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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 5
Posted on 9/24/13 at 4:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Posted on 9/24/13 at 4:56 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Currently 91% of tickets on No Ill and line has moved from 4 to 3.5. Public will be on NIU, interested to see if sharps bring line down to 3...
1
Posted on 9/24/13 at 5:42 pm to ChemE in the OP
Miami opened at -19, 87% of bets are on Miami and line is now -18.5
I just don't see how Miami doesn't blow out USF.
I saw the Miami QB and RB left the game due to injury last week but I thought they were both probable for this week.
I just don't see how Miami doesn't blow out USF.
I saw the Miami QB and RB left the game due to injury last week but I thought they were both probable for this week.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 5:49 pm to BeYou
Golden cleared the QB to play
Posted on 9/24/13 at 5:57 pm to TigerTatorTots
Colorado/Oregon State OVER 60.5
USCe/Ohio State Teaser (both to -.5)
USCe/Ohio State Teaser (both to -.5)
Posted on 9/24/13 at 6:06 pm to SeeeeK
quote:
Anyone riding the Wyoming train?
I've been riding them since week 1. I know nothing about them, only that they keep covering.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 6:08 pm to bamaatlsu
quote:
I've been riding them since week 1. I know nothing about them, only that they keep covering.
They have a good Qb, and air it out. But he can also take off, if need be. Was impressed with the kid, tough and accurate.
they have quality at WR.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 7:11 pm to SeeeeK
I rode Wyoming last week and they did work
Will probably do it again
Will probably do it again
Posted on 9/24/13 at 7:31 pm to wish i was tebow
Kent St catching points is a joke this week!
Posted on 9/24/13 at 7:52 pm to wish i was tebow
I have a feeling I am going to be an unpopular voice in this week's thread. Just finished running my numbers. I think its going to be a fun week, have a whole lot of strong opinions about the a ton of games.
Here are the two I have jumped on already.
USC +6.5
Can't believe they are catching a touchdown here, As much as Stanfords defensive line dominated the Sun Devils last week (10 tackles for loss and 3 sacks) it's going to be even worse this time around. USC has possibly the best defensive line in the country. I have them ranked 2nd nationally in pass rush, and 3rd against stuffing the run. Stanford is 26th and 7th respectively. USC will not pull away like Stanford did but they don't have to catching points. USC should win this game straight up.
New Mexico State +18
I'm not going to waste anyones time here with a long write up, NM States matchups up on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and will keep this game competitive. Catching way too many points at home.
Here are the two I have jumped on already.
USC +6.5
Can't believe they are catching a touchdown here, As much as Stanfords defensive line dominated the Sun Devils last week (10 tackles for loss and 3 sacks) it's going to be even worse this time around. USC has possibly the best defensive line in the country. I have them ranked 2nd nationally in pass rush, and 3rd against stuffing the run. Stanford is 26th and 7th respectively. USC will not pull away like Stanford did but they don't have to catching points. USC should win this game straight up.
New Mexico State +18
I'm not going to waste anyones time here with a long write up, NM States matchups up on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball and will keep this game competitive. Catching way too many points at home.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 7:55 pm to dgtiger3
Nothing looks good to me so far. I might take a small card this weekend after doing so well last weekend on a big card where I liked all my bets.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:04 pm to dgtiger3
quote:
I have a feeling I am going to be an unpopular voice in this week's thread.
Just to clear up the reason I said this is I am going to be on some unpopular sides in this thread. Texas St being one of them.
I have liked Wyoming the last few weeks, foolishly laid off them last week because I didn't like the line, not so much this week. I think they eek out a 7-10 point victory. Texas State will limit their big play ability enough to hang around.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:11 pm to dgtiger3
Wow. When was the last time Bama was only getting 26% of the money?
Get it down to 14!
Get it down to 14!
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:11 pm to dgtiger3
What about Navy and Kent St? My numbers say they should both win running away.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:28 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Florida St receiving more than 90% of the bets and moved from -22.5 to -21.5, BC looking like a strong wager.
NIU still taking public bets and Purdue +3.5 holding tight.
USF and Kentucky with RLM as well, small percentage of wagers with significant movement.
NIU still taking public bets and Purdue +3.5 holding tight.
USF and Kentucky with RLM as well, small percentage of wagers with significant movement.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:28 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Cal @ Oregon Total is o/u 84.
I could see the ducks scoring 60 at home. Can Cal score 24?
Was thinking of maybe teasing it up a TD with another game and taking under 91. I know the ducks aren't known for their defense, but at home, would they let Cal drop 30+ on em?
They are averaging roughly 31 points per game. However, all three of their games thus far were at home against Northwestern, Portland State and Ohio State. Totals for those games were 74, 67 and 86 respectively. Totals for the Oregon games thus far have gone over 70 only once.
I don't know much about Cal other than the basics I've read thus far. Anything out of the ordinary about them? Only thing that worries me is their #9 ranking in total offense (Oregon is #2).
I could see the ducks scoring 60 at home. Can Cal score 24?
Was thinking of maybe teasing it up a TD with another game and taking under 91. I know the ducks aren't known for their defense, but at home, would they let Cal drop 30+ on em?
They are averaging roughly 31 points per game. However, all three of their games thus far were at home against Northwestern, Portland State and Ohio State. Totals for those games were 74, 67 and 86 respectively. Totals for the Oregon games thus far have gone over 70 only once.
I don't know much about Cal other than the basics I've read thus far. Anything out of the ordinary about them? Only thing that worries me is their #9 ranking in total offense (Oregon is #2).
This post was edited on 9/24/13 at 8:36 pm
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:33 pm to ChemE in the OP
I will be on BC. 
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:37 pm to dcrews
quote:
I know the ducks aren't known for their defense,
I'm really getting tired of hearing this. They've given up 27 points all year. Their defense is legit.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:42 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
I'm really getting tired of hearing this. They've given up 27 points all year. Their defense is legit.
I for one think their defense is underrated. I was speaking moreso to the fact that when you think Oregon, you obviously immediately visualize offense and lots of points.
But to be fair, they've played Nicholls, UVA and Tennessee thus far. Not exactly offensive powerhouses. Cal will be far superior to those teams on offense. My concern is not whether the Ducks will score (or even win), but moreso if they can stop Cal from going over 21-27 points.
I think their underrated defense at home has the potential to do so, I just don't know much about Cal.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 8:52 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
quote:
What about Navy and Kent St? My numbers say they should both win running away.
I'm going to have to look deeper into Navy numbers, I always have to adjust for the unbalanced offensive styles. But if I had to guess I would say Navy by 6-7 points.
I don't like Kent State, actually leaning towards betting Western Michigan, I have em by 5.5.
Posted on 9/24/13 at 9:00 pm to dgtiger3
SMU +20
South Carolina -7
Duke -10½
Oklahoma -3½
Florida -13
Stanford -10
South Carolina -7
Duke -10½
Oklahoma -3½
Florida -13
Stanford -10
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