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re: Bengals (24) vs Bills (18) SNF Thread FINAL
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:19 pm to RLDSC FAN
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:19 pm to RLDSC FAN
quote:
Why go for two?
So let’s say hypothetically you get your 2 point conversion 50% of the time (I know that’s not true but it’s the easiest number to use), here’s the break down.
50% of the time, you will win the game if you score twice because you got your first conversion
25% of the time, you will lose missing getting the two both times
25% if the time, you will miss the first time, get it the second time and it’s a complete toss up.
So you give yourself a 62.5% chance instead of a 50% chance.
That’s not the exact math, but I feel like it’s the easiest way to explain it.
0
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:19 pm to MetryMauler
I can’t believe it’s 2023 and people still don’t get why teams go for 2 in that situation.
Saints fans should know all too well what it can mean.
Saints fans should know all too well what it can mean.
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:19 pm to lsufball19
quote:
Analytics say go for two to when missing it forces you to score and go for two to tie?
Yes. It's really not that hard.
Assuming you score 2 touchdowns......
If you take the free extra point, you are 50% to win(basically just 50% of the time you win in OT).
If you go for 2, you win 50% of the time by making the first one. And even if you don't, you win 12.5% of the time by making the second and then winning in OT.
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:19 pm to Sun God
quote:because the goal is to try to win the game. not just tie
So why do you need any 2 pt conversions
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:20 pm to lsupride87
Damn Bills have a rough schedule
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:20 pm to TheSexecutioner
Tough schedule for the Bills, they could easily be looking at 7-7.
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:21 pm to lsuman25
quote:check out the Eagles' as well
Damn Bills have a rough schedule
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:21 pm to lsufball19
quote:
It would make more sense going for two on the next TD IMO.
Your opinion is incredibly wrong.
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:21 pm to castorinho
I’m glad I never played NCAA 2005 against math wizards like you and the sexecutioner
This post was edited on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:21 pm to Sun God
Clutch run
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to graychef
Game
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to TheSexecutioner
quote:
Your opinion is incredibly wrong.
Ok
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to SirWinston
Best gambling weekend I've had in YEARS.
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to graychef
Damn clutch run
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to TheWalrus
Getting old Von Miller, getting old...
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to castorinho
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:22 pm to lsufball19
No because then if you don’t get it, you lose. If you don’t get it the first time, you can still make it up on the next attempt
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:23 pm to MetryMauler
The Kincaid fumble was an absolute back breaker
Going forward I don’t know how the bills can finish the season. The defense is wrecked
Going forward I don’t know how the bills can finish the season. The defense is wrecked
Posted on 11/5/23 at 10:23 pm to Buckeye Fan 19
44 degrees in Cincy and they’re dressed like it’s January in Green Bay.
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