Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us What’s your prediction for the market this week? | Money Talk
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What’s your prediction for the market this week?

Posted on 1/12/25 at 2:58 pm
Posted by tigerbacon
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2010
4577 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 2:58 pm
My prediction is down 1% Friday than we are now.
Posted by RoyalWe
Louisiana
Member since Mar 2018
4509 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 3:36 pm to
It will go up or down, but up over the long haul. I know this is a flippant response, but it's the only one to give because it's the right answer. No one can predict the market.
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1662 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 3:41 pm to
I'm thinking lower early but, financial stocks may stabilize early since a slew of banks report this week and they may be pretty decent.
I'm guessing maybe down .5%
Think overall a choppy market with a lot of volatility and option sellers with capital and discipline will do well.
Posted by MoeJoeGumbo
Member since Jan 2025
119 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 7:03 pm to
Down until banana pudding nursing home man is out on January 20th.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23848 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 8:43 pm to
SPY 598 by Friday’s close
Up right at 3%
This post was edited on 1/12/25 at 8:45 pm
Posted by thelawnwranglers
Member since Sep 2007
42234 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 8:49 pm to
Pain
Posted by 2x4
ETX
Member since Dec 2024
42 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 8:50 pm to
Left to Right.
Posted by Art Blakey
Member since Aug 2023
290 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 8:50 pm to
Preliminarily damage estimates in CA now top a quarter trillion. Insurance company’s bond portfolios are already under water. They’re going to be selling at a loss to fund claims with the 10yr already knocking on the door of 5%. My guess is yields continue climbing as the market starts to price this in.

No idea what equities do this week but they will eventually feel this too. In the medium to long term this is bullish equities because it puts us that much closer to a yields driven liquidity event where the Fed is forced back into the market, inflation be damned.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
19067 posts
Posted on 1/12/25 at 10:11 pm to
At this point I’d take inflation to keep the economy going. Just drop the rates another 2 points and let’s go
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23848 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 6:07 am to
If you go all the way back to November (haha), the election news left a gap in the chart in the 570s.

Looking like that gap will be filled today, and then I’m looking for a quick move upward. Though CPI data on Wednesday can prove cumbersome.
Posted by tigerbacon
Arkansas
Member since Aug 2010
4577 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 6:22 am to
down 1ish % today. Good day to buy
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
55517 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 7:17 am to
I think today will not be a turn around day. In Dec, I locked in profits to be in a position to buy, however will keep that to a minimum until the end of Jan.


Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58571 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 7:36 am to
The start already looks bad. December's PPI is due tomorrow and CPI on Wednesday.

Both PPI and CPI have seen monthly increases every month since September. If both bump up again this week...

Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
58571 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 7:56 am to
Looks like we may have good PPI and CPI reports...

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Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
55517 posts
Posted on 1/13/25 at 7:57 am to
So what you are saying is there is hope!!!
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23848 posts
Posted on 1/17/25 at 5:59 pm to
quote:

SPY 598 by Friday’s close Up right at 3%
Just wanted to highlight this
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