Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us NBA/NCAA Betting Thread | Page 5 | More Sports
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re: NBA/NCAA Betting Thread

Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:14 pm to
Posted by stlslick
St.Louis,Mo
Member since Nov 2012
14784 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:14 pm to
In NCAA, I like to find some really bad teams who just don't cover and tail the hell out of them,

Betting against SLU( Saint Louis) and Mizzou at home has been profitable. Don't ask me why George Mason can't beat SLU, it makes no sense.

Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:21 pm to
Hawks +10
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:22 pm to
Like I said, drop me a line if you want to collaborate in any sport. Model is only one part of the betting equation for me, but it's important
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:24 pm to
quote:

In NCAA, I like to find some really bad teams who just don't cover and tail the hell out of them,



Id be careful with Saint Louis, a lot of people thought they wouldnt win a single A 10 game but they have now won 3

I usually only bet NCAAB in February and through championship Week. Thats the sweet spot for me anyway. I'll start betting NCAAB next week

As far as tonight I'm on all 4 NBA unders and the Clippers. My model once again had a winning totals night last night at 6-4. Now 41-20 overall. Its 17-4 on overs but picked no overs tonight. 24-16 on unders.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66821 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:34 pm to
Atl 1st half +6
Was 1q -3.5

Mich St -2
St Marys -16
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66821 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

Like I said, drop me a line if you want to collaborate in any sport. Model is only one part of the betting equation for me, but it's important

I may play with the basketball one for the rest of the season, see what i like what i dont like. New to making something like this, i have come a long way from 2 browser windows side by side. (or printing out stat sheets for that matter)

Would like to, just to see what indicators others are looking at. how they compile their data. not sure if i could be of any help or not...
This post was edited on 2/2/17 at 5:40 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 8:18 pm to
Everyone has their own weird concoction

I kept mine basic just using the four factors and my personal opinion on the weight for each factor -- but I'd like to backtrack and add other variables eventually
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5318 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 8:25 pm to
Sat at work today talking to myself how I was going to quit doing stupid NBA prop bet doubles and trebles etc. As I've been in a drought


Anyway

Wall over 24.5
Harden over 28.5
Curry over 26.5

1U trixie
Posted by Double Oh
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2008
23510 posts
Posted on 2/2/17 at 9:50 pm to
why when up 3 with less than 10 secs left other team has ball and you dont foul? fawkin stupid coaches. Now OT.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 9:14 am to
13-8-1

No more 2H bets unless I can get a big middle
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 9:22 am to
I hate bets during games but believe Atlanta 1Q and 1st Half look terrific. Atlanta is averaging 21 pts in 1st Half and Patriots have 0 touchdowns in 1st quarter in each of the previous 6 SuperBowls.
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
26376 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 9:33 am to
quote:

Patriots have 0 touchdowns in 1st quarter in each of the previous 6 SuperBowls.


What does this small sample size "trend" have to do with Sunday's game though?

The only data relevant is this season's data.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66821 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 5:42 pm to
Orlando +5.5
Milwaukee +140
Memphis +1
Det -4
Dallas +6
Sac -4
Ind -7

Happy Friday all! Tuned in to see if Jokic plays for Denver tonight. I'll be at San antonio game tom night. May go big on the spurs to make things interesting.
This post was edited on 2/3/17 at 5:43 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 6:29 pm to
Nets +7
Posted by engvol
england
Member since Sep 2009
5318 posts
Posted on 2/3/17 at 6:33 pm to
Horford O15.5
Cousins O26.5
Wiggins O21.5

1U Trixie
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66821 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 1:17 pm to
Going down to San Antonio for the game vs Denver.

Thinking about Denver 1st half line. Think it will be close early, then SA pulls away. Wait till half and get the 2nd half line live.

Hoping for 1st half DEN +5 or so,
SA 2nd half -8/9

Also took Kentucky +140 vs UF
This post was edited on 2/4/17 at 1:18 pm
Posted by Rakim
Member since Nov 2015
9954 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 4:38 pm to
Texas AM -6 @ LSU

Do we think Johnny Jones covers. Absolutely not...

Arkansas -8 @ Missouri

I'm all in on Arkansas in this one

Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45498 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 5:20 pm to
14-9-1

Nuggets +12.5
Kings +15

Small play on UK +2.5

Let's ride. Enjoy the game, baw
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66821 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 6:59 pm to

Bad weather at the Texas sized phone booth. Heatin up in side though
Posted by ihometiger
Member since Dec 2013
12475 posts
Posted on 2/4/17 at 7:01 pm to
Bet the house on Johnny Jones beating the spread along with Lorenzo Romar winning tonight
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