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re: Will the Bitcoin selling start accelerating?
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:27 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:27 pm to JohnnyKilroy
Debating on selling my position in it that I've been slowly building.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:32 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:November 2017 through November 2022 was flat.
Sure. But we're now at about the same price we were at almost 5 years ago. And that's WITH massive inflation at its back.
This post was edited on 2/5/26 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:34 pm to LoneStar23
quote:Good luck deciding.
Debating on selling my position in it that I've been slowly building.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:44 pm to beaverfever
quote:I'm just saying that the price was right around here in March/April 2021.
November 2017 through November 2022 was flat.
With big inflation.
Much closer to the 21 millionth (and final) coin.
With plenty of repressive regime chaos around the world (you know, the kind that supposedly generates a huge end user case for fake money).
Maybe it goes to 10 million one day...but it sure is strange how the EXACT confluence of factors that was always cited as being the very reason it would go to 10 million don't seem to be able to make it go up.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:44 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Sure. But we're now at about the same price we were at almost 5 years ago. And that's WITH massive inflation at its back.
I haven't crunched the numbers but am willing to bet if you take the worst case scenario for BTC - assume a buy on the day in '21 BTC peaked as the start of the 5 year period and today the end, the dollar and BTC have about the same purchasing power today.
Not the store of value we want BTC to be, but then again we've contrived the worst case scenario here.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 3:45 pm to David_DJS
quote:Not sure what your point is.
I haven't crunched the numbers but am willing to bet if you take the worst case scenario for BTC - assume a buy on the day in '21 BTC peaked as the start of the 5 year period and today the end, the dollar and BTC have about the same purchasing power today.
Not the store of value we want BTC to be, but then again we've contrived the worst case scenario here.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:05 pm to JohnnyKilroy
quote:
Laugh all you want the ETF exposure just gave the shitbags an easier path to shorting the shite out of it. You let the wolf guard the henhouse.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:19 pm to Big Scrub TX
quote:
Not sure what your point is.
Maybe I misread what your point is. You were responding to the guy that scoffed at the notion that BTC was going to zero, and you pointed out that BTC has retraced its 2021 pricing amidst rampant inflation. I took that to mean you found the "go to zero" scenario plausible because BTC has performed so poorly. I merely pointed out that with the worst possible timing of buy/sell, BTC has done no worse than the dollar the last five years (your timeframe).
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:26 pm to Rankest
I don't understand it so I never bought it. If I did buy any, I would never sell the whole thing anyways.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:57 pm to David_DJS
quote:But the dollar has been around for centuries and isn't even a fraction as volatile.
Maybe I misread what your point is. You were responding to the guy that scoffed at the notion that BTC was going to zero, and you pointed out that BTC has retraced its 2021 pricing amidst rampant inflation. I took that to mean you found the "go to zero" scenario plausible because BTC has performed so poorly. I merely pointed out that with the worst possible timing of buy/sell, BTC has done no worse than the dollar the last five years (your timeframe).
The bitcoin-to-zero scenario is quite plausible.
Posted on 2/5/26 at 4:58 pm to Pimphand
quote:I was thinking about this today. The severity and violence of the correction has to be partially brought on by hedging and people actively trading it.
Laugh all you want the ETF exposure just gave the shitbags an easier path to shorting the shite out of it. You let the wolf guard the henhouse.
It does make me wonder if it’s a spring that will uncoil when the trade unwinds. The IV blowing out is interesting. This isn’t the normal dynamic.
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