Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us Silver Bugs thread: Silver up 12% for the week on Black Friday started the journey | Page 52 | Money Talk
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re: Silver Bugs thread: Silver up 12% for the week on Black Friday started the journey

Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:28 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91492 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:28 am to
quote:

The real caveat: M2 money supply per person from the year 2011 to now has increased by over 100%





This isn’t per capita, but going back to 1990, silver prices have always reverted back to M2 supply. Maybe this time is different, but for something that’s allegedly so manipulated, it has done a remarkable job of tracking M2 until the last 12 months…
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 6:28 am
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46087 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:32 am to
quote:

What would the Gold/Silver Ratio need to hit to get some of y'all to trade Silver for Gold?


About a week ago we slid down close to the mid 40's. The last few days it has been floating between 55-58. Last night's massacre has it at 64.5. I may never see it, but I am hoping for single digits.

I am seeing that the IRS considers a trade as a sell and a buy.
Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
4653 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:34 am to
quote:

No. 50 pages and nobody has… that’s the point. It only is brought up when price goes down.


So please explain why the CME has circuit breakers that only seem to kick in when the prices rises and also how can they sell paper contracts that are more than 2x annual mining supply in a single day?
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35825 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:38 am to
quote:

No. 50 pages and nobody has… that’s the point. It only is brought up when price goes down.
Well let me clarify my point. From my vantage point, the silver market is sketchy every second of every day. The banks have committed crimes in the silver market. I don’t trust them.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35825 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:48 am to
I’m buying as much PT as I can sub 2k.
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10713 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 8:17 am to
quote:

I’m buying as much PT as I can sub 2k.

going to $1500 or lower. guaranteed
Posted by Paddyshack
Land of the Free
Member since Sep 2015
11005 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Ahhh yes, but no shenanigans when it goes up 10% a day for a weeks…

Just to clarify, is it your belief that 15-20-30% swings are 100% organic?
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35825 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:25 am to
I wouldn’t doubt it. But it’s 5k by end of trumps term imo.
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
10215 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 9:38 am to
the parabolic move in silver is significant and will eventually help establish a new floor for silver going forward..... probably see this by the end of March .... same for gold. The loading zone will likely be in mid-to-late March, IMO.

Monday I sold my remaining positions for PHYS, GDX, GDXJ, and PSLV .... great returns on each. More cash now for buying a healthy, expected dip. I'm looking for $4,200 gold and $55 silver if I choose to add ... ... it is my strong belief that the gold bull will continue its steady advance to $6K before the end of 2026 ... with ease.

just my dos centavos ..... good fortunes

:
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 9:43 am
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10713 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 10:36 am to
quote:

Just to clarify, is it your belief that 15-20-30% swings are 100% organic?

what is organic? anyone with a modicum of experience could glance at these charts and know a parabolic topping was coming... if sellers all rush t close positions on a singular day, this is what happens. As I've stated several times, silver and all PMs became a hot money trade, fueled by hedge funds with leverage, and it had to unwind. this unwind is the "organic" result of cascading leverage. Actual physical supply/demand is detached from reality. its not the "evil bankers" narrative. that might make you feel better when your on the wrong side of the trade - and yes, they are player, but just accept that its leverage moving this market and stop believing the youtube fairytales. its a waste of your time.
Posted by beaverfever
Arkansas
Member since Jan 2008
35825 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 10:55 am to
quote:

its not the "evil bankers" narrative
The prison sentences for fixing the silver market left a bad taste in people’s mouth.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58542 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 10:57 am to
quote:

This isn’t per capita, but going back to 1990, silver prices have always reverted back to M2 supply. Maybe this time is different, but for something that’s allegedly so manipulated, it has done a remarkable job of tracking M2 until the last 12 months…


That's an interesting chart, but what's catching my eye is the timing of the spikes.

The GFC (both just before and then for a while after) and then COVID. Both of those spikes are nothing compared to what we have now. The timeline isn't detailed enough to be sure, but it looks like they telegraph issues. If this is true and it's from the astute being able to read tea leaves on coming big events (and hedging some of their money into silver), the current spike could be trouble.

But then again, we haven't before seen such a big swing in silver demand while also having a bit of clamping on supply.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 11:46 am
Posted by Rankest
Alpine
Member since Aug 2025
338 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 11:35 am to
What are you investing in?
Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1782 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 12:25 pm to
quote:

The prison sentences for fixing the silver market left a bad taste in people’s mouth.


The large financial institutions can & do have control over commodities markets.

It's my opinion that they allowed the Silver price to run for a number of reasons, the main one being to help alleviate the 5+ year structural deficit that we're currently in.

Silver running up big brought a lot of physical metal out of the cracks.
Posted by Kjnstkmn
Vermilion Parish
Member since Aug 2020
21036 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:08 pm to
quote:

Clickbait


Hope you’re right.



Observation:

No powder left to try at the local coin shop which so far through last Friday had consistently been selling to me for spot + 3, but noticed today that while up to now AGAsianGuy had been full of shite re not being able to buy at the suppressed paper APMex spot price (I have also been buying from JMBullion for spot plus a similar small premium), but now today for the first time his prior incorrect assertions seem to be in place, paper western spot is suppressed down to $74, but American Eagles price on both APMex and JM Bullion is $90 +
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 3:20 pm
Posted by KCSilverTiger
KCMO
Member since Sep 2022
1036 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:50 pm to
One of the YouTubers i watch, Silver Dragons, had a snipet that claimed one of the major bullion dealers in Switzerland is completely out of silver. Also said other countries are having major shortages as well. I've been wanting to get some more eagles, but the premiums these assholes are charging is pissing me off. Interesting times, for sure.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 4:52 pm
Posted by squidburger
Sweden
Member since Jan 2013
200 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 5:33 pm to
It's sold out here in Oslo Norway only found one type of coin in the four dealers I checked. Wiener Philamoniker at 38% over spot.
Posted by FAT SEXY
California
Member since Jun 2020
1782 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 5:38 pm to
Damn, we got Norwegian stackers on the board
Posted by squidburger
Sweden
Member since Jan 2013
200 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 5:49 pm to
quote:

Damn, we got Norwegian stackers on the board

I'm Swedish living in Norway. :) In Sweden silver seems to be avaliable and in stock. Silvercoins are taxed at 25% in Sweden while there is no tax here...
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10713 posts
Posted on 2/5/26 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

paper western spot is suppressed down to $74, but American Eagles price on both APMex and JM Bullion is $90 +


The premiums on APMEX right now are absurd. Almost 25% on eagles. When prices go down premium to buy goes up and when prices go up the premium goes down only slightly but the discount to sell goes up much more.
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