Domain: tiger-web1.srvr.media3.us OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 1 | Page 90 | More Sports
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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 1

Posted on 9/1/13 at 12:57 am to
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 12:57 am to
frick. YES!!!!!!!!!



Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48286 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 12:57 am to
I won't feel safe until it's at least 44-27 NW..
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 12:59 am to
They (Seattle) were only 3-5 on the road last year.

1 win in OT by 3
1 win by 4

Could have easily been 1-7 on the road last year. Getting 3 points at home as an NFL team should raise a red flag.
This post was edited on 9/1/13 at 1:00 am
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:00 am to
I feel another pick from this youngster
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:01 am to
Seattle's D is fricking legit though brah
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:01 am to
oh i thought they were going to seattle



I just want Lynch to do work for fantasy. I really like Sea too.
Posted by dcrews
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2011
32130 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:04 am to
quote:

Seattle's D is fricking legit though brah


One solid year does not a defense make.

I know the stigma about Seattle is that they are quite possibly 2nd best in the NFC. But as far as spreads are concerned, their road record was below average and was a few points away in a couple games from being a very dismal 1-7 on the road straight up.
This post was edited on 9/1/13 at 1:05 am
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:06 am to
I just locked down Ohio +21.5, bought the hook.

That's a ton of value, Ohio returns a lot, including their offensive core QB-RB-WR. Louisville got bailed out sooo many times last year by turnovers and Teddy Bridgewater, and they are getting hyped up a ton coming into this season. They have a lot of holes they have to fill, especially on Defense. Ohio is a very well-coached team that will hang around with Louisville for atleast 2.5 Quarters, might even give em a run till the end. Great spot for the Bobcats tomorrow.
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67920 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:08 am to
taking points as well
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:08 am to
I dont dislike that play at all


If I were to bet it would be Ohio or dont bet. But dont think Im gonna play this one. I will be rooting for you though
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6037 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:11 am to
quote:

That's a ton of value, Ohio returns a lot, including their offensive core QB-RB-WR. Louisville got bailed out sooo many times last year by turnovers and Teddy Bridgewater, and they are getting hyped up a ton coming into this season. They have a lot of holes they have to fill, especially on Defense. Ohio is a very well-coached team that will hang around with Louisville for atleast 2.5 Quarters, might even give em a run till the end. Great spot for the Bobcats tomorrow.



Saw this in the Ohio game notes.

quote:

Ohio held a plus 15 turnover margin in 2012, which ranked second in the MAC. The ‘Cats finished the season with just 10 total turnovers (five fumbles and five interceptions). Ohio lost one fumble for every 119 rushing attempts and had just one interception for every 80 passing attempts.

Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:12 am to
Damnit dont talk me into betting this one!
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:12 am to
Northwestern qb is straight dog shite
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48286 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:17 am to


Geaux Northwestern!
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:17 am to
He's there back up brah
Posted by dgtiger3
Prairieville
Member since Sep 2005
5703 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:18 am to
quote:

Saw this in the Ohio game notes.

quote:
Ohio held a plus 15 turnover margin in 2012, which ranked second in the MAC. The ‘Cats finished the season with just 10 total turnovers (five fumbles and five interceptions). Ohio lost one fumble for every 119 rushing attempts and had just one interception for every 80 passing attempts.



I have a "upset" formula that I have tracked for the last 4 years in excel. It has been by far the most accurate predicting games the first 5 weeks of the college football season using a combination of the previous years and that seasons ytd stats. This isn't rocket science but the three most common characteristics of teams that convincingly cover the number as an underdog are 3rd down efficiency, total rushing, and protecting the ball.

Ohio definitely fits the bill as a "live" dog, finished 31st in 3rd down, 22nd in total rushing and 2nd in fewest turnovers in the nation last year.
This post was edited on 9/1/13 at 1:20 am
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48286 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:20 am to
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:22 am to
Ballllllgame
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16907 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:22 am to
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
48286 posts
Posted on 9/1/13 at 1:25 am to
8-3 this week..

Still to bet: Pitt +10

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