year-end tax documents for eligible cryptocurrency trading activity. These documents are available within the app for you to use when filing your taxes.
About Tax Documents in the OnePay App
Document Availability: OnePay provides year-end tax forms, such as Form 1099-MISC or the new Form 1099-DA (for transactions starting on or after Jan. 1, 2025), to report your crypto sales and related activity."
Posted on 1/5/26 at 10:10 am to 98eagle
Technical indicators look pretty good on the top cryptos, and we didn't dip at market opening like we have for the past several months, so those are good signs.
Posted on 1/8/26 at 10:42 am to BottomlandBrew
Everything is bouncing off of their respective daily 50MA pretty nicely. A nice little test to hopefully confirm the breakout.
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